Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Run Sully, Run!

Today’s Belmont Park feature, the French Colonial overnight stakes for three-year-olds that have not won a stakes this year, drew a full field and looks suspiciously like a possible prep for the Hall of Fame Stakes in Saratoga in early August. The two fastest horses on performance figures also sport good company lines. Speed and class are dangerous tandem, especially on grass.

El Sultry Sun (3-1) wouldn’t be the first turf horse to ship to Colonial Downs and encounter a soft course which can be very difficult to negotiate. He made a mid-race move off a slow pace before retreating, never a serious threat. He’s better than that, as he showed winning two overnight stakes previously and was a good third in the Grade 3 Calder Derby despite a rough trip breaking from the extreme outside in a field of 11. He reunites with Kent Desormeaux, his pilot at Calder. He is a very deserving favorite.

In terms of development, Run Sully Run (4-1) is not that far behind. He’s been very competitive in stakes, both overnighters and graded events, and finished only a length behind the favorite in the aforementioned Calder Derby and closer than that in a recent Monmouth listed stakes. Subsequent to that effort, he’s been working rapidly at the Shore now ships in for Cam Gambolati, winning at a profitable 21 percent rate for the year and tapping Edgar Prado for today’s assignment. “Sully” carries 118 pounds vs. the favorite’s 123.

Taking Run Sully Run to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with El Sultry Sun. Trifecta players add So It Goes (20-1) and Dynochracy (10-1) to the mix.

Running Totals: (233) 73-49-27. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Blue Horseshoe Loves Pulpitina

With a fortnight to Saratoga, the NYRA racing week begins with a preliminary allowances for fillies and mares sprinting six furlongs. Probably half this field will end up winning a small stakes somewhere, maybe more.

We’ll concentrate on two: favorite City Bird (8-5) and Pulpitina (5-1).

While she never has returned to her top effort at 3, any performance figure resembling it would make her the winner here--by many lengths. She can stalk from close range, has done her best racing on this surface and should benefit from her recent season’s debut. Coming back six weeks fresh for Rick Dutrow and Edgar Prado makes her a tough out here.

Pulpitina is the only potential value in this field. Her start two back was competitive and the promise of a wet track (thunderstorms predicted) can only help, as will her three-year-old debut. As a three-year-old, she gets five pounds from her older rival, Christophe Clement’s horses usually run well second time off the layup and the filly switches to the white hot Alan Garcia.

Taking the value on Pulpitina at 4-1 or greater and an exacta box with favorite City Bird.

Running Totals: (232) 73-48-27. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, July 06, 2008

Throwing Deep in the Dwyer

(The detailed analysis of today’s Grade 2 Dwyer Stakes is the subject of today’s blog on home page).

As for the betting strategy, we’re taking price play Pascal to win at 10-1 or more, and a boxed exacta with favorite Mint Lane.

Running Totals: (231) 73-48-26. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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