Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, July 26, 2009

Long Jump a Short Cut to Successful Belmont Getaway

The ultimate equipment change angle might be first time gelding but bar shoes off isn’t bad either. Couple that with excellent performance figures on a horse’s best effort and you get a fairly strong rebound play. That’s what we’re looking for with Long Jump (3-1) today.

A repeat of his too late rally effort over the track two starts back, or his maiden win going long last year at Churchill Downs, will get this job done. Record winning Belmont spring leading rider Ramon Dominguez figures to add to his totals in the spot. Trainer Christophe Clement is having a career meet and is coming fresh off yesterday's Oaks score.

The horses to beat are Banking Holiday (2-1), coming off a monster score in a $14,000 claimer off the Michael Maker claim.

Taum Sauk (6-1), who suffered through a tough trip off he layup in his Belmont debut and now returns fro Dan Peitz, who’s a profitable 22 percent in second-off-the-layup scenarios. ‘Saul’s’ pedigree indicates today’s stretchout might be what’s needed for a peak effort.

Taking Long Jump to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him in exactas with Banking Holiday and Taum Sauk.

Running Totals: (468) 139-97-64 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only] {Saturday‘s Results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, July 25, 2009

Sprinter Grand Traverse Figures to Wear Claiming Crown

For a more complete analysis of today’s fifth race from Canterbury Downs, the Rapid Transit Stakes, see Pricci Morning Line on lead page

Taking Grand Traverse (2-1) to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in exactas and trifectas with Max Ahead (5-2) and Right Flanker (12-1).

Running Totals: (467) 139-96-64 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, July 24, 2009

Only One Way to Go: Ambidaxtrous

Maybe I should be careful what I wish for but Saratoga can’t come fast enough given many of the features we’ve seen lately at Belmont that on paper have not been competitive but in many case have yielded some inscrutable results.

Just because you look for good value, it doesn’t mean you’re going to find it. At least until the betting windows open.

Today’s second allowances/optional claimer for state-breds going 1-1/16 miles on the inner turf course doesn’t figure to be competitive on paper: It almost looks too easy for Ambidaxtrous (2-1).

Making her four-year-old debut recently, she demonstrated excellent development from three to four with that effort not likely to extract too much from her reserves.

This is helped by the fact that trainer Tom Bush is a profitable 23 percent with second-off-long layup starters and is one of the hottest trainers on the grounds, winning at a near 25 percent rate in the last few months with a huge ROI.

In her return, the filly was well bet and raced well, actually drifting out in midstretch as if in need of the race. Kent Desormeaux is re-riding the filly who, from her outside post, figures to drop out of it early and come running late.

Taking Ambidaxtrous to win, no price restrictions, and keying her and stablemate Boxitup first and second in exactas and trifectas with Higher Incentive (7-2) and Offhand Remark (3-1).

Running Totals: (467) 139-96-64 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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