Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, September 17, 2010

Calling a Truce in the Fifth Marine

With two overnight features to choose from, we’ll look at the eight horse field as opposed to the five horse group, which brings us to the day’s first race. You know, the featured first, the Fifth Marine overnight stakes.

Try as we might, it’s almost impossible to look passed likely post time favorite, Nordic Truce. Showing his freshness in a longer two-turner in his recent return at the Spa, he fought the rider who was trying to get him to relax.

Today’s shorter distance plays to his strength. The likely faster pace and shorter one-turn route plays to his strengths as a two-time winner at one mile. Further, he’s run consistently faster figures on the Equiform scale and Christophe Clement has come out firing at the young meet.

Taking Nordic Truce to win with no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in exactas with Asphalt, winner of his only start at the distance, and potential price shot Raging Wit, coming into this off a Turf Decline Line in a return to what could prove his favorite course.

Running Totals: (728) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, September 16, 2010

Pledge to Offer Value In Perpetuity

If the amount of purse money offered is the measure, which it is, today’s Belmont feature is the fourth race for optional secondary allowance types on the grass.

There are two interesting horses in here, each coming off a layoff, one from late last year. But the performance figure Whisked Away (3-1) earned at 2 puts him in line to be the fastest of the group at 3, given the added maturity. Considering Bill Mott’s a profitable 23 percent efficiency off long lay-ups and with sharp recent works, it’s reasonable to expect something resembling a top effort.

But it’s In Perpetuity (5-1) that looks a bit more intriguing. Making her first start since March and going turf to dirt for the white hot Kiaran McLaughlin, a strong percentage move, she has the tactical speed to gain good early position from her inside draw and attracts Javier Castellano. The filly rates to keep moving forward in her development and should offer fair odds.

Taking In Perpetuity to win at 7-2 or greater and an exacta box Whisked Away.

Running Totals: (727) 239-151-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Strike While the Eagle Is Hot

The NYRA, again building the Pick 6 carryover, has taken today’s allowance feature out of its customary eighth race spot. The six-horse event goes as today’s third race.

It’s trappy in that the group is all pretty quick, with fresh horses, sophomores and elders, all at varying stages of development. Four of the six have a better chance than the other pair, and the early favorite, Winning Touch (9-5), could be any kind of racehorse

Freshened by Chad Brown since winning his rapidly run debut at Saratoga in July, Winning Touch was given sufficient recovery time by his teacher. His performance figure is the fastest in the race over fast footing and his outside post and tactical speed should insure a good trip.

However, we’ll take the potential value offered on Eagle Strike (5-1), the only three-time winner over this surface, albeit over weaker rivals, and the five year old never has been better than he is right now. Further, he’s had a sharp work in preparation, earned his best figure on this track, and fits the race shape nicely, in position to take advantage of an anticipated lively pace.

Taking Eagle Strike to win at 4-1 or greater and an exacta box with Winning Touch.

Running Totals: (727) 239-151-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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