Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, July 08, 2010

Better Short Price Than Long Face

Today’s Belmont Park feature is a classified allowances-optional claimer that has attracted a small field of classy turf runners going 1-1/16th miles, some classier than others.

And the classiest of all, and most probable winner, is Al Khali (8-5), from the Bill Mott barn’s that’s been winning at a 31 percent rate at this meet. He won’t pay for your summer vacation.

There’s not a clear speed type in this matchup but he does have some tactical gas and in Kent Desormeaux someone who understands pace and rides races accordingly. As a four your who’s been toughened at the G1 level, he still has considerable upside.

Taking Al Khali to win, no price restrictions, and a cold exacta with old pro Operation Red Dawn who’s been at his best at today’s distance.

Running Totals: (684) 219-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, July 07, 2010

Shifting My Tack to Delaware Park

With Belmont canceled due to the extreme heat, we’re shipping down to Delaware for a three lifetime allowances-optional claiming 5-½ furlong sprint. With a lot of speed signed on and a premium to gain position, the race is contentious as it looks.

We think that, ultimately, the trip sitter will be Threetimesawonder (3-1). With Extreme Ways (4-1) looking very much like the speed of the speed, Threetimesawonder is coming from an improved-pace effort with good back figures has the gas to stay close and the kick to step on, earning a repeat win for a barn that’s 25 percent given that scenario.

The Lake/Rosendo team is going great in recent months, a profitable 37 percent when hooking up. This low profile rider is underrated, horses run for him, and he can finish strongly.

Taking Threetimesawonder to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in the multiples with Extreme Ways, race-shape fitting Diced And Sliced (8-1), and I’llthinkofsumthin, from a barn that’s a profitable 28 percent with recent claims.

Running Totals: (684) 219-139-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, July 05, 2010

Qualia Continues to Blossom in Bed o’ Roses

Terrific renewal of the Grade 3 Bed o’ Roses at Belmont Park for fillies and mares sprinting 7 furlongs. Half the eight-horse field can win it, perhaps even five of these fast ladies.

The one thing this race doesn’t lack is early gas. Rightly So (2-1) could be the speed of the speed and is 2-for-3 at Belmont. But that might not help her against ship-in Lady Alexander (8-1), the speedball from Monmouth Park that just worked in :45 2/5 for this.

At least we’re looking for some sort of a duel because that will put Qualia (5-2) in the catbird seat. In a five-race career she’s done very little wrong. A neck defeat prevents her from a perfect 5-0 record.

Qualia came out running fast performance figures, that trend has continued, and she doesn’t appeared over-developed in terms of the improvement she’s shown from race to race. Returning in this time frame is perfect, a profitable 21 percent move for Bobby Ribaudo who, like his filly, hasn’t taken any missteps.

Taking Qualia to win at early line odds, boxing her in the exacta with RIghtly So, and keying her first and second in trifectas with the two fillies named above, adding late-running McVictory, making her second start for the Pletcher barn, to the mix.

Running Totals: (683) 219-138-96 Total Dollar Return: $1,538.30 [win selections only]

Due to the holiday schedule, we’re making selections on Monday this week. The FRA will return on Wednesday

Written by John Pricci


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