Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, October 01, 2010

The Lowdown on the Gold Cup

Today’s Jockey Club Gold is the classic struggle between three-year-olds and their elders. While the historical “advantage” has been with the elders, that trend has changed in recent years. But it won’t this year because these youngsters are not particularly fast nd have been beating each other all year, Lookin At Lucky notwithstanding, right? Think again.

Fly Down (9-2) was narrowly beaten while racing on the rail at Saratoga in the Travers, earning an incrementally top lifetime best figure, indicative of another forward move. He’s getting four pounds from his older rivals, is nicely drawn inside on the elbow turn, and his sharp half-mile on the Oklahoma training track was fastest of 45 three-year-olds to work this week in Saratoga. With the speedy Haynesfield and fresh Rail Trip lined up, there should be sufficient speed to help his late run in the return to his favorite surface.

Taking Fly Down to win at 7-2 or greater, boxing him in the exacta with the very talented Blame (8-5), and adding first-time Dutrow, Rail Trip (5-2), to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (737) 239-153-98 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, September 30, 2010

All My Life’s a Circle

It’s easy to tell when Rudy Rodriguez has taken over the training of a new horse without even looking at the PPs: Just look at the horse’s performance figures and if they’ve improved markedly, that’s your first strong clue. Such as was the case when I looked at Endless Circle (2-1) in today’s featured Easy N Dirty Stakes at 6-½ furlongs for New York breds.

And there’s a chance that 2-1 is gettable since the horse he beat who was odds-on last time, Driven By Success (9-5), is back in and sure to attract strong play given the Todd/Johnny Team.

Endless Circle has a better position in mid-gate while the favorite has drawn the rail. He owns tactical speed and can kick, is a four-time winner at Belmont and is 2-for-3 at the hybrid distance. His most recent top figure was earned on a sloppy surface and he’s been given sufficient recovery time since that Spa sprint.

Taking Endless Circle to win at 8-5 or greater and an exacta with General Maximus (4-1). Trifecta players should add price shot Good Card (20-1) to their mix.

Running Totals: (737) 239-153-98 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Can’t Kid a Kidder

Today’s Belle Cherie Stakes at Belmont Park is interesting given it’s wide open nature, horses in various stages of development coming off layups and freshening, all compounded by the fact that the area is expecting heavy rains through the period. But that shouldn’t adversely effect Kid Kate (6-1) adversely, especially since she’s 3-for-3 in wet going.

It’s not only that but the late developer earned a lifetime best performance figure going a mile at Belmont Park, today’s trip. Add to that the fact that her half mile in :48 termed breezing was second fastest of 82 three-year-old fillies that week, she’s coming off a soft win and was wisely shipped to Belmont before the Spa meet ended, even though she won at the Spa oval. Certainly looks like she’s been pointed this way.

Taking Kid Kate to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with Ailelea, Quiet Giant and Beautician.

Running Totals: (737) 239-153-98 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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