Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

Stats Dominate Today’s Feature

Today’s Belmont feature is a non-winners of three/optional claiming event at one mile. Even though it attracted only six runners, two of which are coupled. But it’s a competitive mile with an opportunity to score. That’s, of course, if Torpedo Run (6-1) can remain undefeated at the distance.

There’s reason to believe he can. His performance figures are among the fastest of the group. The four-year-old gelding has come into his own this spring and after a brief freshening, he returned with an apparent sprint prep for this.

We say it was an apparent sprint because he returns to a proper level, reunites with Carlos Quinones, who rides him like he owns him, and he’s stretching out for Gary Capuano, a profitable 38 percent when stretching sprint to route--with a sizable sample. There’s plenty of early speed to set up his strong mid-race move.

Taking Torpedo Run to win at 5-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (441) 132-92-58 Total Dollar Return: $909.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, June 06, 2009

Happy Belmont, Everyone!

For handicapping analysis and betting strategy for today's 141st runnng of the Belmont Stakes, please see Pricci Morning Line posted on HRI lead page for the past two days.

Written by John Pricci


Friday, June 05, 2009

A Special Mile and a Half Stakes Double, Part 1

It’s extremely rare, in fact, I’ve never seen a double wager featuring two 12-furlong events yet here it is. Today’s Grade 2 Brooklyn Handicap doubled up with tomorrow’s Belmont Stakes.

Three candidates appear most likely to succeed: Nite Light (6-1), Delosvientos (3-1) and Rising Moon (5-1).

Clearly, early line Delosvientos is the key to this depending, of course, what you decide to do with his season’s debut, which was nothing less than horrendous. Is the 6-year-old passed his prime, or was he prepped in last and now shows up reuniting with Eibar Coa, who’s 2-for-2 on him including a victory in this race last year. Trainer Giuseppe Iadisernia is profitable with second-off-layoff runners but there may be too much early pace pressure on this guy to accept low odds.

Rising Moon, switching to Garrett Gomez for Rick Dutrow, figures to be a pace presser at this trip. His performance figures are marching again, he’s 1-for-1 at 12 furlongs and has a worthy Belmont slate of (4) 2-1-1. Working a bullet in preparation for this, Dutrow is profitable in graded stakes company and this 6-year-old looks set for a top try.

Nite Light, if early line odds hold, offers good value. This one has won at 12 and 13 furlongs and is coming off a good effort at Monmouth Park in his season’s debut, has tactical speed with Johnny V. and trainer Pletcher is 25 percent efficient in second off the layup scenario. He 5 year old also will handle the course as his (3) 1-1-0 slate suggests.

Taking Nite Light to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him in exactas with his two rivals here.

Running Totals: (438) 131-91-58 Total Dollar Return: $883.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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