Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

From Canada to Lake George

If this is not the best edition of the G2 Lake George ever run, it’s certainly in the conversation. It’s a very deep, very contentious field that might just be laden with future grass stars. We find four of these fillies extremely interesting:

House Of Grace (8-1), pointed toward this and a course winner; Neon Light (9-2), a Group-winning German invader from winning connections; Dynazapper (12-1), a recent tough-tripper now turning back to her best distance, and Bay To Bay (4-1), compromised by a slow pace at Monmouth and working brilliantly for a top ship-in barn.

While all have merit, Bay To Bay looms the most probable winner. As a Grade 3 winner with multiple placings at that level, she’s a proven commodity that keeps improving. She had little chance vs. a soft pace from a wide slip at Monmouth and now reunites with Robby Albarado, 1-for-1 aboard the filly.

Her :48 3/5 work, 15th fastest of 107 three-year-old workers that week at her Woodbine base, is set to roll for a barn that’s a profitable 30% effective with its shippers. There’s no shortage of speed in this matchup and she’ll be rolling late.

Taking Bay To Bay to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiples with her three rivals listed above.

Running Totals: (691) 222-141-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,551.10 [win selections only] {Sunday and Monday selections were unavailable due to technical difficulties}

Written by John Pricci


New York State of Mind

Today’s Saratoga feature is the Evan Shipman for older state-breds going nine furlongs and these are some tough and talented hard hitters. No one would argue that early favorites Giant Moon (5-2) and Icabad Crane (3-1) has some class about them, but it’s the veteran Naughty New Yorker (6-1) that’s most interesting here.

In his Belmont finale, he had his early speed sharpened in a good-paced quickly run 6-½ furlongs and today he finds himself back on his favorite course (three wins) and optimal distance, given that some of his best performance figures have been earned at nine furlongs. He’s worked sharply for this and these connections, which have had a winner at the meet, always point toward Saratoga.

Taking Naughty New Yorker to win at 4-1 or greater, boxing him first and second with the two favorites, and adding Mighty Morris (4-1) to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (691) 222-141-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,551.10 [win selections only] {Sunday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, July 25, 2010

No Kantharos?  Phew!

Believe it or not, there are times when you can go from a Grade 3 to a Grade 2 and perhaps get some class relief while stepping up.

That’s because Lou Brissie (3-1) faced the two best juveniles seen on this side of the Mississippi thus far: Boys At Tosconova and Kantharos. Lou defeated “Boys” in the Kentucky Juvenile, but was no match for Kantharos in the Bashford Manor.

Lou Brissie is meeting some potentially very good colts here, but he has three races worth of experience, already has raced six furlongs, and has been stakes

Taking Lou Brissie to win at 2-1 or greater and key boxing him in exactas with Bail Out the Cat (2-1), an impressive maiden winner on sealed mud at Belmont, and Chipshot (7-2), a smart maiden winner at Monmouth, his third different surface in as many starts.

Running Totals: (691) 221-142-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,547.70 [win selections only] {Saturday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


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