Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Thursday, January 07, 2016


I Like Al’s Gal


Today's allowance feature for 4YO & up on the turf at 9 furlongs is a graded stakes in training, given all the talent signed on.

Two attract the most here: Chad Brown's Bishops Pond (4-1), getting some class relief and overdue to get a decent trip, and Al's Gal (8-1), a filly that was marching forward figure-wise until she ran up against a dawdling pace last time out.

The extreme outside post is a tough one but Corey Lanerie has been riding the turf course very well this meet. And the wide draw will chase some of the wiseguys off the scent., assuring maximum value.

We're taking Al's Gal to win, needing 6-1 or greater, with exactas including the Brown runner and Kiaran McLaughlin's rapidly developing Gap Year (7-2).


Number of Selections since 2007: 1914

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 573-368

Amount Wagered: $3,828 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,924.70

Profit to Date: $96.70

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, January 06, 2016


Turf Sprint or Dirt Sprint, Value Available in Gulf Feature


The local turf course could use some rain but it doesn't help solve the handicapping puzzle.

Should the race stay on grass at 5 furlongs, Happy As a Queen (7-2) is going to take beating on either surface, given the impressive debut win on dirt. But her turf effort is better than it looks on paper.

Still we'll take any value with potential rebounder Blazing Diamond (5-1), making her first start off Aubrey March's claim switching to Leyva. A recent 5F breeze indicates a return to big-figure score two back is possible and that would be good enough at a fair price.

If on dirt, Afleet Honey (10-1) offers excellent value at early line odds.

On turf, betting Blazing Diamond to win at 4-1 or greater; on dirt, taking 5-1 on Afleet Honey seems fair. On any surface, 'Honey' looks like the right exacta companion.


Number of Selections since 2007: 1913

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 573-368

Amount Wagered: $3,8206 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,924.70

Profit to Date: $98.70

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Sunday, January 03, 2016


Value in Six Horse Field?


Not expecting the 15-1 early line quote on Little Miss Perfect, and given her recent form and 4-for-6 slate at this trip, half those odds would be fair relative to her win chances.

What's more, the Richard Vega barn has been going well of late and the filly has figures, both on the Thoro-Graph and Pricci Energy scale, that more than contend here.

Taking Little Miss Perfect to win at 8-1 or greater; exacta horses are the logical favorite Storied Lady (2-1), and sharp Perfect Freud (6-1) with Carmouche on the re-ride.


Number of Selections since 2007: 1912

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 573-368

Amount Wagered: $3,8204 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,924.70

Profit to Date: $100.70

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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