Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, September 24, 2009
Sharpness Over Past Accomplishment
Today’s Belmont feature, the Belle Bourne restricted stakes for state-bred fillies and mares 3 & up going a mile and a sixteenth of the main track.
Weathered is by far the fastest and most accomplished but she hasn’t shown she’s the same filly she was last season. She can win, of course, but not for us as the 2-1 early line favorite.
We prefer Dean Henry (9-2), a late developing four year old who’s been on a recent tear. The Empire Maker’s are often late bloomers, the case here, she has competitive performance figures, her style fit’s the shape here and Tom Albertrani has an excellent record with repeaters.
Rajiv Maragh takes the re-ride off the recent score, she’s a winner at the distance and 1-for-1 over Big Sandy.
Taking Dean Henry to win at 3-1 or more and an exacta key box with Weathered and Raffie’s Treasure (10-1) who appears to be cycling back into top form.
Running Totals: (509) 151-105-71 Total Dollar Return: $1,023.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
On a Win and a Prayer
An interesting small field Belmont feature, the Cat Chat restricted stakes at a mile for three year old fillies on the main track.
In Acronym (9-5), you have a favorite that made a impressive return to the races for the Bobby Frankel barn at 7 furlongs on the grass and now tries more seasoned, but mostly a lot of returnees from long layups.
Small field, many questions.
The Frankel barn has been waking up in New York of late. Everyone knows that Frankel hasn’t been well, and his hands-on touch has been missed. But in Acronym, this looks like a classic Frankel pattern. But the price will be very short.
The solid/talented and fastest performance horses are War Echo (3-1) and Malibu Prayer (5-2).
After finishing third behind Rachel Alexandra in the Golden Rod, she won the G3 Silverbulletday. But that was on February 7. What’s today about?
Malibu Prayer has advantages. Fastest by definition, she has usable gears, a good post and the distance should suit perfectly. But two turns to one sometimes is a tricky read, even if she was second in Rachel‘s G1 Mother Goose on this track.
Taking Malibu Prayer to win at 2-1 or greater and key-boxing her in exactas and trifectas.
Running Totals: (508) 150-105-71 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, September 20, 2009
It’s Two, Two Picks in One!
Two stakes, two selections on the day, and a chance to get alive in a rolling double that’s part of a Pick Six with a $66,000 carryover.
In the restricted Chaldea Stakes, Strike The Bell (9-5) is back with straight three-year-old and back on Belmont turf at 7 furlongs where she earned a lifetime best performance figure. Her late kick is complemented with sufficient pace up front here and Ramon Dominguez looks to make it two straight.
But the interesting filly here is Haka (4-1), making her first tart for Christophe Clement. She will appreciate the class relief, dropping from graded stakes company, and raced well enough in her lone turf start as a two-year-old, indicating that her return to that surface is fitting, especially coming off the synthetic surface at Santa Anita.
The winner of the next race, the John Hettinger for state-bred females going nine furlongs, looks like it must come out of the Yaddo at Saratoga. Nehantic Cat (6-5) was the impressive winner but Crazy Catlady (12-1) was only beaten a couple of lengths and had a least a length worth of trouble on the turn.
With the favorite picking up three pounds to 123 and with the ‘Catlady’ returning to her favorite course and switching to Johnny Velazquez, it makes sense not to take a short price on the highweight.
Taking Haka to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Strike The Bell.
Taking Crazy Catlady to win at 8-12 or more and exacta key boxes with Nehantic and Chestoria (3-1) Take a 2x3 double wheel from the eighth to the ninth races.
Running Totals: (506) 150-105-70 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci