Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, November 16, 2007

Recent Claim Tested for Class in Big A Feature

Racing is expected to resume today following Thursday’s track-condition cancellation with a very tricky starter allowance sprint for three-year-olds going six furlongs. The key is knowing what to do with early line favorite Law N Dora (5-2). The major competition, from the inside, out, should come from Starship Dancer (8-1), Sonic Boom and Double Or Nothing (7-2).

The key clearly is the favorite that ran off and hid in its debut at The Meadowlands going five and a half furlongs. Will he give the same effort here, vs. tougher ore experienced rivals going a longer distance off one start? Not an easy answer to that one.

Alan Seewald clearly caught Steve Asmussen taking his best hold, reaching in and claiming the first-time starter for $40,000. Off that rapidly run debut, it certainly looks like a good claim. He’s worked a bullet since that visually impressive score and Sean Elliott ships in to ride the promising youngster.

Starship Dancer showed marked improvement for Bruce Levine in his Meadowlands finale but he also is making his Big A debut while up in class and distance.

Sonic Boom is coming off a new pace top and has some relatively competitive figures to run back to. He is expected to improve with blinkers added and Eddie Castro will ride him back for Gary Contessa. He seems to have the most upset potential.

Double Or Nothing improved in his first start off the Dutrow acquisition as all of them do and he does attract Edgar Prado. While he figures to improve in this spot, his outside draw is compromising in a somewhat sizable field. Prospects are that he may be overbet.

Will take the promising favorite to win, but at no lower than 8-5. Also making an exacta box with Sonic Boom, and keying Law N Dora first and second in trifectas with all three major contenders.

Running Totals: (130) 45-29-14. Total Dollar Return: $266.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, November 15, 2007

Turning Up the Heat in Big A Feature

Today’s feature is a real scramble, a preliminary allowances, optional claiming $75,000 for three-year-old fillies and older sprinting six furlongs. Six of the eight fillies could easily win it. Resultantly, we’ll narrow our focus to two: Carolina Fuego (8-1) and Sunset Cocktail (9-2).

Carolina Fuego has been somewhat in and out but fits very well here on her best try. Adding blinkers, trainer Leah Gyarmati also switches to Johnny Velazquez, the team winning at a better than 20 percent rate. The filly was a very game second in a Delaware Park stakes two back, owns tactical speed and kick and owns the co-highest Equiform performance figure on the page/ The real attraction, of course, is the price.

Sunset Cocktail turns back to her best distance while shipping in for the talented Derek Ryan shed and attracts Frankie Pennington, perennially among the leading riders at Philly Park, shipping along for the ride. Victimized by a rough trip in a recent state-bred stakes, she turns back to the distance that saw her finished a game second in quickly run heat. Like ‘Fuego’, she should provide value in a very competitive sprint.

Taking Carolina Fuego to win at 4-1 or greater and an exacta box with Sunset Cocktail.

Running Totals: (130) 45-29-14. Total Dollar Return: $266.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Some Value Available in Competitive Big A Sprint

Today’s feature is a little gem, an overnighter, the Maria’s Mon, attracting some talented, late developing three-year-old sprinters going three-quarters of a mile.

From the inside, out, we’ll concentrate on Leonardo (9-5), Appealing Spring (6-1) and Roi Maudit (2-1).

Leonardo has just blossomed this fall. His last was excellent, his first start with blinkers and beneath Javier Castellano. Castellano, hottest rider on the circuit, takes the re-ride on a colt who should sit tucked in behind the speed from his inside slip. While he’s recent work was third best that day, it was the fastest move posted by a three-year-old at the distance for the week. He will be a tough out.

When last seen, Appealing Spring was rushing up the inside of a deep sloppy Monmouth track on the Friday preceding Breeders’ Cup. (And, contrary to popular theories, two trusted sources walked the Monmouth surface and found the inside and extreme outside to be the most holding parts of the sloppy surface). He has excellent company lines in his PPs, is 2-for-2 beneath Joe Bravo, and clearly has improved since moving into Kelly Breen’s shed.

Moi Maudit also will be a very tough out, especially if he duplicates his last effort for Bill Mott. His last two performance figures were excellent and he seeks his third straight win off two dominating efforts over lesser. Working well since his last race, he’s nicely drawn to give Johnny Velasquez a bird’s-eye view of the developments. He clearly fits the anticipated race shape.

Taking Moi Maudit to win at 2-1 or more and an exacta box with Appealing Spring. Also, will key him in trifecta money positions with Leonardo, Appealing Spring and probable value Blue Bullet (9-2).

Running Totals: (129) 44-29-14. Total Dollar Return: $261.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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