Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Outlaw Country Has True Grit

Interesting Parx feature, a starter allowances for “a other-than” or N4L” going three quarters with a little bit of everything, meaning the trip will get it. That’s likely the favorite Dp the Facilitator (3-1), who moved up big time in his second start for Carlos Guerrero and whose kick fits the shape nicely here.

But we’re more interested in Outlaw Country (5-1), who has a bit of tactical speed and kick, a cozy inside draw, picks up Stewart Elliott, and trainer Timothy Kreiser excels with these sprint types.

As a newly turned 4-year-old, he has some upside, has run well over the surface and is back at his proper level at what appears to be his optimal distance.

Taking Outlaw Country to win at 7-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with the early line choice and the very speedy Ambrose Light (6-1) who qualified for this condition running off the screen at Penn National, earning a top performance figure for crafty ship-in trainer Brandon Kulp.

Running Totals: (789) 254-164-108 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, January 07, 2011

Making Hearts Grow Fonder

Two features at Gulfstream today and with Morning Line looming a very strong favorite in the Hal’s Hope, we’ll opt for an opportunity for better value in the Spectacular Bid.

While Leave Of Absence (5-2) is a likely post time favorite, there are enough of interesting alternatives in here for that price to hold relatively well.

Indeed, Love Of Absence is coming off a lifetime best, but he’s had sufficient recovery time and has shown good energy distribution on his card, Further, given all the early gas signed on here, he should be able to use his tactical foot and kick to good advantage.

Taking Love Of Absence to win at 2-1 or greater, keying him first and second in multiples with likely pacesetter Gangsterontherun (3-1) and likely trip-sitter Winchell (5-1).

Running Totals: (788) 254-163-108 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, January 06, 2011

They’ll Never See Him Coming

Today’s Gulfstream feature is for newly turned three year old going a flat mile at the preliminary allowance level. What a nice group it is, and some might someday by racing in events with names on them.

It will be hard to ignore the early line choices here. Black N Beauty (5-2) is very good now and consistently fast but he’s stretching out while breaking from the pole. That might work out perfectly, might not. No need to find out as the favorite.

Frankly, post odds will have a strong effect on whether I back El Grayling (4-1) or Shadow Warrior (5-1). I know I’ll probably regret this, but I’ll go on record with the latter.

El Grayling was an excellent second despite a troubled start in his Churchill finale under identical conditions behind Brethren, a highly regarded Todd sophomore. He’ll be well supported, as Mike Maker has gotten off to a good start.

But Shadow Warrior has done virtually nothing wrong. Despite a very tough trip from a wide post in his Poly debut at Keeneland, he moved to the real stuff under these conditions at Churchill and looked like the real deal, drawing away late after showing much improved early lick.

He’s by A.P. Indy out of Victory Ride; enough said.

Taking Shadow Warrior to win at 3-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (787) 254-163-107 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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