Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, February 19, 2011

Beam Me Up, Scotty

There is an axiom which we hold close to our handicapping heart; class on the grass.

On paper, today’s Grade 2 Mac Diarmida is very competitive on performance figures. One can make a good case for about five horses on the Equiform scale.

However, if classifying is the barometer then the contenders reduce themselves to two and, of those, Al Khali (7-2) appears to hold the current class edge.

The Bill Mott trainee was very competitive when properly handled at the G1 and G2 levels last year, he enters this fresh for the Hall of Famer who can get them ready and goes well for Kent Desormeaux--that’s when Desormeaux’s going well, that is.

The wide draw, while unfavorable, might chase some of the wise guys away so that the five-year-old remains bettable.

Taking Al Khali to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with old pro Musketier (6-1), Roger Attfield tapping the hot riding Alex Solis. Mr. Attfield also can have them ready to roll off the bench.

Running Totals: (811) 258-168-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,787.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, February 18, 2011

Child’s Play for Giants Play?

Whichever filly you land on in today’s Gulfstream feature for fillies and mare preliminary allowance types going a marathon distance, taking a short price should be out of the question, certainly no lower than 5-1.

Three of the ladies are making their U.S. debuts for trainers named Biancone, Clement and Motion. Do you think any would have a problem getting one ready off a lengthy layup? Me neither.

The newcomer that interests us is Giants Play (8-1), the Clement filly. He raced very consistently as a Euro three year old, albeit on lesser circuits, and her Pps indicate she has tactical speed, good for our turf courses, not so much over there. Clement likes to use Bravo, and Jersey Joe’s riding well here.

We’re taking Giants Play to win at 6-1 or greater, and keying her in money positions in the multiples with Up In Lights (4-1), La Luna De Miel (5-1), Silk Route (7-2) and Champagnelifestyle (6-1).

Running Totals: (810) 258-168-112 Total Dollar Return: $1,787.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, February 17, 2011

Rock Rolls in South Florida

Yesterday we spoke of a highly contentious race that, because of its difficulty, often yield favorable results in terms of value. Today’s feature may be too much of a good thing.

With serious cases to be made for Mutiny (8-1), Longboarder (4-1) and Estimate (3-1), we’ll attempt to make the best case for Devon Rock (6-1).

Jimmy Jerkens trainee was visually impressive in his maiden turf score at Belmont but disappointed since. However, this 4-year-old ran well enough in tougher company to still believe his future is on the grass.

Recent off-the-turf mile should tighten up this colt who broke maiden at special asking last year, a Jerkens specialty, and he finds himself in a similar scenario here.

With speed and capable of stalking from close range, Alan Garcia, who rides him back, can work out a good trip from his inside draw. Devon Rock worked well at his Palm Meadows base for this for a barn that’s a profitable 21% efficient with second-off-the-layup runners.

Taking Devon Rock to win at 5-1 or greater and keying him first and second in the multiples with his rivals listed here.

Running Totals: (809) 258-167-112 Total Dollar Return: $1,787.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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