Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, September 27, 2014

Tonalist to Get His Revenge

We interrupt our journey south to bring you this JCGC message.

Harken back to the Travers in which Tonalist was used early and raced wide throughout, setting things up nicely for a late runner. Wicked Strong almost got there, an unlucky, good-trip loser, but stable-mate V.E. Day, under brilliant Javier handling, did.

Now the Belmont winner returns to the site of both victories this summer, where he earned his lifetime best energy figures, and now an OK workhorse worked like a wild horse in preparation for today, presumable without the blinkers that will be removed today.

His final blowout was the fastest of 39 3-year-olds to work this week at Belmont. An anticipated honest pace and more patient handling should help make amends.

Taking Tonalist (4-1) to win at 3-1 or greater, and key-boxing him first and second in exactas with rival Wicked Strong (3-1) and hard-hitting elder, Zivo (6-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1617

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 489-314-251

Amount Wagered: $3,234 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,350.00

Profit to Date: $116.00

HRI Faithful::

There's nothing wrong health-wise, thank goodness, but I need some time away for personal reasons.

I'm switching venues: Saratoga now will be my summer home. My home base will be South Florida.

I leave Thursday, with a stopover for Super Saturday.

There is much last-minute packing, bill paying and logistics to deal with.

Much gnashing of teeth will ensue.

I will come up with a selection or two for the Jockey Club card, but nothing until then.

My best guess is that the FRA analysis will return daily on, Thursday, October 9, hopefully sooner.

Brendan's Smarty Jones opus will entertain you throughout the week.

TV Tom will be covering the JCGC for HRI next weekend and will post his 'Ante Post' column Tuesday, Sept 30, and will continue his weekly schedule thereafter.

If any of you are indigenous to Belmont Park Saturday and spot me, please come up and say hey.

No pies in the face, please, my family will be in tow.

That's it and that's all.

Stay safe and healthy, and a speedy trip to your runners. Current totals below.

Thanks for your loyalty.

The Management

Written by John Pricci

Comments (9)


Sunday, September 21, 2014

Lasix Can Make All the Difference in the Gimma

Looking at the Joseph A Gimma for state-bred juvenile fillies at 7 furlongs and it's that extra sixteenth of a mile that's going to help and not hurt Hard To Stay Notgo (5-2).

As you would expect, there is lots of early gas given the dynamics but it's the pace figure from her debut that gives her an edge--that and the fact that she's had three works since, presumably with Lasix, which she will run with for the first time today. She can be the speed of the speed if Junior Alvarado chooses or close to the pace while saving ground.

Taking Hard To Stay Notgo to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing her in exactas with recent conqueror Myfourchix (3-1) and My Super Nova (7-2), a talented maiden nicely drawn outside with Rosario on the re-ride.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1616

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 489-314-250

Amount Wagered: $3,232 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,350.00

Profit to Date: $118.00

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


Saturday, September 20, 2014

Value? At Parx? On Chrome?

You know how I love to be a contrarian when I can, yes? And what better place to start than with the most significant race of the day, right?

Indeed, the Pennsylvania Derby.

And since everyone is just dying to beat him, and with some very logical reasons, I'm saying that it's not going to matter, that California Chrome (1-1) is purely and simply the best horse and, after seeing both of his most recent works online, I think he will be fit enough to show his class today.

And why hasn't anyone mentioned that perhaps Bayern has to prove that he's the same horse having gone pedal to the medal twice back-to-back?

Either way, can't wait for the race.

Taking California Chrome to win at early line odds or greater and key-boxing first and second in exactas with the resurgent Tapiture (5-1) and the resilient Candy Boy (12-1).

(Would love to play supers but it is Parx, after all).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1615

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 489-314-250

Amount Wagered: $3,230 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,350.00

Profit to Date: $120.00

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


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