Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Scheming to Cash

Today’s Aqueduct turf feature, a rare non-winners of 3 other-than/optional claiming, looks like the right spot for Denomination (8-5). Competitive in stakes, including a Grade 3, coming in fresh for Christophe Clement, attracting Dominguez and getting class relief, he will be a tough out. However, we’ll take a sharp rival with a potential for value.

State-bred Exclusive Scheme (4-1) has a lot going for her. She, too, is getting class relief, has tactical speed and kick, with Johnny Velazquez likely insuring a good trip. Owning a win at the distance and 1-for-1 on the local course, the four-year-old filly has conditioning on the turn-back from nine furlongs. Can’t make any excuses here.

Taking Exclusive Scheme to win at 5-2 or greater and keying her in multiples first and second with the early line favorite and uber sharpsters Darjeeling (5-1) and Quebrada Shiner (6-1).

Running Totals: (760) 245-157-102 Total Dollar Return: $1,700.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Clever Pickings at Chuchill

Today’s feature at Churchill Downs is an interesting preliminary allowances for fillies and mares 3 & up going a mile and a sixteenth.

Silver La Belle (2-1) is getting class relief dropping from a pair of overnight stakes and Crown Me Wicked (5-1) returns to dirt from synthetics, a profitable 35 percent winning proposition for the Maker barn with Julien Leparoux.

But the filly who figures to appreciate the return to Churchill Downs is Absolutely Smart (8-1), whose lifetime best effort came on this track at the trip at the last meeting.

Further, she’s going turf to dirt for Bernie Flint and Calvin Borel, showing improvement each time that scenario was repeated, winning one and improving her performance figure in the other.

Taking Absolutely Smart to win at 6-1 or greater and keying her in money positions with her rivals listed here.

Running Totals: (759) 245-157-102 Total Dollar Return: $1,700.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, November 09, 2010

A Trip to the Windows Makes Sense

Today’s Big A feature is a secondary allowances-optional claiming for state-breds and it appears Rudy Rodriguez has this group over a barrel with Wise Stop (5-2), whose most recent race is clearly faster than anything in this field. And that’s the key: Recency.

Premium Wine (6-1) and Stormin Bolt (9-2) have had their moments and there’s evidence that either could upset the favorite on their best go; the former from top connections and excellent back figures and the latter with his edge on pace.

But we’re taking Wise Stop to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (758) 245-157-102 Total Dollar Return: $1,700.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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