Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Always Love Value

Today’s Sabin overnight Stakes, scheduled for 1-1/16th miles on the turf for fillies and mares has drawn a sizable and well balanced field. As such, we’re going for the gusto. First, the logical types.

Sea Chanter (3-1) is a worthy early line favorite. She’s consistently fastest on performance figures, has the ability to get position if Johnny Velazquez elects, and as a late season four-year-old still might have some development remaining.

Chestoria (7-2) has been a hall mark of consistency, owns competitive figures, is nicely drawn inside with Dominguez and has a strong late kick. Trainer Bill Badgett, enjoying a resurgent season, is 3-for-4 at the current meet through Monday’s races.

But it’s Always For Love (8-1) that’s most intriguing, especially at early line odds. First, she owns early zip to gain position from an outside slip, worked well at her Philadelphia base, attracts regular partner Victor Molina, a talented turf rider, owns competitive figures, handles any footing and won her only start over this course at this time last year. Her outside draw almost insures more than bettable odds.

Taking Always For Love to win at 8-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (540) 164-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,139.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Back in a New York State of Mind

The New York racing week begins with the overnight In Her Glory Stakes for fillies and mares three-year-olds and up sprinting six furlongs.

The obvious favorite is Tar Heel Mom (1-1) coming off a comprehensive wet track victory at The Meadowlands. With the promise of rain in the forecast, she is likely to get her favored conditions today, seeking her fourth victory in seven wet track starts.

And did I mention she’s the fastest filly on performance figures? Significantly faster? She should be the public’s choice.

Still, Stan Hough’s filly is likely to regress, given her recent effort and short rest, especially tough on a filly and is worth trying to upset.

We’re taking Distorted Passion (7-2), a filly who was graded stakes placed and which earned competitive figures last winter and spring. She lacks wet track experience but reunites with Rajiv Maragh and boasts a two-sided wet track pedigree. She’s been training steadily and purposefully for her return.

Taking Distorted Passion to win at 5-2 or greater, and boxing her in the exacta with Tar Heel Mom and a talented returnee, three-year-old Rock Candy (10-1).

Running Totals: (539) 164-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,139.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, November 07, 2009

All Wagers Are Relative

On his versatility, liking for Santa Anita, his excellent training regimen over the surface, his resplendent physical appearance, underrated star Julien Leparoux and projected odds of somewhere in the neighborhood of 15-1, better Einstein to win the Breeders' Cup Classic, and a saver win wager on the fastest horse by definition, one with pedigree and body style to handle synthetics, Quality Road. Somewhere north of 8-1 is acceptable. Further, an exacta box including European star, Rip Van Winkle. Enjoy the Breeders' Cup everyone. It's not every day that racing gets a spot in the front row.

Running Totals will be updated by, the latest, Wednesday's post

Should Einstein win, there will be no analysis for Sunday. Celebrations would ensue.

Written by John Pricci


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