Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

The Race Is Not Always to the Swift

When it comes to improving new acquisitions, it’s no secret that Jamie Ness’s horses sometime move way up.

In today’s featured two turner at Presque Isle Downs, it’s not so much that Lil Carolina (3-1) has improved leaps and bounds. Rather it’s the incremental improvement the six year old mare has shown since coming under Ness’s care.

In fact, her last open-lengths victory over the Tapeta surface got her back to her previous best levels achieved on turf late last year, and all know about the correlations between good turf and synthetic form. But there is another filly sitting off her right hip, Alamanda Drive, who also has early speed and figures to improve off the recent return to Marilyn McMullen‘s barn..

However, there is another filly who fits those same parameters, and while West Court (6-1) is slower on performance figures than the race favorite, the four year old filly has upside and an impressive score over the Keeneland Polytrack for trainer Christophe Clement who reaches out for the patient strong finishing Pablo Morales, with whom he has enjoyed past success.

Taking West Court to win at 3-1 or greater and keying her in exactas first and second with Lil Carolina and surface loving The Lady Waffles (4-1).

Running Totals: (674) 214-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,485.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, June 19, 2010

Me and Eibar Down By the Schoolyard

Taking Schoolyard Dreams (5-1) to win at 4-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Jackson Bend. Trifecta players can add Soaring Empire (8-1) and Afleet Express (5-2) to their mix.

Running Totals: (673) 214-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,485.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, June 18, 2010

Full Unit on Half Metal Jacket

Exiting a key race that has produced two winners from three subsequent starters, Flat Bold (9-5) is a deserving favorite of today’s Belmont Park featured non-winners of three allowances/optional claiming mile for older horses.

Two of his three lifetime best performance figures have come on this surface, at this distance last out and he returns six weeks fresh breaking from a favorable outside slip.

But it’s second favorite Half Metal Jacket (2-1) that appears more interesting. Owning an enviable blend of tactical speed, finishing ability and a 3-for-5 record at this distance, the 5-year-old gelding appears to have improved off the Chip Dutrow claim, returns to his winning level for a barn that’s 3-for-10 recently going sprint to route with four other money finishes.

The victim of a horribly wide trip when out-posted and ambitiously placed in a sprint stakes on the Preakness day undercard, we don’t construe Ramon Dominguez riding him back as a bad sign. From his position in the outer middle portion of the gate vs. six rivals, we look for him to start quickly, allowing Dominguez to play it off the break.

Taking Half Metal Jacket to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Flat Bold, and adding surface loving Green spirit (6-1) and fresh returnee Birdrun (7-2) from the white hot Mott shed to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (672) 213-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,478.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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