Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Sorry Bro, to the Victor Belong the Spolis

Today’s feature at Gulfstream Park is a good one, a preliminary allowances for three-year-olds on turf going nine furlongs featuring the second appearance at this meet of Barbaro’s baby brother, Lentenor (5-2).

If his last race means anything, then he’s clearly the most logical winner. This colt finishes explosively and has the kind of long striding daisy cutter action you’d like to see on turf. He finishes strongly, has worked very well, and retains Johnny Velazquez.

But we’re putting our hopes, and our money, on Stately Victor (8-1), an impressive winner of his turf debut at Saratoga last summer showing the kind of late foot symbolic of a successful turf runner.

In his recent three-year-old debut, he raced too close to the early pace in a nine furlong dirt race, not his style, and perhaps not his best surface.

Well, today the blinkers come off, suggesting a return to his preferred late-run style, is back on grass, switches to turf ace Joe Bravo, and hails from a barn that’s a profitable 29 percent efficient with second-off-the-layup starters. His inside post should insure a ground saving journey.

Taking Stately Victor to win at 8-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with Lentenor and Krypton (4-1), who just missed in his tough trip season’s debut and has worked well since, an extra ticket with Lentenor.

Running Totals: (595) 187-120-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, February 15, 2010

Head Southwest Young Man

Know what the old racetrackers say, right? The place you lose it is the place you get it back. And if today’s choice hit’s the board with any of the logical contenders, that would be OK, too.

In today’s Grade 3 Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park, the first stop on the road to the Arkansas Derby, we’re going back to the choice we played in the Smarty Jones on Jan. 18, Kitty’s Turn (12-1).

In case you didn’t see it, Luis Quinonez gave away all his position after breaking fairly well for the rail post at the same distance. With the switch to Robbie Albarado today, we expect a headier trip.

As the early line suggests, this will NOT be easy. Baffert and Gomez are coming from Santa Anita with the fast 3-for-3 Conveyance (5-2). Cardiff Giant (12-1), second to Conveyance in the G3 San Rafael, also ships in for his dirt debut following his game placing. Domonation (8-1), third in that same race, is also flying in.

The impressive Smarty Jones winner, Dryfly (3-1), returns, as does runnerup Pleasant Storm (8-1). And, finally, highly regarded Hopeful winner Dublin (9-2), working bullets for Wayne Lukas, makes his three-year-old debut. This heat could be a G1 under different circumstances.

This will be very tough for Kitty’s Turn as this group is faster on performance figures. But the Langfuhr colt is on a beautiful Equiform development line and has worked three times since the Smarty Jones. Given the rider switch, today looks like peak effort day.

Taking Kitty’s Turn to win and place at 12-1 or greater, keying him in all positions in dime supers, and in 50-Cent trifectas with all of the above. It’s costly, so if Shorty’s in town, or if this just isn’t your style, across-the-board at this price will get it done.

Running Totals: (595) 187-120-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, February 14, 2010

Here’s the Good News: Speed Is Always Dangerous

Today’s feature in New York is the Dearly Precious for 3-year-old fillies sprinting six furlongs. When last seen, Wild News (4-1) was being rated by Ramon Dominguez in the Ruthless, a tack the filly appeared to resent. Resultantly, she finished one-paced, never really threatening.

Today, the blinkers go on, a profitable 27 percent move for this barn, and the switch to the quietly aggressive David Cohen portends a reversion to the speedy tactics that proved successful two starts back. Forest Wildcat filly has worked well in her new eye wear.

Taking Wild News to win at 5-2 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiples with Fuzzy Britches (5-2) who will be running late for the white hot Dutrow/Dominguez team and Judge Sonya (5-1), also turning back into a sprint with a switch to CC Lopez.

Running Totals: (594) 187-120-81 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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