Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

It’s Magic

The feature race at Belmont Park, such as it is, is not all that interesting--unless we can fashion some exotic filler, that is.

Magic Lion (5-2) is a worthy favorite and most probable winner. He’s been the fastest on paper most recently, owns an impressive score over the track, and goes first time off the Chad Brown claim, a variable that’s 26% and profitable since the young man has struck out on his own.

Further, he looks to be the dominant, and possibly lone, speed and Rajiv Maragh certainly doesn’t hurt his chances. The main danger looms Harmonizer (2-1), coming of two good seconds since switching to the Mike Maker shed who excels with horses going long. So does partner Ramon Dominguez.

Taking Magic Lion to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Harmonizer, and adding Long Jump (4-1), coming out fresh for Christophe Clement who’s 2-for-2 recently using Cornelio Velasquez and Show Trial (20-1), on a great performance-figure line and rates to fill out a worthy trifecta.

Running Totals: (670) 212-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,475.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Delaware Feature Upsetter Tiz Miz Sue

Today’s feature at Delaware Park is a competitive six horse field that offers some value because of the presence of a Todd Pletcher-trained favorite, Union Waters (9-5).

Pletcher’s 25 profitable going short to long and the filly certainly has enough pedigree to get today’s mile and 70 yards. But those factors virtually guarantee she will be an underlay in the straight pool.

Meanwhile, Tiz Miz Sue is battled tested going long, having run in three Grade 3 routes, two on dirt, including an excellent placing at this level two back before trying the grass unsuccessfully.

But that’s the good news since trainer Steve Hobby is 2-for-3 recently going turf to dirt and Terry Thompson is on the re-ride. Her performance figures going long are among the fastest in the group.

Taking Tiz Miz Sue to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing her in the exacta with Union Waters, and adding Thundering Rose (6-1), from the sharp ship-in barn of Larry Horning, to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (669) 211-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,470.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, June 12, 2010

Upset At Ten

Today’s Grade 1 Ogden Phipps at Belmont Park is one of those rare opportunities to find value in a five-horse field. All eyes and most of the money will be on Unrivaled Belle (1-1), an improvement four year old filly who took the measure of Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra at Churchill Downs in her latest start.

And who’s hotter in New York stakes company right now that trainer Bill Mott? Well, that answer might be Todd Pletcher, who sends out Life At Ten (3-1) seeking her fifth straight win.

While she has no experience at Belmont Park, where the favorite is 2-for-2, but Life At Ten has a subtle but significant pace edge on her main rival, finding herself in a paceless group, getting three pounds from the favorite and returning with excellent spacing for position conscious stable rider Johnny Velazquez.

Look for her to stalk overmatched Manitoba Miss, get the jump on the favorite and hold her safe to the wire. Taking Life At Ten to win at 2-1 or greater and boxing her with Unrivaled Belle.

Running Totals: (668) 210-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,463.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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