Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, June 03, 2011

No Day to Play Beat the Favorite

Ava K., the 8-5 favorite in today’s Wandering Cloud at Belmont Park for state-bred fillies, is going to be a tough out. Besides the fact she started her career on a three race win streak, it was enough inspiration for her connections to try open graded company. Back to reality with a sharp blowout here.

I was considering taking likely value with second off-the-shelf Miss Valentine, with a rider switch and a sharp work or Sentimental Lass, a returnee that’s 2-for-2 over the local track. The problem is I’m not sure which way to go there but am confident that Ava K’s best is more than good enough.

Taking Ava K to win, no price restrictions, and keying her in multiples with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (870) 274-178-119 Total Dollar Return: $1,911.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, June 02, 2011

There’s No Hop Like a Good Drop

There are dropdowns and there are dropdowns; the idea is to figure the reason why, of course.

In the case of Rogue Victory (3-1) in today’s Belmont Park feature on the inner turf, this looks like a dropping to win slot.

Hindered by some tough trips and possibly unsuitable ground at GP, the drop to 50K makes sense for trying to get the 6-year-old back on the good foot.

Consider also that Weaver’s horses are running well at the meet, that the horse is consistently faster on the Equiform scale, likes this course and switches to Dominguez. Lots of plusses to spring a minor upset.

Taking Rogue Victory to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Colonialism (2-1) who keeps marching forward, but is a tad slower and likely to be overbet.

Running Totals: (869) 273-178-119 Total Dollar Return: $1,903.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, May 30, 2011

C’mon Let’s Twist

Celebrating the 50th anniversary of my first visit to a Thoroughbred racetrack when I traveled to the Big A to watch Kelso live and in person, and what better way to celebrate than with a potential score. And that's exactly what should happen if Yawanna Twist (12-1) wins the Met Mile.

Making his third start off a layoff for Rick Dutrow, the aspiring classicist of 2010 showed good early lick in the G1 Carter to gain position, was outrun a bit on the turn, then re-rallied late to grab a share behind Morning Line, who would have been favored here if not for a minor injury.

Yawanna Twist is on a healthy Equiform line, has a strong Preakness figure to run back to and a series of purposeful long breezes for the stretchout and is nicely weighted in here at 115 pounds.

Taking Yawanna Twist to win at 10-1 or greater and boxing him in the exaca with Haynesfield (7-2) who appeared in need of his season's debut in the opening weekend's Westchester.

Running Totals: (868) 273-178-119 Total Dollar Return: $1,903.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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