Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Conditions Dictate Upset

Today’s feature at Philly Park is for Pennsylvania-breds which have never won 2 or preliminary allowance conditions. Brilliant Sunshine (2-1) is a worthy favorite as the fastest filly by definition. She's never having taken a backwards step on performance figures but her last was considerably faster thah she's run before and returns on relatively short rest. She can regress and win--but that's not how you're supposed to play this game.

Shesmyspite (3-1) has an excellent upset chance. Her figures have been marching forward and she seems poised for another forward move. Some would argue that she’s not as classy but she loves the game and fits the conditions best, the only filly to finish first in three starts.

But it's Bernadette's Song (4-1) who's done her best racing at today's distance--and has done so with consistency on performance figures. Further, she's coming from a live race that alreadty has produced a next-out winner.

Taking Bernadette's Song to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her in multiple pools first and second with Shesmypride and Brilliant Sunshine.

Running Totals: (616) 191-125-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, March 20, 2010

Hallelujah, it’s Christine Daae

Good opportunity to beat one of the favorites on the Florida Derby undercard today at Gulfstream Park.

By virtue of her open-lengths victory in the Davona Dale, Amen Hallelujah (8-5) was made the favorite to take the nine furlong Bonnie Miss for Kentucky Oaks fillies.

Rick Dutrow’s filly is coming back uncharacteristically quick for this barn--three weeks--and that could make her vulnerable, especially as the 122-pound highweight.

A filly who appears just as talented, perhaps even more so, is Christine Daae (2-1), a lightly raced filly who’s developing beautifully for Patrick Biancone, who’s mentioned her in the same breath as his 1983 Horse of the Year, All Along, the first foreign based horse to achieve that honor.

Christine has a long way to go and today’s race is an important first step. She loves the surface, being 2-for-2 on this ground, a winner at the distance, and is becoming more professional with each start. There will be sufficient pace for her to run at here.

Taking Christine Daae to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Amen Hallelujah, and a 2x3 exacta and trifecta adding Crisp to the mix second and third.

Running Totals: (615) 191-125-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, March 19, 2010

Toulouse Lautrec Looks Big in This Spot

Another tough, closely matched small-field featured sprint, a non-winners of 4 optional 100K claimer. Two that have the best chance are Mor Chances (5-2), making his second start off a six-month layup for Rick Dutrow, switching to Ramon Dominguez and in for a claiming price for the first time.

But all those variables might not be good enough to defeat the early line favorite, Toulouse Lautrec (9-5), who improved markedly in his first start for Bruce Levine, earning a lifetime best figure in his 4-year-old debut. There might be more in that tank, especially considering Levine gave the lightly raced colt two months recovery time since that key race score.

Taking Toulouse Lautrec to win at 8-5 or greater and an exacta box with Mor Chances.

Running Totals: (614) 191-125-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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