Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, April 10, 2010

It’s a Beautiful Thing

Today’s G3 Comely Stakes at Aqueduct is not the most compelling edition ever but one that could offer exceptional value. Checking the late odds absolutely will be critical in this spot.

Clearly, She’ll Be Doggone (5-2) is the fastest three-year-old filly and she is versatile. But accepting a short price at a longer distance while coming off a huge top effort, even with the recovery time, is a poor percentage play.

Touching Beauty (3-1), making her second start off a layup with the proper style, a favorable outside draw and a pedigree suited to the stretch out, should insure a good trip, the winning tack being a strong turn-rally. Her performance figure looks potentially explosive in this scenario.

Taking Touching Beauty to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing her in exactas with steadily improving Speightful Affair (5-1) and the favorite. Trifecta players can add price shot Roman Chestnut (15-1) to their mix.

Running Totals: (627) 196-126-88 Total Dollar Return: $1,358.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, April 09, 2010

The Vision is Karelian

Today’s feature at Keeneland Race Course is the G1 Maker’s Mark Mile which is always a competitive event. Today’s renewal is no different.

Clearly, Court Vision (6-5) is a worthy favorite. He likes the mile distance, owns superior performance figures, proven class and perennial Keeneland riding power, Robby Albarado.

In fact, part owner IEAH Stables has entered Pictural, an uncoupled 30-1 stablemate who doubtlessly has been entered to ensure an honest pace. Sometimes, however, overmatched “rabbits” can play into the competition’s hands. They could be the case here.

Karelian (5-2) is a remarkable hard-hitting old pro. After setting a soft pace recently, he held with determination to staff off champion Gio Ponti, has been briefly freshened, and now returns at his best distance.

A winner of half his eight starts at the distance with two seconds, he was beaten a scant nose by the favorite in the G1 Shadwell Mile here last fall.

Coming into this in virtually the same form, and given Karelian’s tactical speed with a switch to Julien Leparoux, he should get first run and hang on for the score, getting four pounds.

Taking Karelian to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Court Vision.

Running Totals: (626) 195-126-88 Total Dollar Return: $1,351.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, April 07, 2010

Franny Freud First

With the prestigious Keeneland meet underway, we’re going to Bluegrass country for today’s Grade 2 Beaumont for 3-year-old fillies going about 7 furlongs on the Beard Course.

And there’s no reason to make this any more difficult than it should be. Franny Freud (9-5) is just too talented for this group with her tactical speed, kick, love for synthetic surfaces and superior performance figures.

Now as long as Garrett Gomez doesn’t pull a Lookin At Lucky, she appears unbeatable. Her spacing off a lifetime best effort is sufficient and trainer John Terranova is a profitable 26 percent efficient with horses returning in this timeframe.

Taking Franny Freud to win, no price restrictions, boxing her in the exacta with synthetics specialist Chantilly Nayla (3-1) and using a price shot, improving, sharp- working Grand Affair (15-1) second and third in the multiple pool mix.

Running Totals: (625) 194-126-88 Total Dollar Return: $1,348.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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