Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, May 29, 2009
Taking a Turn
Today’s Belmont Park feature, a secondary allowances/optional claimer has drawn a small but talented field.
Turn Away (7-5) has not started in 238 days and I’m here to tell you that’s just fine. It’s not only because she wins fresh (broke her maiden at today’s 7 furlong trip in her debut, but she’s trained by Bobby Frankel, 24 percent efficient in that scenario, and stakes placed as a 2-year-old.
Are four races in two years a red flag? Of course, although Garrett Gomez doesn’t think so. He’s flying cross country to rider her in this $47,000 allowance race. You know it’s a prep for something bigger at this meeting and, if so, she needs to prove she’s up to that with a strong run here. Frankel’s not in the habit of embarrassing himself.
The danger like will come from Manitoba Miss (3-1). She’s really improved at 4, finishing a good third in a restricted stakes under similar conditions last time out and, of course, has recency in her corner. Trainer George Weaver is on the brink of a break-out season, saddling winners with 22 percent efficiency while showing a profit in the process.
But taking Turn Away to win at 6-5 or greater, an exacta box with Manitoba Miss, and using Whirling Agatha (8-1) in the trifecta mix..
Running Totals: (433) 130-89-58 Total Dollar Return: $880.30 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Hope to Catch This Fugitive
Today’s feature at Belmont Park is a secondary allowance/optional claimer for state-bred fillies and mares going a mile and it appears an excellent spot for favorite Karakorum Fugitive (7-5).
After having a somewhat promising winter, she tried stakes company in the Bouwerie Stakes and acquitted herself well, finishing third in a strongly run seven furlongs and earning a new pace top.
Going second time Lasix--first time at a route with Lasix--and reuniting with Jose Lezcano augurs well, as does the stretchout for Jimmy Jerkens, who’s 23 percent in that role. Add in a distance pedigree and you have a tough out.
The main danger is Olde Glamour (5-1) second in five of her last six appearance, with one win, but showed improved speed in last, also coming off a new pace top. Nice drawn outside beneath the aggressive Mike Luzzi can’t hurt.
Taking Karakorum Fugitive to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Olde Glamour.
Running Totals: (432) 129-89-58 Total Dollar Return: $876.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Monday, May 25, 2009
Famous Patriot More Than a Hunch
Don’t know many true racing fans that don’t love the Met Mile, myself included. And what this renewal might lack in box office milers it potentially makes up for at the wickets. This is one great betting race.
The most probable winner is likely Bribon (3-1) who’s done his best racing at today’s distance over either of New York’s downstate track. Winning the G3 Westchester, in which he earned a cyclical pace top, and his ability to make a huge middle move and sustain it, makes him every logical.
Alan Garcia fits him perfectly, there’s lots of speed in here, of course, and he’s nicely drawn outside and is fairly weighted. Trainer Bobby Ribaudo has done excellent work with this import after finding his proper niche and hole card. But we’re going for the gusto.
On paper, Famous Patriot (30-1) doesn’t class up. But he’s matured to the point as a 4-year-old where he can be competitive with this group on performance figures. His tactical speed and inside draw assures a ground saving trip and with the weight off today, a repeat of his last race gives him a puncher’s chance here at a huge price.
Taking Famous Patriot to win at 20-1 or greater, boxing him in the exacta with Bribon, and spreading in trifectas with Smooth Air (4-1), a classy 4-year-old and a natural at the distance, My Pal Charlie (8-1), who loves the trip and has been tested at the highest levels, and the very speedy Driven By Success (20-1), in light with Ramon Dominguez and nicely drawn outside for a rapid start.
(Talented 3-year-old Mr. Fantasy spiked a fever over the weekend and will be scratched).
Running Totals: (431) 129-89-58 Total Dollar Return: $876.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci