Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, September 06, 2009

She’s One Hot Chick

Don’t know if the term “special filly” is applicable to Hot Dixie Chick, I only know that the words “sensationally fast” are accurate as they relate to the 4-5 early line favorite for the Grade 1 Spinaway.

In fact, if she had been entered in Monday’s Hopeful, I probably would have bet on her to win that, and she would have been a bigger price.

So, she’s the key to this traditional meet closer, to win, with no price restrictions, and we’ll key her in trifectas with Sassy Image (10-1), Beautician (5-1) and Worstcasescenario (4-1).

Running Totals: (497) 148-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only] {Saturday's results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, September 05, 2009

It’s a Bird…It’s a Cold Exacta

Today’s featured Grade 1 Woodward features Rachel Alexandra. You might have heard of her.

Here’s what we’re doing today. I can’t pick against her and sentiment has nothing to do with it. Her last five Equiform figures, especially since she’s getting eight pounds from the field, put her six lengths up on her rivals on her ‘A’ race.

So, rather than go on record with a win bet--she’s 1-2 on the early line and probably that, or 2-5, at post time--we’re going on record with a cold exacta for ROI purposes.

Now we’ll box the exacta, and then press with the filly on top.

The horse we’re using is It’s A Bird (10-1), unfortunately most everybody’s wise guy horse. My reason is that he has a race in his PPs, the Oaklawn Park Handicap at nine furlongs, that puts him on a par with the filly on the Equiform scale, weight allowance notwithstanding.

So, it’s a cold 3-5 for the money. Trifecta players can use Macho Again to block, who looms the logical runnerup given his liking for the Spa surface.

Running Totals: (497) 148-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, September 04, 2009

Clement Filly Has Some Allure

Today’s feature, the Voo Doo Dan Stakes for fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth on the inner turf will require a medicine man to have a strong opinion here.

Six of the 11 entered can win this and while speed has been carrying better this week on the inner turf, the pace scenario here is muddled, making this a rider’s race. With everyone playing off the break, handicappers are forced to guess.

You guess; you lose. What I know is the following: Belle Allure (4-1) never had a chance in her recent return because she was badly compromised by the pace. Now, with that race under her belt, she will improve and has the back figures to dominate these on her “A” race.

Taking Belle Allure to win at 4-1 or more, boxing her in the exacta with Leamington (6-1) and Colina Verde (6-1).

Running Totals: (496) 148-102-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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