Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, September 27, 2007
Talking a Small Treasure in Floral Park
Today’s featured Floral Park Stakes, an overnight for fillies and mares three-year-olds and up, features trainer Rick Dutrow’s Ice Cool Kitty, an extremely worthy early line favorite at 7-5.
On performance figures, she’s the fastest filly in the group, those figures earned at Belmont Park where she has a slate of (3) 2-1-0 and a good record at today’s seven furlong distance, a win and placing in two starts. She has a versatile style, has proven herself consistently at this level and hails from a barn having a strong meet.
However, second choice Talking Treasure (5-2) is a late developing three-year-old in receipt of three pounds from her older rival, and a perfect 3-for-3 at the distance, accompanied each time by Johnny Velazquez, today’s partner. She won the recent New York Oaks in a laugher at Finger Lakes and her figures are improving with maturity, especially her race two back at seven furlongs in Saratoga. The figure she earned was competitive with the favorite and the slight weight pull should bring them together.
The way Dutrow’s going, his filly likely will be an odds-on choice.
So we’re taking value on Talking Treasure at early line odds of 5-2 or greater, boxing her in the exacta with the favorite. Street Sass has an interesting look at 12-1 for additional exotics plays.
Running Totals: (110) 40-26-11. Dollar Return: $230.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, September 26, 2007
Raceland Will Prove Good Claim
In today’s state-bred feature, the Sherpa Guide for male three-year-olds and up at a mile and a sixteenth, trainer Rick Violette might rue the day he lost Raceland to Pat Reynolds for a $50,000 claiming tag.
Raceland went well early in the Saratoga meet and hasn’t raced since, not a bad thing considering that he has shown an affinity for Belmont Park on performance figures, likes this distance, is comfortable on the surface considering a (5) 2-2-0 slate.
Raceland (7-2) has tactical speed, can finish, and you have to love the confidence the barn has is showing by making its first start off the claim in stakes company. Reynolds is a profitable 22 percent in his first start off the claim.
His main rivals are early line favorite Who What Win (9-5) and French Transition (4-1).
Who What Win, also a four-year-old, was recently was a good third in the Gen. Douglas MacArthur on opening day of the fall meet. He’s been keeping good company consistently and this might serve as his prep for the $250,000 Empire Classic.
French Transition, meanwhile, is a razor sharp three-year-old who exploded onto the scene at Saratoga. A repeat of his last, which seems unlikely, would win this but, the bounce notwithstanding, he must prove he can be just as effective rounding one turn as opposed to the Spa’s two.
Taking track-loving Raceland to win at 3-1 or greater, keying him in exacta and trifecta boxes with Who What Win and French Transition.
Running Totals: (109) 40-26-11. Dollar Return: $230.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Take Longer Pletcher In Belmont Feature
At first glance, today’s feature, the Fairway Flyer overnight stakes at 11 furlongs for fillies and mares on the inner turf course, is unappetizing fare. Until you look a little deeper.
Todd Pletcher has two of the six entered and the uncoupled overnight favorite at 9-5, Jade Queen, looks beatable. She just not has been the same mare this year, likely raced and not yet back to her performance figure level. Even if she were, this looks like a Breeders’ Cup prep and is not likely to be fully cranked.
His other mare, Wingspan (3-1), was extremely disappointing going shorter at Saratoga but was a good figure winner on this course at 10 furlongs during the summer meet. It would be no surprise if she were to rebound here. Despite that poor effort, Garrett Gomez takes a return call.
Barancella (2-1) is interesting for Bobby Frankel. A winner yesterday with Le Grand Trois, who also was coming off a long layup, Frankel excels in this scenario. She has worked well at Saratoga, attracts her regular rider, the hot Javier Castellano, and has excellent performance figures going long. Her last win came on this course.
At early line odds, we’ll take the value on Wingspan to rebound and win at 5-2 or greater.
Running Totals: (108) 40-26-11. Dollar Return: $230.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci