Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, March 11, 2011

Will Gatling Fire Another Dud?

Today’s Gulfstream Park feature, a classified allowances for older fillies and mares going nine furlongs on the main track, marks the return of Belle Watling, the South American Wonder Filly that was such a flop in her U.S. debut going a marathon distance on grass.

Here’s some HRI info. I spoke with Patrick Biancone one morning after the filly’s race. I asked him whether being on the lead in slow fractions going three turns then unable to keep pace in the sprint for home for a product more of her being on the lead.

He said that she’s a filly that doesn’t have a huge turn of foot but more of a high-speed galloper who gradually builds momentum as the race develops. Well, clearly she had no chance to do that on February 20.

With that race under her girth, a turn back in distance and switch to dirt--with the promise of a much faster pace then she got last time--she should be able to run her race. She handles any type of footing.

“The Zenyatta of South America?” We had better see what all the fuss was about today.

Taking Belle Gatling to win at even money or greater, since it’s 50-50 that she will greatly improve.

Running Totals: (824) 261-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,826.30 [win selections only] {Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 10, 2011

Get Ready to Mobilize

In today’s feature, a preliminary allowances on the turf at a mile for older horses, I will use a familiar axiom that I tend not to overuse but on occasion comes in quite handy. That angle is the ever popular “have a hunch, bet a bunch.”

There’s much to choose in here, from the distance lover Freshman Dorm (8-1), the tough tripper Devon Rock (3-1) or the ultra sharp class hopper Hariolus (4-1).

So, in keeping with the hunch theory, I must favor Mobilizer (5-1) in this spot, even if he’s making his turf debut vs. proven turf runners. But for one thing, the pedigree is there, as is the connections.

But it’s the fact that he raced well on the Polytrack in Canada at three, earned excellent performance figures, comes from a top layup outfit, attracts Castellano and has been in steady training since December. If that doesn’t get the job done, nothing will.

Taking Mobilizer to win at 3-1 or greater and keying him first and second in the multiples with his rivals named here.

Running Totals: (824) 261-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,826.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, March 09, 2011

Small Competitive Mile Offers Value

Today’s Gulfstream feature is a secondary allowances/optional claimer for older horses going a mile. It has a short field but it’s competitive and we’ve boiled it down to two.

It’s not often, however, when you can get value on a horse with a class edge--not a huge one but an edge nonetheless.

Caixa Electronica (3-1) was competitive in the G2 GP Sprint Handicap in which he was beaten a couple by the streaking Tacklebury. Prior to that, he won one of these and this trainer, in stretching back out, is a profitable 25 percent going sprint to route.

Taking Caixa Electronica to win at 5-2 or greater and boxing him in the exacta wit the sharp, fast working house horse, Hunter’s Bay.

Running Totals: (823) 260-171-113 Total Dollar Return: $1,819.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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