Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

Hey, Take a Powder!

Despite the unofficial opening of the winter race meet in New York, today’s inner track debut card features some very talented and fleet three-year-old fillies in the overnight Tate S. Stakes at six furlongs.

The filly with the most upside for today’s race is Powder Princess (4-1).

Sent out by the Clement/Garcia team, she recent score showed the kind of improvement indicating that more is likely forthcoming and the five weeks between starts looks perfect. And no one suit’s the race shape better.

There’s a whole lot of early gas in here, including the fresh, undefeated second favorite, Boodles (7-2). But despite the recovery time, a regression looks logical here, especially given the stretchout from 5-½ furlongs.

The others having something say--about the pace and the outcome--are the accomplished favorite, Bold Union (2-1), improving price shot Seminole Lass (15-1) and Yes She's A Lucky Lady (6-1), turning back off a hot paced try and returning to a winning surface. But we’ll look to sit the pocket and the rest would be up to Garcia, however, this won’t be easy.

Taking Powder Princess to win at 9-2 or greater and keying her first and second in exotics with her four rivals here.

Running Totals: (553) 172-110-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,194.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, November 29, 2009

A Long Way to Go for Even Money

The Aqueduct main track stakes finale is the overnight Power Lunch Stakes and you’ll get your money’s worth, too--all 14 furlongs of it which is, of course, 1-¾ miles. That’s where your money’s worth ends. If I told you that I thought I had a good chance to beat Atoned (1-1), I’d be lying.

On paper, he appears to have too much class, too much ability and, as a four-year-old, too much upside for the competition. Factor in the Pletcher/Velazquez connections and you can imagine what you’d be up against here.

The only chance to take decent money out of the race is an exotics play. Taking Atoned to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first with Malibu Moonshine (12-1), nicely suited by the conditions and 1-for-1 at the distance, third in trifectas and to complete a cold exacta.

Running Totals: (552) 172-109-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,194.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, November 28, 2009

Style and Value to Trump Speed in Cigar Mile

The final Grade 1 of this seemingly longer than usual season, the Grade 1 Cigar Mile, appears to us a two-horse battle between Vineyard Haven (9-5), part of the bin Suroor entry, and mile specialist Bribon (5-2).

Vineyard Haven has returned to the races in excellent form this year following a lengthy layoff with two excellent figure scores in top class company.

But the three-year-old is actually giving weight to the mile specialist when the scale of weights in factored in. Between that and likely having to chase the speedy Driven By Success, we need to opt for value and running style.

Bribon figures on both scores. The pace will be to his liking and he’s won half his 10 starts going a mile and, given his late-run style, is stronger going one turn than two.

Taking Bribon to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Vineyard Haven.

Running Totals: (551) 172-108-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,194.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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