Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, May 05, 2011

Cowboy Up

Today’s Churchill feature is a classified allowances/optional claiming for some hard-hitting miler types and surface lovers.

While several fit that bill, it’s Modern Cowboy (5-2) that fits the conditions very neatly. Last out he was a game second in the G3 Excelsior.

Not only that, but his best performance figure as a 3 year old of 2010 came over this surface, and he ran a winning race at a flat mile here as well, losing on the bob of a head.

Working crisply and reuniting with Johnny Velazquez, he should sit a perfect trip as an outside stalker from a favorable post, pouncing when ready.

Taking Modern Cowboy to win, no price restrictions, and keying boxing in exactas with surface lover Glenwood Canyon for Al Stall and Our Dark Knight, another Churchill lover whose last race was too bad to be true.

Running Totals: (855) 270-176-117 Total Dollar Return: $1,872.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, May 04, 2011

Irrefutable Evidence

Perhaps today’s Churchill feature will be run over something resembling a wet track.

Well, if it’s a sprint featuring some high quality speedsters and Bob Baffert is something in, especially during Derby week, that would seem like the way to go.

And when that horse looks clearly best on performance figures, coming off a New Pace Top, fast internal figures with seven weeks spacing, that’s where my money will go, on Irrefutable (5-2), breaking from an advantage outside slip beneath Mike Smith.

Taking Irrefutable to win at 8-5 or greater and keying him in the multiples first and second with two fast surface lovers; Snapshot (7-2) and Safe Trip (4-1).

Running Totals: (854) 269-176-117 Total Dollar Return: $1,867.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, May 03, 2011

That’s Moe, With an E

We’re looking at today’s feature at Churchill Downs as if the race is coming off the grass; can’t imagine they’d risk damage to the course this early in the meet with Derby day five days away.

The shift in surface will favor Moe Man (15-1) dramatically, making the early line quote, made for turf, totally bogus. But what’s for real are this four-year-old’s figures at either today’s distance or at Churchill Downs.

Moe Man, with Ian Wilkes making the switch to Calvin Borel, will appreciate the return to Churchill, a distance at which he’s been highly competitive and he’s proven adept over any kind of footing. Versatile, expect Calvin to play it off the break.

Taking Moe Man to win at 5-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (853) 269-175-117 Total Dollar Return: $1,867.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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