Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, January 30, 2010

This Filly’s Not as Quick as She Is Fast

Rather than the five filly Correction in New York, we’ll attempt to throw deep in the 14-filly Manatee at Tampa Bay Downs for fillies and mares sprinting seven furlongs.

Nicely positioned outside, a winner at the distance, and working bullets for her return from a lay-up for an excellent return outfit, Satans Quick Chick (10-1) is very well suited by the speedy race shape here.

While not having experience on this tiring surface, she has had success on the tiring Polytrack at Keeneland, indeed winning the Grade 2 Raven Run last time out after overcoming a roughed start.

Strong finisher Leandro Goncalves takes the re-ride here, his winter home, and he won with three of his last seven rides for trainer Eric Reed. Half the early line odds look fair in this spot.

Taking newly turned four year old Satans Quick Chick to win and place at 5-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (584) 183-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,263.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, January 29, 2010

David’s Kingdom for a Horse

Interesting betting race, today’s New York feature, a second allowances optional claimer for state-breds going six furlongs.

There’s no shortage of speed or ralliers in this event that’s drawn a good-sized field, including a horse we’ve been waiting for since making its return on January 2. Here’s how my trip note reads on King David J (5-1):

“Used hard four wide throughout backstretch, then rated while racing wide on turn, pushed hard five wide into stretch, finished gamely between horses and was checked nearing the wire.

Now if you go back and look at his running lines, note that he won second start off the layup last year, today’s scenario, and did so on this surface. Linda Rice is 23% efficient with second off the layup starters and Rosie Napravnik takes the re-ride.

Taking King David J to win at 4-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with fast finishing Gold Vendetta (7-2).

Running Totals: (583) 182-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,253.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, January 28, 2010

A Walk in the Park

Conditions are such that we could have chosen either the third or eighth races on the Gulfstream turf for today’s feature. We opted for the third because of prevailing conditions and price considerations.

Because, after all, why shouldn’t Afternoon Stroll (6-1) do just that, given the lack of standout pace in this matchup?

This sharp working Tim Hamm-trained four-year-old has upside on the newly turned 4-year-old angle, has earned the fastest performance figure and, with Johnny Velazquez, should set a comfortable tempo, stalking comfortably should that need arise.

But given her state of freshness, the trainer’s solid success percentage with these types, the early-line odds are just too tempting to pass up.

Taking Afternoon Stroll to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Forest Trail (3-1) from the live McGaughey shed.

Running Totals: (582) 182-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,253.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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