Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Honk If You Like Donk

Interesting feature to win the Belmont week, a non-winners of two-other-than optional claiming for state-bred fillies and mares 3 & up going a mile and a sixteenth on the Elmont lawn.

For us, it comes down to the three year olds, Paraiba (4-1) and Speed Dating (6-1).

Paraiba’s performance figures are among the fastest in this contest and her age makes her eligible for continued development. She owns a fine stretch kick and has some tactical speed when you want it. Nicely drawn toward the inside, a switch to Julien Leparoux could insure a smooth, late-running journey. She fits the race shape properly here.

Speed Dating, meanwhile, is not as quick but has competitive figures, upside, and goes first time for the Hushion barn, an outfit coming off a sensational Saratoga meet and has excellent stats in all relevant categories including a highly profitable and efficient 26 percent strike rate with new acquisitions. His outside draw should play well on the Widener Course.

But taking Paraiba to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with Speed Dating. Exotic players can add Ambidaxtrous (4-1), Higher Incentive (6-1) and Bella Attrice to their trifecta and superfecta mix.

Running Totals: (503) 150-104-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, September 13, 2009

Clement Aims Winchester at Bowling Green

Today’s Bowling Green Handicap features the return of Grand Couturier (5-2) to Belmont Park, where he won a Grade 1 at this venue last fall. But his effort in the Sword Dancer was subpar on several levels. He’s worth trying to beat.

There are two interesting horses in here; Winchester (5-1) and Colony (5-1). While Colony looks like he’s been specifically pointed to this--Saeed bin Suroor is 31 percent third time off the layup and Rajiv Maragh will ride him back a third time. This outfit had quite a Saratoga.

But Winchester, the G1 Secretariat winner last summer, is making his second start off the layup for new tra1ner Christophe Clement, whose season continued in high style in yesterday’s G1 Garden City.

This guy is coming off a career pace low after which he made up lots of ground under those adverse circumstances. Now back at his favored marathon route with Ramon Dominguez on the re-ride, any semblance of his three year old form and performances figures handle this group.

Taking Winchester to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with Colony and Grand Couturier.

Running Totals: (502) 150-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, September 12, 2009

Versatility the Buy-Word

Two Grade 1s for females, one each on turf and dirt, and as you might guess the turf race offers greater money making potential as the more open of the two. Here’s a look, then, at the Garden City at nine furlongs for three-year-olds at nine furlongs. The other is the nine furlong Ruffian at the same distance for older on the main track.

The play in the Garden City is to get second favorite Maram (3-1) out of the number. The two of most interest are favorite Gozzip Girl (2-1) and third choice Shared Account (4-1).

Gozzip Girl showed a remarkable dimension winning the 10 furlong American Oaks from far back in a bulky field after winning her prior on the engine throughout, the former on a firm course and the latter in soft going at nine furlongs.

This kind of versatility is extremely unusual in a young horse. Of greater significance is the fact that in six lifetime turf starts, she’s never taken a backward step on the Equiform scale. Ten weeks fresh, she should resume where she left off. Shared Account is extremely promising and also handles both kinds of going, especially a wet course.

Taking Gozzip Girl to win at 8-5 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Shared Account.

Running Totals: (501) 150-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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