Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Ravalo Looks Spooky

Today’s Belmont Park feature is the overnight Spooky Muldar restricted stakes for older sprinters going three-quarters. And what a talented group they are.

Te race features two extremely talented returnees, Lucky Island (5-2) and Accredit (3-1), from barn’s, Kiaran McLaughlin’s and Mike Maker’s, respectively, that are profitable with lengthy returnees, owing to their strike rates in the vicinity of 25 percent.

But we’ll take the horse that’s done something lately, instead, Ravalo (4-1). Five weeks ago, finished a very game third in the rapidly run Retama Park Sprint Handicap, a race that produced one next out winner from two returnees.

A road warrior, he’s a regular win machine with 12 victories in 26 lifetime starts, with a six furlongs slate of (19) 10-3-3. He has a strong late kick when you time the move correctly--Johnny Velazquez can do that--and there’s enough early gas between Accredit and Songster to set up his late run.

If one of those scratches, however, it would be a whole new ballgame.

Taking Ravalo to win and place at 7-2 or more.

Running Totals: (509) 151-105-71 Total Dollar Return: $1,023.10 [win selections only] {Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, September 24, 2009

Sharpness Over Past Accomplishment

Today’s Belmont feature, the Belle Bourne restricted stakes for state-bred fillies and mares 3 & up going a mile and a sixteenth of the main track.

Weathered is by far the fastest and most accomplished but she hasn’t shown she’s the same filly she was last season. She can win, of course, but not for us as the 2-1 early line favorite.

We prefer Dean Henry (9-2), a late developing four year old who’s been on a recent tear. The Empire Maker’s are often late bloomers, the case here, she has competitive performance figures, her style fit’s the shape here and Tom Albertrani has an excellent record with repeaters.

Rajiv Maragh takes the re-ride off the recent score, she’s a winner at the distance and 1-for-1 over Big Sandy.

Taking Dean Henry to win at 3-1 or more and an exacta key box with Weathered and Raffie’s Treasure (10-1) who appears to be cycling back into top form.

Running Totals: (509) 151-105-71 Total Dollar Return: $1,023.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, September 23, 2009

On a Win and a Prayer

An interesting small field Belmont feature, the Cat Chat restricted stakes at a mile for three year old fillies on the main track.

In Acronym (9-5), you have a favorite that made a impressive return to the races for the Bobby Frankel barn at 7 furlongs on the grass and now tries more seasoned, but mostly a lot of returnees from long layups.

Small field, many questions.

The Frankel barn has been waking up in New York of late. Everyone knows that Frankel hasn’t been well, and his hands-on touch has been missed. But in Acronym, this looks like a classic Frankel pattern. But the price will be very short.

The solid/talented and fastest performance horses are War Echo (3-1) and Malibu Prayer (5-2).

After finishing third behind Rachel Alexandra in the Golden Rod, she won the G3 Silverbulletday. But that was on February 7. What’s today about?

Malibu Prayer has advantages. Fastest by definition, she has usable gears, a good post and the distance should suit perfectly. But two turns to one sometimes is a tricky read, even if she was second in Rachel‘s G1 Mother Goose on this track.

Taking Malibu Prayer to win at 2-1 or greater and key-boxing her in exactas and trifectas.

Running Totals: (508) 150-105-71 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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