Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, March 12, 2011

Bond’s Fresh Returnee Tiz the Way to Riches

Not wishing to insult anyone’s intelligence, we’ll forgo the feature that most people care about, the Timely Writer, and instead look at the Gulfstream Park Handicap at one mile--that’s no typo. It’s OK the race’s history was built on 10 furlongs, so keep the context with a nine furlong two-turner. But that’s just me.

Any one five of the eight entrants can win the Grade 2, all with an excellent chance. We’re narrowing it down to two: Rule (3-1) and Tizway (5-1).

We’ll use Rule in the saver position because he’s drawn the rail out of the chute and anticipated shorter price. We’re taking Tackleberry to react of consecutive majors tops and wait for Duke Of Mischief to stretch out. Soaring Empire is good but more G3 than G2.

The time to get Tiznow is when he’s fresh--today. He runs best and fastest off layups and his best game is one mile. James Bond is very effective with layup types and this guy when right is super competitive in G1s.

Taking Tiznow to win at 7-2 or greater, an exacta box with Rule, and adding the others into the micro exotic mix.

Running Totals: (825) 261-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,826.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, March 11, 2011

Will Gatling Fire Another Dud?

Today’s Gulfstream Park feature, a classified allowances for older fillies and mares going nine furlongs on the main track, marks the return of Belle Watling, the South American Wonder Filly that was such a flop in her U.S. debut going a marathon distance on grass.

Here’s some HRI info. I spoke with Patrick Biancone one morning after the filly’s race. I asked him whether being on the lead in slow fractions going three turns then unable to keep pace in the sprint for home for a product more of her being on the lead.

He said that she’s a filly that doesn’t have a huge turn of foot but more of a high-speed galloper who gradually builds momentum as the race develops. Well, clearly she had no chance to do that on February 20.

With that race under her girth, a turn back in distance and switch to dirt--with the promise of a much faster pace then she got last time--she should be able to run her race. She handles any type of footing.

“The Zenyatta of South America?” We had better see what all the fuss was about today.

Taking Belle Gatling to win at even money or greater, since it’s 50-50 that she will greatly improve.

Running Totals: (824) 261-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,826.30 [win selections only] {Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 10, 2011

Get Ready to Mobilize

In today’s feature, a preliminary allowances on the turf at a mile for older horses, I will use a familiar axiom that I tend not to overuse but on occasion comes in quite handy. That angle is the ever popular “have a hunch, bet a bunch.”

There’s much to choose in here, from the distance lover Freshman Dorm (8-1), the tough tripper Devon Rock (3-1) or the ultra sharp class hopper Hariolus (4-1).

So, in keeping with the hunch theory, I must favor Mobilizer (5-1) in this spot, even if he’s making his turf debut vs. proven turf runners. But for one thing, the pedigree is there, as is the connections.

But it’s the fact that he raced well on the Polytrack in Canada at three, earned excellent performance figures, comes from a top layup outfit, attracts Castellano and has been in steady training since December. If that doesn’t get the job done, nothing will.

Taking Mobilizer to win at 3-1 or greater and keying him first and second in the multiples with his rivals named here.

Running Totals: (824) 261-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,826.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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