Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Ruby, It’s You

Today’s Grade 3 Appalachian Stakes for three your old fillies going one mile on turf marks the return of Winter Memories (8-5), the would-be juvenile miss turf champion until a tough trip possibly denied that inevitability when she finished second in the Juvenile Fillies Turf.

While this is a good return spot for a G1-bound filly, this group is no pushover and her deep closing style can hinder her in a big field at the mile trip. Of all the potential value on display here, we settled on Harlan’s Ruby (12-1).

Notwithstanding that Ken Mc Peek has been dominant at this meet, he’s also a profitable 20% effective in third-off-the-layoff spots. Using a familiar partner in Robby Albarado, this filly has cut her teeth in top competition for nearly her entire career. She owns enough tactical speed and kick, showing an ability to overcome adversity.

Taking Harlan’s Ruby to win at 6-1 or greater and an exacta box with Winter Memories.

Running Totals: (846) 267-175-116 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Leopard Rock in Good Spot

Interesting turf feature at Keeneland today, a second allowances for older fillies sprinting 5.5 furlongs on turf.

With several ways to go, the filly that looks most interesting is Leopard Rock (7-2), a 4 year old filly who was totally eliminated after jumping tire tracks on the FG turf course and was not abused in the late running of the Bienville overnight stakes.

Previously she made a forward move on dirt in her season’s debut, a good development sign, and returns to a course over which she raced well at three and is reuniting with Shan Bridgmohan who got along really well with her to win her previous outing. Normally a concern, the outside slip should be of no concern to this late running miss.

Taking Leopard Rock to win at early line odds or greater and key boxing her in exactas with class dropping Well Deserved (3-1) and super sharp Elusive Temper (4-1).

Running Totals: (845) 267-175-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, April 17, 2011

Even on Polytrack, Speed Is Dangerous

Today’s Grade 2 Beaumont for three year old fillies going seven-eighths on the Keeneland Polytrack has sometimes served as a speed prep for the Kentucky Oaks three weeks hence.

It appears that’s what both California shippers, the first and second choices Turbulent Descent and Tell A Kelly, respectively have in mind. The latter hasn’t run since last year’s G1 Hollywood Starlet. Turbulent Descent won the G1 Santa Anita Oaks last out. They have the look of bigger fish to fry about them.

But not so Honey Chile (10-1). The dominant speed in this match-up over a track that’s been playing a little more speed favoring due to recent rains, she hails from a barn--Wayne Catalano’s--that excels with long lay-ups. In training since February, this looks like a prime spot of her dance card, and the price will be fair.

Taking Honey Chile to win at 5-1 or greater and keying her in exactas with both favorites.

Running Totals: (844) 267-174-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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