Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, October 22, 2010

Will Kimmel Colt Be Friend or Foe?

HRI would like to welcome West Coast handicapping ace Bob Ike to the site. Check out Bob's free selection at Hollywood Park by clicking on Bob Ike in the HRI handicapper's section

Today’s Empire Classic, the lynchpin of the New York Bred Showcase Day program, is another opportunity for the maligned three year old class to stick it to their elders. That’s why we fully expect Friend Or Foe (3-1) to take it to his elders in this spot.

For openers, he’s never lost a state-bred race at Belmont Park and recently was withheld from yet another recent open class stakes to await the Empire. And he’s been working right along, including a sharp recent blowout.

When last seen, he suffered through a horrible trip in the 10 furlong Travers and a very difficult one when fourth in the Jim Dandy, beaten only three lengths, and might even have won had circumstances not conspired against his style. A tepid early line favorite, we expect his price to hold fairly firmly.

Taking Friend Or Foe to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him in exotics with hard hitting Ibboyee (7-2), potential lone speed with Dominguez, Wishful Tomcat (4-1) and another talented three year old, Stormy’s Majesty (4-1).

Running Totals: (747) 240-156-101 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, October 21, 2010

Neon Lights Are Bright on Keeneland Turf

Very interesting feature at Keeneland today, the G3 Pin Oak Valley View Stakes for three year old fillies at a mile and a sixteenth. There are just so many ways to go. But clearly the filly with the most upside for improvement here is Neon Light (5-1).

A Group winner in her native Germany, she never really had a chance in her U. S. debut at Saratoga, trying to rally from far back while wide. Those might be the conditions again today but this course figures to be a lot more to her liking in terms of style.

Going first time for trainer Kairan McLaughlin, the filly’s been training well in NY now ships here for a barn that’s 25 percent effective returning off similar layups, goes second-time Lasix, but first Adjunct (wonder what that stuff is), benefits from the speed types signed on and attracts leading rider Julien Leparoux. All systems go.

Taking Neon Light to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her in the exotics with sharp prospect Fugitive Angel (6-1), worthy favorite No Explaining (4-1) and the speedy Ice Mist (10-1).

Running Totals: (746) 240-156-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only] {Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Patience As a Profitable Virtue

Today’s featured G3 Sycamore for older horses going a mile and a half on turf could as easily be called the Old Geezers. The early favorite, the redoubtable Cloudy’s Knight (5-2) is 10; Brass Hat is 9; Musketier 8; Presious Passion is 7, as is Yate’s Black Cat.

Making his second start off a layup is Cloudy’s Knight and has been pointed toward this by Jonathan Sheppard, looking for a repeat Sycamore score with Rosie Homeister, his regular rider.

But Musketier (5-1) not only offers better value but is a fascinating horse in the way he’s been handled by Roger Attfield, having his best season, maybe ever. A two-time winner at the route, including the G2 Elkhorn here this spring, is coming off a 181-day layup, not unlike the 202 layoff he had prior to the Elkhorn.

Obviously he has his issues but it’s amazing that he would be handled in such a fascinating manner, and clearly the horse and horseman are clearly up to pulling this off. He has some tactical speed and Johnny Velazquez should be able to secure position in a bulky field that boasts a surprising amount of early speed on paper.

Taking Musketier to win at 4-1 or greater and exacta boxes with Cloudy’s Knight and Solitaire (30-1), another specialist pointed to this by Jimmy Bond, a marathon winner second to the classy Spice Route at this distance in Woodbine for a Saratoga based trainer who’s a profitable 25 percent efficient whenever he ships.

[Ed. Note: Cloudy's Knight has been declared and was retired. Staying with Musketier, lowering the win price parameter to 5-2.]

Running Totals: (746) 240-156-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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