Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Style and Value to Trump Speed in Cigar Mile

The final Grade 1 of this seemingly longer than usual season, the Grade 1 Cigar Mile, appears to us a two-horse battle between Vineyard Haven (9-5), part of the bin Suroor entry, and mile specialist Bribon (5-2).

Vineyard Haven has returned to the races in excellent form this year following a lengthy layoff with two excellent figure scores in top class company.

But the three-year-old is actually giving weight to the mile specialist when the scale of weights in factored in. Between that and likely having to chase the speedy Driven By Success, we need to opt for value and running style.

Bribon figures on both scores. The pace will be to his liking and he’s won half his 10 starts going a mile and, given his late-run style, is stronger going one turn than two.

Taking Bribon to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Vineyard Haven.

Running Totals: (551) 172-108-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,194.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, November 27, 2009

Sara Louise Just Too Fast

Today’s G2 Top Flight is really intriguing, featuring two very fast and exciting three-year-olds vs. a “now” four-year-old who could upset them both.

But Sara Louise (6-5) is just too fast and two talented to go past. Her last at Santa Anita is a Pro Ride throwout. A repeat of either of her two prior efforts wins this. Having drawn an outside slip at this flat-mile distance gives Edgar Prado plenty of options.

Taking Sara Louise to win, no price restrictions, and keying her first and second ijn exotics with the returning Justwhistlindixie (5-2) and the super-sharp Spritely (4-1).

Running Totals: (550) 171-108-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,190.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, November 26, 2009

Giving Thanks for a Maryland Shipper

The history of the traditional Thanksgiving Day feature in New York, the Fall Highweight Handicap, is rife with upsets. It’s not always easy to predict the tactics that will prevail because sometimes jockeys and trainers overreact to the fact their horses are carrying imposts that they’re simply not used to toting.

There aren’t many who doubt that Go Go Shoot (5-2) is the speed of the speed, has accomplished the most, is well drawn, and in Johnny Velazquez not only has a rider who’s hot but wins as many races with his brains and he does with his skill. He’ll know how to rate this speedster, but that doesn’t mean some of the lighter weights won’t apply pressure throughout given the favorite‘s 134-pound package.

Given the abundance of speed, the race shape figures to suit ship-in Greenspring (5-1) very well. A late developing four-year-old toting 125, he is 4-for-5 lifetime, has won two starts beneath Jeremy Rose, is well drawn outside, never has taken a backward step on the Bris scale, and has the kind of close-up, stalk-and-finish style that suits today’s parameters. He might even fall between the wagering cracks.

Taking Greenspring to win at 9-2 or greater, and boxing him in the exacta with Go Go Shoot, who might get an able assist from The Roundhouse, a stablemate who will be coming from left field trying to nail the speed.

Running Totals: (549) 171-107-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,190.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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