Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, July 10, 2010

Forget Yesteryear, Harve De Grace’s in Delaware Today

With Gio Ponti a dominant figure in today’s Manhattan Handicap, we’ll ship south to Delaware, where it’s Oaks day and Kentucky Oaks winner Blind Luck is a worthy even money favorite, given her accomplishments and a 7-for-11 lifetime mark.

But she might be vulnerable. Since her Herculean effort wining the Fantasy in very fast time, she hasn’t been the same filly on the Equiform performance figure scale. That leaves us two options.

No Such Word (4-1), who was third in the Fantasy came out of it with a strong placing in the Black-Eyed Susan, earning a competitive figure. She followed that up with a soft win and appears likely to move forward here.

But then neither has Havre De Grace (6-1) done anything wrong recently, in fact in her whole career. She’s never taken a backward step on performance figures.

Her development has been excellent, breaking through in her last race to be beaten a neck by No Such Word. She likely will move forward again in her third start off the layup and gets six and four pounds, respectively, from her main competition.

Taking Havre De Grace to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (686) 220-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,541.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, July 09, 2010

Ocarson Just Loves the Road

Today’s sprint feature at Belmont Park is a “3 other/than optional claimer” for fillies and mares three year olds and up.

The favorite undoubtedly will be a tough out. By definition, Sneaky Girl (8-5) is consistently the fastest filly on performance figures.

Her game moved up big time since being claimed into the barn of Rudy Rodriquez. Her second to Qualia, who was beaten a nose in the G1 Prioress last weekend, shines like a beacon.

By the same token, Ocarson (7-2) is difficult to knock. Her figures are competitive with the favorites on her best go, and it doesn’t matter whether she’s racing at Monmouth, Philly Park, Aqueduct or Penn National, she’s going to try her best.

Her outside post and tactical speed in a virtually paceless matchup suits the race shape here. Ramon is aboard, she has developmental upside, and Robert Reid is in the midst of a career year, 28 percent effective and profitable. Her spacing is excellent.

Taking Ocarson to win at 5-2 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Sneaky Girl.

Running Totals: (685) 220-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,541.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, July 08, 2010

Better Short Price Than Long Face

Today’s Belmont Park feature is a classified allowances-optional claimer that has attracted a small field of classy turf runners going 1-1/16th miles, some classier than others.

And the classiest of all, and most probable winner, is Al Khali (8-5), from the Bill Mott barn’s that’s been winning at a 31 percent rate at this meet. He won’t pay for your summer vacation.

There’s not a clear speed type in this matchup but he does have some tactical gas and in Kent Desormeaux someone who understands pace and rides races accordingly. As a four your who’s been toughened at the G1 level, he still has considerable upside.

Taking Al Khali to win, no price restrictions, and a cold exacta with old pro Operation Red Dawn who’s been at his best at today’s distance.

Running Totals: (684) 219-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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