Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, July 05, 2008

Midwest Speedster Rates Upset Callin Prioress

You know we’re heading toward Saratoga when more and more Grade 1s show up on this docket. Today’s it’s the Prioress for three-year-old fillies at six furlongs. If you can dominate this race, then you belong in the Breeders’ Cup Filly Sprint. Really dominate, and you start thinking boys. Three-year-old fillies get seven pounds from males; not insignificant.

So, is Indian Blessing (9-5) the same filly she was at 2? Will it matter, since she’s back sprinting? Probably not, but I’m in a gambling mood. There are four logical alternatives: Indian Way (6-1), By The Light (4-1), Tale Of The West (7-2) and Palanka City (6-1).

By The Light is 5-for-5, her most recent figure was fairly competitive, but a lifetime best, the spacing is good and she fit’s the race shape nicely as a late runner.

Tale Of The West is undefeated at 2-for-2, is very highly regarded by the Pletcher barn, and coming off a new pace top, indicating likely improvement. But her lack of seasoning is troubling and she figures to be a relatively short price.

The most interesting are Indian Way, only off a maiden win, but her last was really fast. She’s SoCal speed, the best kind, and goes first time for Tony Dutrow, a profitable 31 percent proposition. Her 6-furlong internal figure is as good as anything in here and will save ground beneath Cornelio.

Palanka City has the most experience, brings a three-race winning streak and Chris Emigh in from the Midwest for the ride and she’s very fast and versatile, winning on and from just off the early pace. She’s well drawn in post 7, has won half of her 10 starts, including a G3 last time out. She could fall between the parimutuel cracks.

Taking Palanka City to win at 9-2 or greater, exacta key boxes with the two Indian’s, Blessing and Way, and with the other two in trifecta mixes.

Running Totals: (231) 73-48-26. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only] {Friday’s results not included}

Written by John Pricci

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Friday, July 04, 2008

Not For Money, For Glory

A half dozen of New York’s best older sprinters are lining up for today’s Grade 2 Tom Fool at 7 furlongs. But it appears that two of them, Not For Money (5-2) and Lucky Island (2-1), a pair who have come into their own at 4, will dominate the tote action and vie for the lion’s share of the purse.

If Lucky Island repeats his latest effort, a top figure score over the track two months ago, he’ll be a tough out. But that’s problematical. While he has won at today’s distance, his best performance figure was earned at six furlongs. Given that it was his third consecutive significant forward move, it’s difficult to project he can even repeat.

Not so for Not For Money. While his last was a career best, it came at today’s specialized distance and six weeks should be sufficient recovery time to recharge those batteries. He showed much improved energy distribution on that occasion, hinting that a repeat is not only possible but probable. The three pounds he receives from his main rival here, given the match-up, is not inconsequential.

Taking Not For Money to win at 8-5 or greater.

Running Totals: (230) 73-48-26. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only] {Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, July 03, 2008

Dressed To Kill Fashonable Pick

Today’s Belmont feature, a $50,000 starter/preliminary allowances for fillies and mares, 3 & Up, at 7 furlongs on the Widener turf course, historically is anathema to speed types. And there seems sufficient speed signed on to set the table for today’s ralliers.

Half of the eight horse field can win, from the inside, out; High Draw (6-1), Dressed To Win (3-1), Positive Prospect (5-2) and Flying Sappho (8-1).

High Draw exploded when she switched to turf last time out, trailing badly throughout, 12th of 12, circled up very wide into the stretch and nailed the leaders on the wire, earning an excellent performance figure, competitive with the best of this group. She’s meeting tougher but Allen Jerkens is 16 percent efficient with horses coming off a maiden win. Javier Castellano rides her back.

Dressed To Win should benefit from her 4-year-old debut, earning a competitive figure, and hails from a barn, Linda Rice’s, that excels with turf sprinters. She finished very willingly, suiting today’s race shape nicely, and Ms. Rice wins at a 20 percent clip with her second-off-a-layup starters. Eibar Coa takes the re-ride on a filly whose best figures have come on the Belmont grass.

Positive Prospect is sharp coming off a recent score and was haltered by the DiPrima barn, 22 percent and profitable with their first starters coming off the claim. She showed a strong late run from far back to win her turf debut, with a good performance figure, but has shown she has the ability to lay closer to the pace if asked. Regular rider Rajiv Maragh retains the mount.

Flying Sappho has competitive back figures, has run well in her third start following a layoff previously, and will benefit from today’s added furlong and promised lively pace. While she lacks a winner’s profile (1-for-18), that win came on this turf course, at this distance. Interesting that Johnny Velazquez sees fit to ride her back.

Taking Dressed To Win at 5-2 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas and trifectas with her main rivals here.

Running Totals: (230) 73-48-26. Total Dollar Return: 451.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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