Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, July 17, 2009

Albertrani’s Got the Magic

Today’s feature is a beauty, the Dam Little Stakes for state-bred filly three year olds going a mile on the turf. And given those conditions, the race has attracted some very talented fillies.

There’s Doremifasolatido (5-2), dropping out of the Grade 1 Acorn and making her turf debut. She has a two-sided grass pedigree, a sharp recent work, and a trainer profitable with first-time turf starters.

There’s Mother Russia (4-1), who won her grass debut with last out in the filly division of the NY Stallion Stakes. Trainer Linda Rice’s production on turf remains scary.

And the well named Speed Dating (5-1), by Not For Love, making her third start off the layup for Kiaran McLaughlin, a profitable 26 percent efficient in that scenario with forward looking performance figures.

But it’s My Magic Moment (4-1) who’s the most attractive play for a number of reasons, not the least of which is her long awaited return to the New York bred stakes ranks--a profitable angle for the Albertrani barn--after winning restricted open stakes and racing competitively in graded company.

But most significant is the fact that both lifetime wins have come on the Belmont turf and she’s reuniting with Rajiv Maragh, aboard for both those scores. The anticipated contested pace suits her finishing style.

Taking My Magic Moment to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her first and second in trifectas with her three rivals here, plus potential price shot, Soave (8-1).

Running Totals: (462) 139-95-63 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, July 16, 2009

Clement’s Hot, So Is His Gelding

Today’s Belmont feature is the Virgo Libra for state-bred 3-year-old males going a mile on the turf. It has a bit of everything: good speed types, good kickers and a number of talented dirt sprinters trying turf for the first time.

Strong Impact is the early line favorite (3-1) and even if he’s the public choice at off time the odds will be bettable, such is the competitiveness of this group. Working strongly since finishing third in the NY Stallion Stakes, the challenge is for him to rate and finish going this trip.

Katskill Bay (5-1) is interesting in that he had a very tough trip in that same race now tries turf a second time with grass ace Alan Garcia for a barn, Rodrigo Ubillo, that’s 21 percent profitable with horses going sprint to route. Ubillo is in the midst of a career year and his runner fit’s the race shape nicely here.

But it’s the gelding Hot Money (7-2) who rates the call. Fastest on performance figures, he showed courage in his game maiden win then overcame a series of problems in his latest--at the gate, approaching the turn, and again on turn--to remain undefeated on grass for Christophe Clement, batting 28 percent at the meet. He certainly has enough pedigree to get him one more furlong successfully.

Taking Hot Money to win at 3-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here. Trifecta players can add Pegasus Tommy D. (10-1) to their mix.

Running Totals: (461) 139-95-63 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Belmont Feature a Tricky Read

Today’s Belmont Park feature, the Jersey Girl Stakes, restricted to three year old fillies sprinting six and a half furlongs, is a competitive six horse field despite the presence of a fast filly on a three-race win streak that looms an odds-on choice; Slam The Cat (6-5) is just significantly faster than the group on performance figures.

But she’s no gim’me. She comes back on 17 days rest after three straight enervating wins, her last after re-adding front bandages. Despite her considerable edge on figures and a New Pace Top, she appears vulnerable. But where do you go?

Union City (9-2) is well spotted here. She gained experience at this hybrid distance vs. a salty group at Philly Park last out now makes her local debut five weeks fresh, drew nicely outside in a short field, picks up Johnny Velazquez, and blew out smartly for this. She’s very quick.

But, returning to Handicapping 101 here, there’s a lot of speed signed on and one filly with a good turn of foot, demonstrated winning her last at Churchill Downs over the hard hitting Honchis n Ponchis, is suited by the race shape and her present conditioning. Still, her figures would need to improve dramatically.

In a head scratcher, we're taking Union City to win at 4-1 or greater, boxing her in exactas with Kiddari and Slam The Cat.

Running Totals: (461) 139-95-63 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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