Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, April 17, 2009
Keeneland Spring keeps popping out the graded stakes, today the G3 Doubledogdare for fillies and mares four & up at a mile and a sixteenth. And this is an interesting one, too.
Remember what Bill Mott pulled off in the Lanes End, winning a graded stakes in a seasonal-debut scenario? Well, he’s at it again here with early line favorite Indescribable and he is likely to get a similar result. Let’s count the ways.
Class-wise, she’s a multiple graded stakes winner and is G1 placed behind Ginger Punch. Obviously pointing since she was third in this race last year, she clearly has the best performance figures among those who have run on Keeneland’s Poly surface. Then, of course, there’s Mott’s profitable 23 percent strike rate in this scenario.
The other interesting fillies in here are Awesome Ashley (6-1), fast enough and picking up Gomez for Todd Pletcher from the inside, Miss Isella (4-1), training strongly for the hot Ian Wilkes in G2 company last year--third in her lone start on this surface, and Drop A Line (8-1), a price shot with competitive figures and Jeremy Rose down for the ride on the uncoupled Motion entrant.
Taking Indescribable to win at 2-1 or greater, keying her first and second in exactas, and in all trifecta money positions, extra tickets with price shot Drop A Line.
Running Totals: (406) 124-86-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Better Than All the Rest
A wide open interesting feature at Keeneland this afternoon, the G3 Appalachian Stakes for three-year-old fillies going one mile on the turf. A chance to get bettable odds on jockey Garrett Gomez?
Well, More Of The Best is 8-1 on the early line from an advantageous from an inside slip, has never taken a backward step on the Equiform scale in three lifetime starts on turf, is coming off a pace low, attracts the aforementioned Gomez, is 2-for-3 at the distance with a placing and has worked well for her Keeneland course debut.
Of note is the fact that trainer Bernie Flint is profitable for a career on grass and is saving an excellent season, batting a profitable 21 percent. Worth a mention here is that this is one horse Gomez need not take back to last. She has good early foot at her best distance with a inside post a and it would be wise for Gomez to take advantage of those conditions.
Her toughest rival is logical favorite Habaya (3-1). Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin is relevant in all statistical categories, she a G3 winner at the distance and switches to stable rider and turf ace Alan Garcia.
Taking More Of the Best at 5-1 or greater and an exacta box with Habaya.
Running Totals: (405) 124-86-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
I’ve Got the Fever
Today’s feature as we approach the home stretch of the Keeneland spring meet is a money allowances/optional claiming for fillies and mares sprinting six furlongs. Three interesting fillies here are two of the favorites; Sly Storm (5-2), Rising Fever (3-1) and the price shot Adrhythm (10-1).
Sly Storm is a deserving favorite owing to her 5-for-7 lifetime mark. While she clearly owns bigger victories, her biggest with respect to today was her maiden breaker on this track, at this distance at 3. Training strongly for her 4-year-old debut, she returns for Tom Proctor, who certainly can come out firing off the bench, and attracts Rene Douglas, who’s awakened following a disappointing Gulfstream meet.
Rising Fever makes her Keeneland debut for Christophe Clement who’s come out firing at this meeting with a 2-2-0 slate in seven starts. This filly is having a good winter, just missing behind the talented Dream Rush at today’s distance before winning the 7 furlong Manatee next out. With tactical speed and an outside slip in a relatively small field, she’s not only well positioned but attracts Garrett Gomez.
Adrhythm probably prefers more ground, as her record attests, but clearly is a horse for the course. She won her only start on this track last season at 7 furlongs, earning a lifetime best figure. With a return to Keeneland and reuniting with Kent Desormeaux, aboard fro her most recent victory, she likely will work out a decent trip behind what figures to be a live and contested pace. She has an excellent puncher's chance to outrun odds.
But we'll take the New Pace Top, Rising Fever, at 2-1 or greater, and keying her first and second in exactas with her rivals here.
Running Totals: (404) 124-85-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci