Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, September 23, 2010

They Love Her in Boston

Today’s Friendly Beauty Stakes for state-bred 2 year old fillies is an interesting one featuring youngsters at various stages of their development. Yawkey Way (5-2) is a deserving early line favorite and most probable winner.

She earned a significantly faster figure than any in the group winning her last and overcame much early trouble to do so, but here’s the issue. Her trainer, Chad Brown, clearly a rising star, had the meet of his young career at Saratoga but his stock has been paying the price since.

Through Tuesday, Brown’s horses are 0-for-11 at this meet, albeit with four money finishes, but this filly might be a different story. She showed class and usable gears winning her second start and given her workline since, she rates to remain undefeated in start number three. Brown wisely is not looking for bigger fish at this point but is keeping her with her sorority sisters.

Taking Yawkey Way to win at 7-5 or greater and keying her in multiples with Ginger Snapit (3-1) who showed marked improvement in her second outing, new pace top Queen’s Harbor (10-1), who stayed gamely for third behind the choice despite racing wide in her Spa finale, and Saltamontes (4-1), who broke her maiden with authority, earning a competitive figure, and has had six weeks recovery time from that effort.

Running Totals: (732) 239-153-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Ho Hum Mile Feature at Belmont

Because of the six horse field, today’s Belmont Park feature will go as the third race, and clearly it’s good to be the king. Or the sheikh.

It’s not often that "non-winners of 3" races go, but if you write it as optional claimer you can usually scare up five rivals for the horse that wants a particular spot.

And clearly you’d have to think that the connections of Tahitian Warrior (1-2) would like to see him go a mile, although why not in stakes company yet is beyond me.

In four lifetime starts, the only loss this colt has suffered is to Trappe Shot, who raced very competitively in top class this summer.

It’s not so much that this horse earns superior figures in a completely different league than his rivals, but he won both recent 7-furlong starts from the pole position--a disadvantage that only the best horses can overcome--and did so in completely dominating fashion virtually without urging under supremely confident handling.

The only way to wager here is to make a straight one-way exacta. If you must, Tahitian Warrior to win, no price restrictions, and a cold exacta with Birdrun (7-2), who turns back to his best distance on his favorite surface after a six-week freshening. Fair odds for this exacta combination is 2-1.

Running Totals: (730) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only] {Tuesday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Strong Finisher Taking Center Stage on Parx Turf

In today’s feature at Parx, a starter allowance for older turf runners in the eighth race, there’s no shortage of quality early speed which should go a long way in setting the table for Centre Arena (7-2) which in his three most recent starts over this ground has found his niche.

Not only does today’s race shape suit his style but he’s established that this level suits him well, as does his versatility. Going shorter, he kicked strongly to win going away at one mile and came back subsequently, stalking the pace from close range at nine furlongs and holding very well despite the change of tactics.

Despite a tough trip last out vs. much better, he held his form on the performance figure scale. Trainer Diane Jeannot is having a very solid meeting and Victor Molina is underrated in terms of his being able to finish strongly in turf routes. Early line odds look gettable here.

Taking Centre Arena to win at 3-1 or greater; keying him first and second in multiples with Ballast, Marquet Cat and His Holiness.

Running Totals: (730) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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