Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Hope to Catch This Fugitive
Today’s feature at Belmont Park is a secondary allowance/optional claimer for state-bred fillies and mares going a mile and it appears an excellent spot for favorite Karakorum Fugitive (7-5).
After having a somewhat promising winter, she tried stakes company in the Bouwerie Stakes and acquitted herself well, finishing third in a strongly run seven furlongs and earning a new pace top.
Going second time Lasix--first time at a route with Lasix--and reuniting with Jose Lezcano augurs well, as does the stretchout for Jimmy Jerkens, who’s 23 percent in that role. Add in a distance pedigree and you have a tough out.
The main danger is Olde Glamour (5-1) second in five of her last six appearance, with one win, but showed improved speed in last, also coming off a new pace top. Nice drawn outside beneath the aggressive Mike Luzzi can’t hurt.
Taking Karakorum Fugitive to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Olde Glamour.
Running Totals: (432) 129-89-58 Total Dollar Return: $876.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Monday, May 25, 2009
Famous Patriot More Than a Hunch
Don’t know many true racing fans that don’t love the Met Mile, myself included. And what this renewal might lack in box office milers it potentially makes up for at the wickets. This is one great betting race.
The most probable winner is likely Bribon (3-1) who’s done his best racing at today’s distance over either of New York’s downstate track. Winning the G3 Westchester, in which he earned a cyclical pace top, and his ability to make a huge middle move and sustain it, makes him every logical.
Alan Garcia fits him perfectly, there’s lots of speed in here, of course, and he’s nicely drawn outside and is fairly weighted. Trainer Bobby Ribaudo has done excellent work with this import after finding his proper niche and hole card. But we’re going for the gusto.
On paper, Famous Patriot (30-1) doesn’t class up. But he’s matured to the point as a 4-year-old where he can be competitive with this group on performance figures. His tactical speed and inside draw assures a ground saving trip and with the weight off today, a repeat of his last race gives him a puncher’s chance here at a huge price.
Taking Famous Patriot to win at 20-1 or greater, boxing him in the exacta with Bribon, and spreading in trifectas with Smooth Air (4-1), a classy 4-year-old and a natural at the distance, My Pal Charlie (8-1), who loves the trip and has been tested at the highest levels, and the very speedy Driven By Success (20-1), in light with Ramon Dominguez and nicely drawn outside for a rapid start.
(Talented 3-year-old Mr. Fantasy spiked a fever over the weekend and will be scratched).
Running Totals: (431) 129-89-58 Total Dollar Return: $876.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, May 24, 2009
Fresh, Fit and Hopefully Dangerous
The time when you want to get a Carlos Martin trainee is when they are fresh, the longer the layup the better. In today’s all feature for state-bred fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth on the turf has drawn field. Meaning there’s a good chance that Sax In the City (5-1) will be bettable odds at or near the early line quote.
Her last win came at this trip, on this course, and Martin, a profitable 29 percent efficient in this scenario, will have her set for her best go. The main danger will come from Our Golden Dream (4-1), second off the layoff for Tom Bush following a promising return, and Paraiba (3-1), saddled by turf ace David Donk and ridden by Johnny Velazquez, a winner of two stakes in Chicago Saturday.
Taking Sax In the City to win at 4-1 or greater, keying her in exactas with her two rivals above. Trifecta players can add price shots Who Is Lady (15-1) and Debbie’s Fast Girl (20-1) to their mix.
Running Totals: (430) 129-88-58 Total Dollar Return: $876.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci