Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, April 24, 2008
Good Better Again Best
Today’s preliminary allowance feature for fillies and mares 4 & up going a flat mile has drawn but five entrants, nevertheless is competitive--one you get past the favorite that is:
Inside Passage (2-1) makes her first start for Barclay Tagg, a profitable 30 percent effective in that scenario. The filly earned competitive figures at 3 so, with any 4-year-old development, she could be in the conversation for the race’s best figure earner. The filly has been in steady training since February and certainly will be fit for this. Main stable rider Eibar is aloft but the filly must overcome the rail post at this distance.
Positive Prospect (9-2) has never taken a backwards step and showed much improved early speed in her latest. She certainly has enough pedigree for today's mini-stretchout and Rajiv Maragh has a nice way with pace types--and virtually anything he rides for the prolific Gary Contessa. She is the likely pacesetter of the group.
But Better Again (6-5) looks like too much filly here. She comes from a series of quickly run miles vs. better at Gulfstream, showing improvement with blinkers last out, a key race that produced two winners from four subsequent starters. She’s the fastest on performance figures and position conscious Cornelio Velasquez should have her positioned perfectly from her outside slip.
Taking Better Again to win, no price restrictions, and exactas with her main rivals here.
Running Totals: (198) 65-42-22. Total Dollar Return: $405.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
Contessa’s Friendly Skies
The final week of the Aqueduct spring meet features a full field but looks the same as all the other features recently. Is there any beating the Contessa juggernaut. Not recently and that’s why we’re apparently looking at yet another short-priced winner.
Taking The Redeye (9-5) owns not only the fastest performance figures but by far the best record at this mile and three-sixteenths route. Owning tactical speed and a budding top rider in Rajiv Maragh, it’s impossible to make a logical case against him in this spot. Perhaps we can optimize the play in the exacta pool.
Tergesti (8-1) does very well for the Schosberg barn and is on a good line, improving incrementally since reuniting with this outfit. He seems poised for another forward move, although the added weight, making a 123-pound assignment, is troublesome. At these early line odds you can’t be too choosy.
Lorrcan (15-1) is a four-year-old with some upside potential and will be a big price. Two of his three lifetime wins have come on this surface and today will be his last chance to make hay at the Big A until the fall. He’s also marching forward and as a son of Aptitude will relish the added distance.
Taking The Redeye to win with no price restrictions and keying him first and second in exactas with his price-play rivals here. Trifecta and Dime Super fans may add Dont Knock America (15-1) and Ready Enough (6-1) in money positions.
Running Totals: (197) 65-42-22. Total Dollar Return: $405.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, April 20, 2008
Value the Buy-Word in Big A Feature
A race with no name is today’s nominal feature. It’s a 7-furlong sprint for four-year-olds and up under restricted preliminary allowances. The main contenders are Market Psychology (2-1), King Rush (9-2) and Bayou Timber (3-1).
Market Psychology is a deserving early line choice. His three victories lead all entrants, 7 furlongs might be his best go, and Eibar Coa and Rick Violette mesh very nicely. We’ll try to beat the early favorite, believing that Jed Greeley’s speed might soften him up early and that the pole position doesn’t favor his style here.
King Rush obviously has issues with only 12 lifetime starts at age five. But her certainly makes the best of them with three wins and two seconds, he showed improved early lick in last, and fit’s the race shape nicely from his middle position, hopefully stalking the speed comfortably from close range. Low profile connections might provide unexpected value.
Bayou Timber owns a victory at the distance, Kiaran McLaughlin is batting 33 percent at this meet and is a profitable 24 percent when turning routers back into sprints. Rajiv Maragh with a riding triple yesterday, including the featured Bed o’ Roses, is in a zone at the moment.
But we’re taking King Rush to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his main rivals here.
Running Totals: (196) 65-42-22. Total Dollar Return: $405.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci