Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, July 31, 2008

A Long Position on Market Psychology

Today’s feature is the rescheduled John Morrissey that was canceled after a jockey’s job action on the final day of the Belmont meet. And it still looks like a two-horse race between favorite Ferocious Fires (5-2) and second choice Market Psychology (3-1).

On performance figures, Ferocious Fires has often proven fastest, earning good figures with consistency. Undefeated in two starts at Saratoga, he makes his second start off a lengthy layup for Tony Dutrow, who’s 33 percent efficient when going turf to dirt.

Market Psychology showed improved early speed in his latest, goes well of a brief freshening and has shown he can carry his speed at the hybrid distance. Having drawn outside his major rival gives Shaun Bridgmohan an option to play this one off the break.

Taking Market Psychology to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Ferocious Fires.

Running Totals: (243) 76-50-27. Total Dollar Return: $464.50 [total dollar return]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Talking a Real Treasure in State-Bred Feature

Today’s nominal feature--there are two listed stakes--is for state-bred fillies three year olds and up sprinting seven furlongs in the Fleet Indian. We’re looking for a minor upset.

Ice Kool Kitty (2-1) is a logical favorite. Overmatched in an open class grade 2, she returns to state-bred company, over a surface on which she’s 1-for-1 and at a productive distance in which he’s won two of five at seven eighths. Consistently fastest, she goes well for Edgar Prado and Rick Dutrow is 3-for-10 at the young meet with three seconds.

Second choice Talking Treasure (5-2) is more interesting. Nicely drawn outside at this distance in a relatively small field, four year old Catienus filly showed improved early speed last time out. Charlton Baker filly also loves seven-eighths (3-for-4) and is undefeated in her lone Spa start. Leading rider Johnny Velazquez should control things from the outside and owns multiple wins aboard the filly.

Taking Talking Treasure to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Ice Kool Kitty.

Running Totals: (242) 75-50-27. Total Dollar Return: $459.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, July 28, 2008

Cowboy Tacks Up Kowboy in Amsterdam

Today’s Grade 2 Amsterdam for 3-year-old sprinters at 6-½ furlongs that ends the first week of the meet is an interesting one, a three-ply battle between Desert Key (5-2), Kodiak Kowboy (3-1) and Eaton’s Gift (9-2).

Desert Key is nothing less than a very exciting sprint prospect; could even be Breeders’ Cup material is he keeps doing what he’s been doing. His last was just a super effort--his performance figure reflects that--and trainer Jimmy Jerkens wisely gave him more than enough recovery time. Additionally, he’s won from in front, behind, and since his last worked four times, all bullets. Who knows how good right now?

Kodiak Kowboy might be in a new barn but he’s coming home to Saratoga--home in that his best race at 2 came over this track, at this distance, in the Grade 2 Saratoga Special. Today he goes for Larry Jones and Gabriel Saez, has competitive figures and fits the race shape as there’s plenty of gas signed on here. Saez is a talented young, position conscious rider.

Eaton’s Gift won his last race at Churchill while showing improved early speed and now stretches out a half furlong, which appears to be his best go, earning a competitive figure while winning his only start at this hybrid distance. From his outside slip, Kent D., finally with the 5,000 monkey off his back, can use his mount’s speed to play it off the break. Like we said, interesting race.

But we’ll take Kodiak Cowboy to win at 2-1 or greater, keying him first and second in exactas and trifectas with his main rivals here.

Running Totals: (241) 74-50-27. Total Dollar Return: $452.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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