Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

A Marriage Made in Turf Heaven

Today’s Gulfstream feature is a preliminary allowances on the turf for three year old fillies going a mile. Much of the race’s strength are fillies coming off a layup. Of those we prefer Smart Sting (3-1).

Not that our favorite thing is to take a likely short price on a horse that’s been away but this miss is classy, from pedigree to connections. Strongly bred for turf on both sides, she’s a daughter of Smart Strike from champion Perfect Sting.

Further, she hails from a barn that’s a profitable 21 percent with layups of 90 days or longer, she’s been working steadily at Payson Park since December and won her debut at today’s trip in excellent time. What’s not to like?

Taking Smart Sting to win at 9-5 or greater, key boxing her in exactas with Erma Lee (6-1) and Atlantic Voyage (4-1), adding Dagney Darling (12-1) and Mount Holiday (10-1) to the exotics mix.

Running Totals: (827) 262-171-114 Total Dollar Return: $1,836.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, March 13, 2011

Dynamic Victory

Today’s feature G3 Herecomesthebride for three year old turf fillies going nine furlongs is interesting because it brings together talented fillies at various stages of their career; second, third time starters and the like.

We’re taking a filly with a sharp win over the course and a win at this distance for a trainer 18 percent efficient with third-time off the layup starters; Dynamic Holiday.

With Graham Motion tapping Ramon Dominguez to ride, Dynamic Holiday is coming off a dawdling paced event and still won with Ramon timing the move perfectly with an inside-out trip. Saddled with the pole position, we expect nothing less here.

Taking Dynamic Holiday to win at 3-1 or greater, keying her first and second in exactas with Sweetest Chant runnerup Excited (5-2) and second time starter Mystical Star (10-1), visually impressive winning under these exacta conditions in career debut on this course.

Running Totals: (825) 261-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,826.30 [win selections only] {Saturday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, March 12, 2011

Bond’s Fresh Returnee Tiz the Way to Riches

Not wishing to insult anyone’s intelligence, we’ll forgo the feature that most people care about, the Timely Writer, and instead look at the Gulfstream Park Handicap at one mile--that’s no typo. It’s OK the race’s history was built on 10 furlongs, so keep the context with a nine furlong two-turner. But that’s just me.

Any one five of the eight entrants can win the Grade 2, all with an excellent chance. We’re narrowing it down to two: Rule (3-1) and Tizway (5-1).

We’ll use Rule in the saver position because he’s drawn the rail out of the chute and anticipated shorter price. We’re taking Tackleberry to react of consecutive majors tops and wait for Duke Of Mischief to stretch out. Soaring Empire is good but more G3 than G2.

The time to get Tiznow is when he’s fresh--today. He runs best and fastest off layups and his best game is one mile. James Bond is very effective with layup types and this guy when right is super competitive in G1s.

Taking Tiznow to win at 7-2 or greater, an exacta box with Rule, and adding the others into the micro exotic mix.

Running Totals: (825) 261-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,826.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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