Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, November 30, 2008

Nothing Could Be Finah…

The final stakes of the Aqueduct main track season is the Montauk at nine furlongs for state-bred fillies and mares looks like it will be a pretty formful affair among My Dinah (5-2), Point Me To It (3-1) and Here Comes Rita (8-1).

My Dinah is marching forward incrementally and should continue to go well here. While she prefers a target, she might hold a pace edge in this two-turner and certainly has enough pedigree for the added ground, as most John Hettinger-bred horses do. Regular rider Jose Espinosa rides her back for Kathleen Feron.

Point Me To It has improved off the recent Gary Contessa claim and this might be the spot he had in mind when he haltered her on October 9. While the top half of the pedigree is challenged in the routing department, Contessa is profitable when he goes long off two prior sprints. The rail and tactical speed at this trip won’t hurt.

If only Here Comes Rita were a bit quicker on performance figures and was better positioned than the outside slip at this distance. The good news, however, is that she has come into her own as she’s won three of her last four, is bred both sides for the distance and is poised to make a forward move. That and her early line odds.

But we’re taking My Dinah to win, no price restrictions, and keying her first and second in exactas and trifectas with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (320) 97-66-43. Total Dollar Return: $680.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, November 29, 2008

Tale of Value

What the final Grade 1 of the NYRA season, the Cigar Mile, lacks in star quality it makes up for in competitiveness. What makes it more vexing is the fact that the fastest horse by definition is coming off a lengthy layoff for a barn not known to excel in those scenarios.

So many are capable of winning this: old warrior Wanderin Boy (4-1), the previously referenced Monterey Jazz (6-1), the fast, improved Kodiak Kowboy (7-2), streaking Big A lover Bribon (6-1), undefeated Storm Play (9-2), etc., etc. We must believe, however, events dictate that value is an imperative, and that Tale of Ekati (12-1) is the correct play.

Like Bribon, Tale OF Ekati loves Aqueduct. Prior to wining his most recent start, the G2 Jerome mile at Belmont, his best performance figure came in the G1 Wood Memorial this spring, in which he showed gameness with a rail run, emerging from close quarters with a game score.

His best effort came last out in the Jerome, a career best performance figure, but not so big as to project a certain regression. The Jerome is a one-turn mile, similar to today’s scenario, which suits this colt’s style best, that of a stretch running sprinter.

A three-year-old, he still has developmental potential and with 55 days rest and a series of strong, steady works. Despite meeting elders here, his 116 assignment seems fair. His tactical speed and ability to win from anywhere on the racetrack augurs well.

Taking the value offered on Tale of Ekati to win at 8-1 or greater, keying him first and second in exactas with Wanderin Boy, adding Bribon, Kodiak Kowboy and Storm Play to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (319) 96-66-43. Total Dollar Return: $661.00 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Friday, November 28, 2008

Wolfson Ships North for Slewfoundmoney

Marty Wolfson, who has an aversion to flying, may or may not come for the ride when Slewfoundmoney (7-2) ships in for today’s Grade 2 Top Flight Handicap at a flat mile on the Aqueduct main track.

Wolfson has always shown a deft hand with shippers, as his 27 percent strike rate can attest. But the pride of South Florida is having a career year, winning with 33 percent of his starters, and his stats get better when his horses seeking to repeat (39 percent).

This late developing four-year-old has really blossomed since moving into Wolfson’s shed several months ago. Her recent figures are first rate, competitive with all excepting Any Limit (3-1), the fastest mare here who’s working very well, but not as reliable as the ship-in at today’s distance. She, too, has been working bullets at her Florida base, has proven versatility and attracts position conscious Eddie Castro.

Taking Slewfoundmoney to win at 3-1 or greater, boxing her in the exacta with Any Limit, and adding Altesse (5-1) and Leah’s Secret (4-1) to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (318) 96-65-43. Total Dollar Return: $661.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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