Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, December 26, 2007
Truth or Dare
The beginning of the final week of racing in New York this year. And maybe next year, too. Further, there’s a sizable carryover into today’s penultimate leg, a non-winner of 3 other/than, optional claiming $75,000. The 6 furlong sprint for females, 3 & up, has drawn a surprisingly contentious seven horse field.
We’ll look at three major contenders, from the inside, out, Beau Dare (9-2), You Asked (2-1) and Circuit Breaker (3-1).
Beau Dare goes turf to dirt for Bruce Levine, nine for his last 16 given that scenario, and is also profitable when coming off layup of approximately two months. This is a consistently fast and talented speedster, benefits from an inside slip and speed-riding guru, C.C. Lopez. She has the best turn of foot from the gate and has proven to be a one-dimensional type. Figure she’ll be on the engine throughout. If she dirts as well as she turfs, there may be no catching the Bruce Levine speedster.
You Asked comes from top connections, Alan Goldberg and Ramon Dominguez, her late-run style fit’s the speedy race-shape nicely, and hails from a barn whose returnees are better in their second start off a layup--and this 3-year-old won her last. She has been toughened in graded sprints and was second in her only surface start last winter. She’s a worthy favorite.
Circuit Breaker ships in sharp for the Puglisi/Klesaris outfit and Jeremy Rose is in for the ride on this sharp 4-year-old. She, too, has excellent early speed and will probably pressure Beau Dare in the early going, even if her rival does have the benefit of inside position and is a tad faster on performance figures.
Taking the value offered on Beau Dare to win, at 3-1 or greater, and keying her in exacta boxes first and second with the other two fillies. Trifecta players can use longshot returnee and surface lover (3-for-8) Samsincharge (20-1) in the money positions.
Running Totals: (149) 54-33-16. Total Dollar Return: $325.00 [based on win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, December 16, 2007
Aqueduct Dark Until Dec. 26
The NYRA has cancelled today's card due to the snowstorm in the Northeast. Racing will not resume at Aqueduct until after the scheduled Christmas break, Dec. 26. (Hopefully, there will not be an unscheduled New Year's break on Jan. 1).
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, December 15, 2007
Some Respect for the Ladies, Please
Today’s feature, the Ladies Handicap, once was a fairly important event for fillies and mares on the NYRA circuit. Guess that was back when the racing association wasn’t fighting for its very existence. Now, the Ladies is an ungraded $75,000 race, no more important than any overnight stakes you could catch on any given Wednesday.
This 10-furlong event has drawn seven entrants, including an uncoupled pair from Graham Motion. Either one has the profile of the best filly in here. The problem is deciding which one.
Bondage (3-1) is a late developing 4-year-old that’s won two of her last three starts, from late summer forward. Although something of an in and outer on winning form, her performance figures have shown the kind of incremental improvement that portends some more to give. She’s drawn inside and presumably Ramon Dominguez, who does a lot of riding for Motion, had his choice of mounts and landed here. Ramon will have her in this from jump street.
Cryptoquip (4-1) is the other 4-year-old from Motion and this one is decidedly in and out on performance figures. But this looks like a likely spot for a rebound by the fastest filly in the race on figures. By Crypotoclearance, this filly should get the distance and has a nice kick when it’s timed right. It will be Rajiv Maragh’s job to get that done. With her uncoupled mate applying some pressure up front, this filly will be coming late.
While Inda (6-1) doesn’t have the company lines of the Motion pair, she has the kind of late developing distance pedigree (A.P. Indy) that augurs well in this spot. Her figures have been marching forward incremental, an excellent development pattern, and couldn’t be in better filly hands that patient Hall of Famer Shug McGaughey. She has the speed to dictate a soft tempo in here beneath the speed conscious Eibar Coa and with continued development could earn her first stakes score. She’ll never find a better spot to do so.
Taking Cryptoquip to win at 7-2 or more and keying her first and second in exactas with Inda and Bondage.
Running Totals: (148) 54-32-16. Total Dollar Return: $325.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci