Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Saturday, June 16, 2007
Battle of Specialists in Grade 2 Vagrancy
All filly feature weekend continues at Belmont Park with the Grade 2 Vagrancy this afternoon at the hybrid distance of 6-˝ furlongs for three-year-olds and up. This distance requires a specialist and, on performance figures, there are two that should battle for the major share.
Early line favorite Any Limit (9-5) loves this trip. Versatile, she can either set the pace or stalk it and doesn’t seem to prefer any particular style. She has earned her best figures using either tack. Trainer Allen Jerkens seems to have a knack with these types and Eibar Coa is at his best when on or near the pace. She’s the most probable winner.
Still, she’s worth taking a flyer against with the equally adept Indian Flare (7-2). Two months fresh, she’s been pointed toward this by Bobby Frankel and has trained strongly over Cushion Track at Hollywood Park. She has earned very competitive figures at both 6-˝ furlongs and 7, a similar dynamic.
Frankel has named Javier Castellano, with whom he teamed up successfully with Horse of the Year, Ghostzapper.
Taking Indian Flare to win, at no lower than 5-2, and an exacta box with Any Limit.
Running Totals: (42) 19-9-9 Dollar Return: $105.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Friday, June 15, 2007
Another Tour De Force for Take D’ Tour
It’s that time of year at Belmont Park; another Saturday, another Grade 1. Only this one is for older fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth, the Ogden Phipps.
This event is old hat for Take D’ Tour, who’s back trying to defend her 2006 title in this race. She will be extremely hard to deny.
Pointed toward this since finishing second to the improved Ermine in Oaklawn’s Grade 1 Apple Blossom last out, she’s had a six-week freshening for a return to a surface she really likes, taking a (4) 2-1-0 slate back to Long Island.
By definition the fastest mare on performance figures, and by a considerable margin, has owns excellent early speed and can carry it a distance. Eibar Coa is likely to stalk the pace of Bushfire (3-for-3 at 1-1/16th miles, and from a key race) until a quarter-mile from home before making her move. She’s been working bullets at her Calder Race Course base.
The main danger is the improving Ginger Punch who will be seriously tested for class today. But her figures are improving, besting the others, and she flashed much improved early pace in her latest win. From the rail, David Flores will try not to get bottled up until he makes his late move. Her recent work was best of 42 that week for a filly on this track.
Taking Take D’ Tour to win, no price restrictions, and keying her in exactas with Bushfire and Ginger Punch, extra ticket with the latter.
Running Totals: (40) 18-9-8 Dollar Return: $101.40 [win selections only; does not reflect Friday’s results]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, June 14, 2007
Terrific Betting Race Looms in Belmont Feature
A very interesting and wide open feature at Belmont Park as 11 fillies and mares, three-year-olds and up, travel one mile in a preliminary allowances, $75,000 optional claimer. Four fillies hold a wide edge over the rest, from the inside, out; Unenchanted, Partida, Stolen Star and Lost Etiquette.
Unenchanted showed much improvement to break her maiden over this track, at this distance, last out. She is developing nicely and takes the next logical step for the Todd and Johnny team. Amazing that after over 1,700 rides, the Pletcher/Velazquez tandem is showing a flat-bet profit.
Partida is by definition the fastest filly in here off her recent 6-˝ furlong victory. Interesting to note, too, that trainer Jimmy Jerkens is profitable in three relevant categories: first-time route, sprint-to-route and is an impressive 29 percent with horses coming off a maiden win in their most recent start. By Monarchos, the added distance suits well, too.
Four-year-old Stolen Star meets younger rivals and was a good second in a recent New York-bred stakes at today’s distance over the track. Her figures are solid and competitive but she’s been a long time trying to shake this condition.
Looks like “go day” for Lost Etiquette. Her speed sharpened with first-time blinkers last out, they are appropriately removed today and are accompanied by a switch to Edgar Prado, aboard for her only career win. Note that trainer Pat Reynolds is 4-for-10 when using Edgar. This filly earned fast figures at 2 and earlier this year at 3 and has been tested in two graded stakes. If not today, when?
Taking Lost Etiquette to win, with no price restrictions, and making an exacta box with Partida and keying her in all three positions in trifectas with all fillies named.
Running Totals: (39) 17-9-8 Dollar Return: $89.80 [win only selections, does not reflect Thursday’s results]
Written by John Pricci