Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, January 22, 2010
When Handicapping, Every Little Thing Counts
As I was saying with my new best friend Pony, these races are uninspiring. Today’s feature, the third race, given the purse value, gives uninspiring a bad name.
A five horse race, a preliminary allowances for three-year-old fillies, which you’d think might fill relatively well, boasts a 1-2 ML choice that, on performance figures, justifies that estimate, and with precious few alternatives.
Offlee Cool responded to the addition of blinkers, switch to winter track and stretch to two turns with a wet-track score that was considerably faster than her rivals.
With the exception of Doris D., coming out of sprints for a good stretch-out barn, it appears Dominguez will control the pace with the Dutrow-trained favorite.
While she’s slower, we like the development pattern shown by the Pletcher trainee, Every Little Thing (4-1), won her debut on the winter track. The margin was substantial, but the race was pokey and competition inferior maiden claimers.
But her spacing is better, she has two-turn style, given her late-pace figures, and retains David Cohen.
We’ll take Every Little Thing to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with the favorite.
Running Totals: (578) 180-116-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,239.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Slow and Speedy a Winning Parlay
Before getting to today’s featured third race allowances, based on purse distribution, as Aqueduct, an apology. Generally, when there’s racing on Monday in New York, the track is dark Tuesday and Wednesday. That wasn’t the case yesterday but once I realized it, it was too late.
Anyway, favorite McVictory (7-5) will be a tough out. Following a career best performance figure two back, in Belmont slop, she returned with a promising winter track effort, making a premature run to the lead before tiring late. This was accomplished off a stronger than normal early pace for her; she will benefit.
But there’s good value being offered by the slower Olde Glamour (7-2) and she looks like a viable alternative. A three-time winner on this surface, she also boasts three wins and a placing in four starts at the distance; good stuff.
Further, she might be able to control the early pace once again and the race she comes from on Jan. 8 already has produced a next out winner. David Cohen has opted to ride the favorite but Gabriel Saez is a more than able replacement.
Taking Olde Glamour to win at 5-2 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with McVictory and sharp working Pamona Ball (5-2).
Running Totals: (577) 180-116-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,239.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Monday, January 18, 2010
Here Kitty, Kitty
A rare Monday analysis in celebration of Martin Luther King Day and a rare meaningful race on a Monday as well, the Smarty Jones Stakes going a mile for three year olds at Oaklawn Park.
Dryfly (5-2) is a worthy favorite. He is by far the fastest on performance figures, is developing nicely, working well, has Calvin in the boot and you know he’s been pointing for this. The colt’s owner Charles Cella also happens to own Oaklawn Park.
But there seems to be enough quality speed in this sizable field which should put lots of pressure on the favorite. The horse in best position to take advantage of this scenario is Kitty’s Turn (4-1).
The Gary Thomas trainee has the right running style, draws the pole with tactical speed, with regular partner Luis Quinones. Three starts back he broke his maiden rounding two turns at a mile and 70 yards, conditions quite similar to today’s. With an alert start, Quinones can sit the pocket until ready.
Taking Kitty’s Turn to win at 3-1 or greater and keying him first and second in the exacta with Dryfly and Wow Wow Wow (20-1), terribly drawn on the far outside but with highly competitive performance figures and coming off a sustained wide-rally trip at the Fair Grounds.
Running Totals: (576) 180-116-79 Total Dollar Return: $1,239.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci