Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, June 27, 2009

Bo and Rail, Need More?

We wanted to get away from today’s Mother Goose featuring Rachel Alexandra, the 1-5 early line favorite, so we settled on the restricted Fratello Ed for state-breds. And what this mile and a sixteenth turned out to be was a battle between favorites Wishful Tomcat (5-2 and Z Fortune (3-1).

Wishful Tomcat has been well, a bear, since leaving graded stakes company on SoCal and returning to New York to meet his peers. Trainer Rick Dutrow undoubtedly has ground the hole card.

Two for two recently on the local tracks, the 4-year-old ridgling improved his record to 2-for-3 at the distance, with the third another money finish, and he’s been dominating with his early speed. But he doesn’t just last. He kicks on strongly indicating that he’s not a one dimensional type. That will help here as there’s speed signed on today. He’s five weeks fresh, has worked thrice since his last win in this company and retains leading rider Dominguez.

Z Fortune, breaking from the rail with Borel, gets the mount from Steve Asmussen, who obviously will saddle the filly later in the day. This outfit takes no chances. In fact, Z Fortune is part of an uncoupled entry with a mate that owns some early speed and Johnny Velazquez, who will try to press things or work out the perfect stalking trip from his outside slip. The race shape suits this late kicker, a winner of his only start over Big Sandy. This looks like the right wake-up spot.

Taking Z Fortune to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Wishful Tomcat.

Running Totals: (450) 135-94-60 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, June 26, 2009

Poetry in Motion

It’s very rare when we take a horse with no turf form against proven grass runners, especially in stakes competition. We’re making an exception in today’s restricted Perfect Sting Stakes which for out purpose today could have been named the Perfect Storm.

There’s no arguing with those who would prefer Dame Ellen (4-1). She’s two for three on grass, hails from a profitable 24 percent turf barn, attracts Jose Lezcano with a inside draw and a strong workline going into today’s mile and a sixteenth.

Then there’s the very consistent Fast Tigress (5-1), who’s been earning competitive figures while being toughened up in stakes competition. Both lifetime wins came at today’s trip, the Kimmel barn has a 21 percent strike rate this meet and the switch to smooth riding Rajiv Maragh also augurs well.

But it’s Shared Account (12-1) that’s the most interesting. This filly never has lost a race that wasn’t a graded stakes, going three for three when away from G2 company, trainer Graham Motion is profitable going turf to dirt and, most significantly, first time turf. This is not easily done given large samples in each category.

Jeremy Rose comes up the turnpike to ride this bullet-worker who’s bred both sides of her pedigree for grass, sire Pleasantly Perfect a profitable 18 percent efficient in that scenario. Drawn toward the inside, her tactical speed should serve her well.

Taking Shared Account to win at 10-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with her rivals here. Trifecta players can add Strike The Bell (8-1) and Dynaslew (7-2).

Running Totals: (449) 135-94-59 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, June 25, 2009

From Canada to Belmont to Winner’s Circle

The restricted Sabellina Stakes for older state-bred fillies and mares on the turf is an interesting mile and a sixteenth featuring some very nice mares, indeed. Horses of interest are Southside Babe (12-1), Remarkable Remy (4-1) and Pastel Gal (7-2).

Southside Babe makes her first start for the Kiaran McLaughlin/Alan Garcia team with a steady workline, competitive figures, inside draw and debut in New York-bred company. She owns tactical speed and kick and would be a bargain at early line odds.

Pastel Gal, an uncoupled entrant from the Barclay Tagg barn, finished well too late in her course return when third. She earns competitive figures with some consistently given today’s scenario and goes well for Jose Lezcano. She likely will be finishing fastest of all.

But we’re thinking Remarkable Remy will get the jump on her late run rivals after stalking comfortably from mid-pack beneath position conscious Johnny Velazquez. She raced deceptively well in her season’s debut in a Canadian G2 now returns to the state-bred ranks on her favorite course.

Remy’s won half of her six starts at the distance with two money finishes and has worked twice since that stakes in her second start for trainer Malcolm Pierce, a profitable 20 percent in that scenario.

Taking Remarkable Remy to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas and in trifectas with her rivals here, adding Absoulute Heaven (5-1) to the tri mix.

Running Totals: (449) 135-94-59 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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