Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, April 22, 2011

Take Class Dropper in Wide Open Scramble

Today’s Keeneland feature, the G3 Doubledogdare is another killer handicapping puzzle, a mile and a sixteenth on Polytrack for older fillies and mares. There are any number of stakes fillies in here but the best ones seem to prefer turf.

But not necessarily It’s Tea Time (5-1), who has been most of her winning on turf but has run her best figures on a synthetic surface.

Further, she’s been repeatedly tested at the G1 level, Rusty Arnold is at his best with third-off-a-layoff runners and he reaches out for Javier Castellano, adept at working out good trips in large fields. Today’s class relief should help.

Taking It’s Tea Time to win at 5-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Hollendorfer shipper, Washington Bridge (6-1).

Running Totals: (847) 267-175-116 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, April 21, 2011

Ruby, It’s You

Today’s Grade 3 Appalachian Stakes for three your old fillies going one mile on turf marks the return of Winter Memories (8-5), the would-be juvenile miss turf champion until a tough trip possibly denied that inevitability when she finished second in the Juvenile Fillies Turf.

While this is a good return spot for a G1-bound filly, this group is no pushover and her deep closing style can hinder her in a big field at the mile trip. Of all the potential value on display here, we settled on Harlan’s Ruby (12-1).

Notwithstanding that Ken Mc Peek has been dominant at this meet, he’s also a profitable 20% effective in third-off-the-layoff spots. Using a familiar partner in Robby Albarado, this filly has cut her teeth in top competition for nearly her entire career. She owns enough tactical speed and kick, showing an ability to overcome adversity.

Taking Harlan’s Ruby to win at 6-1 or greater and an exacta box with Winter Memories.

Running Totals: (846) 267-175-116 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Leopard Rock in Good Spot

Interesting turf feature at Keeneland today, a second allowances for older fillies sprinting 5.5 furlongs on turf.

With several ways to go, the filly that looks most interesting is Leopard Rock (7-2), a 4 year old filly who was totally eliminated after jumping tire tracks on the FG turf course and was not abused in the late running of the Bienville overnight stakes.

Previously she made a forward move on dirt in her season’s debut, a good development sign, and returns to a course over which she raced well at three and is reuniting with Shan Bridgmohan who got along really well with her to win her previous outing. Normally a concern, the outside slip should be of no concern to this late running miss.

Taking Leopard Rock to win at early line odds or greater and key boxing her in exactas with class dropping Well Deserved (3-1) and super sharp Elusive Temper (4-1).

Running Totals: (845) 267-175-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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