Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, July 09, 2010

Ocarson Just Loves the Road

Today’s sprint feature at Belmont Park is a “3 other/than optional claimer” for fillies and mares three year olds and up.

The favorite undoubtedly will be a tough out. By definition, Sneaky Girl (8-5) is consistently the fastest filly on performance figures.

Her game moved up big time since being claimed into the barn of Rudy Rodriquez. Her second to Qualia, who was beaten a nose in the G1 Prioress last weekend, shines like a beacon.

By the same token, Ocarson (7-2) is difficult to knock. Her figures are competitive with the favorites on her best go, and it doesn’t matter whether she’s racing at Monmouth, Philly Park, Aqueduct or Penn National, she’s going to try her best.

Her outside post and tactical speed in a virtually paceless matchup suits the race shape here. Ramon is aboard, she has developmental upside, and Robert Reid is in the midst of a career year, 28 percent effective and profitable. Her spacing is excellent.

Taking Ocarson to win at 5-2 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Sneaky Girl.

Running Totals: (685) 220-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,541.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, July 08, 2010

Better Short Price Than Long Face

Today’s Belmont Park feature is a classified allowances-optional claimer that has attracted a small field of classy turf runners going 1-1/16th miles, some classier than others.

And the classiest of all, and most probable winner, is Al Khali (8-5), from the Bill Mott barn’s that’s been winning at a 31 percent rate at this meet. He won’t pay for your summer vacation.

There’s not a clear speed type in this matchup but he does have some tactical gas and in Kent Desormeaux someone who understands pace and rides races accordingly. As a four your who’s been toughened at the G1 level, he still has considerable upside.

Taking Al Khali to win, no price restrictions, and a cold exacta with old pro Operation Red Dawn who’s been at his best at today’s distance.

Running Totals: (684) 219-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, July 07, 2010

Shifting My Tack to Delaware Park

With Belmont canceled due to the extreme heat, we’re shipping down to Delaware for a three lifetime allowances-optional claiming 5-½ furlong sprint. With a lot of speed signed on and a premium to gain position, the race is contentious as it looks.

We think that, ultimately, the trip sitter will be Threetimesawonder (3-1). With Extreme Ways (4-1) looking very much like the speed of the speed, Threetimesawonder is coming from an improved-pace effort with good back figures has the gas to stay close and the kick to step on, earning a repeat win for a barn that’s 25 percent given that scenario.

The Lake/Rosendo team is going great in recent months, a profitable 37 percent when hooking up. This low profile rider is underrated, horses run for him, and he can finish strongly.

Taking Threetimesawonder to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in the multiples with Extreme Ways, race-shape fitting Diced And Sliced (8-1), and I’llthinkofsumthin, from a barn that’s a profitable 28 percent with recent claims.

Running Totals: (684) 219-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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