Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, September 18, 2010

Negligee Clear Choice to Upset Garden City

Today’s Belmont Park feature, the Grade 1 Garden City for three-year-old fillies on turf, is a beauty. Check The Label (5-2) is certainly a deserving early line favorite given her accomplishments this year. But lugging 120 here off a layup with questionable pace scenario up front might make her vulnerable. At short odds, we’ll take her defensively only.

The interesting filly in here is Negligee (6-1), also coming off a layup but has been working up a storm. Could it be those works are signaling that the chip that recently was removed from her knee has her more comfortable than at any time this season.

When last these two fillies met in the Sands Point, Negligee was beaten three and three-quarter lengths following a premature move as the favorite. In winning the Alcibiades at 2 earning a performance figure as good as her competition has this year, she rates a chance to make amends for the Sands Point, especially reuniting with Rajiv Maragh, who rode her to victory at 2.

Taking Negligee to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with Check The Label and No Explaining (6-1) who figures to benefit from today’s added distance.

Running Totals: (729) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, September 17, 2010

Calling a Truce in the Fifth Marine

With two overnight features to choose from, we’ll look at the eight horse field as opposed to the five horse group, which brings us to the day’s first race. You know, the featured first, the Fifth Marine overnight stakes.

Try as we might, it’s almost impossible to look passed likely post time favorite, Nordic Truce. Showing his freshness in a longer two-turner in his recent return at the Spa, he fought the rider who was trying to get him to relax.

Today’s shorter distance plays to his strength. The likely faster pace and shorter one-turn route plays to his strengths as a two-time winner at one mile. Further, he’s run consistently faster figures on the Equiform scale and Christophe Clement has come out firing at the young meet.

Taking Nordic Truce to win with no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in exactas with Asphalt, winner of his only start at the distance, and potential price shot Raging Wit, coming into this off a Turf Decline Line in a return to what could prove his favorite course.

Running Totals: (728) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, September 16, 2010

Pledge to Offer Value In Perpetuity

If the amount of purse money offered is the measure, which it is, today’s Belmont feature is the fourth race for optional secondary allowance types on the grass.

There are two interesting horses in here, each coming off a layoff, one from late last year. But the performance figure Whisked Away (3-1) earned at 2 puts him in line to be the fastest of the group at 3, given the added maturity. Considering Bill Mott’s a profitable 23 percent efficiency off long lay-ups and with sharp recent works, it’s reasonable to expect something resembling a top effort.

But it’s In Perpetuity (5-1) that looks a bit more intriguing. Making her first start since March and going turf to dirt for the white hot Kiaran McLaughlin, a strong percentage move, she has the tactical speed to gain good early position from her inside draw and attracts Javier Castellano. The filly rates to keep moving forward in her development and should offer fair odds.

Taking In Perpetuity to win at 7-2 or greater and an exacta box Whisked Away.

Running Totals: (727) 239-151-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Page 588 of 769 pages « FirstP  <  586 587 588 589 590 >  Last »