Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, November 27, 2009

Sara Louise Just Too Fast

Today’s G2 Top Flight is really intriguing, featuring two very fast and exciting three-year-olds vs. a “now” four-year-old who could upset them both.

But Sara Louise (6-5) is just too fast and two talented to go past. Her last at Santa Anita is a Pro Ride throwout. A repeat of either of her two prior efforts wins this. Having drawn an outside slip at this flat-mile distance gives Edgar Prado plenty of options.

Taking Sara Louise to win, no price restrictions, and keying her first and second ijn exotics with the returning Justwhistlindixie (5-2) and the super-sharp Spritely (4-1).

Running Totals: (550) 171-108-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,190.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, November 26, 2009

Giving Thanks for a Maryland Shipper

The history of the traditional Thanksgiving Day feature in New York, the Fall Highweight Handicap, is rife with upsets. It’s not always easy to predict the tactics that will prevail because sometimes jockeys and trainers overreact to the fact their horses are carrying imposts that they’re simply not used to toting.

There aren’t many who doubt that Go Go Shoot (5-2) is the speed of the speed, has accomplished the most, is well drawn, and in Johnny Velazquez not only has a rider who’s hot but wins as many races with his brains and he does with his skill. He’ll know how to rate this speedster, but that doesn’t mean some of the lighter weights won’t apply pressure throughout given the favorite‘s 134-pound package.

Given the abundance of speed, the race shape figures to suit ship-in Greenspring (5-1) very well. A late developing four-year-old toting 125, he is 4-for-5 lifetime, has won two starts beneath Jeremy Rose, is well drawn outside, never has taken a backward step on the Bris scale, and has the kind of close-up, stalk-and-finish style that suits today’s parameters. He might even fall between the wagering cracks.

Taking Greenspring to win at 9-2 or greater, and boxing him in the exacta with Go Go Shoot, who might get an able assist from The Roundhouse, a stablemate who will be coming from left field trying to nail the speed.

Running Totals: (549) 171-107-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,190.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, November 25, 2009

We Believe in Mott

Today’s Aqueduct feature, a non-winners of one allowances for fillies and mares sprinting six furlongs is interesting, even if there isn’t a name attached to it. Ultimately, whether I cash or not depends on the confidence I have in Bill Mott to bring a horse back after a layoff since 2008. Since he’s 24 percent efficient with layups of 90 + days, this isn’t a stretch for me.

Sheikh’s Serenade (5-2) is extremely well bred and, on what she’s shown thus far, talented, too. The figure she earned in her juvenile debut was faster than anyone’s run here, and she did it off the bench; today’s scenario. She’s been working bullets for this and doesn’t appear to be a filly that’s “going to need one.”

Taking Sheikh’s Serenade to win at 8-5 or greater and keying her first and second in exotics with Qualia (7-2), an impressive winner of her sloppy track debut, and Kissa Melissa (2-1), who earns remarkably consistent, and fast, performance figures.

Running Totals: (548) 170-107-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,181.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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