Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Double Your Pleasure, Double Your Fun

Going on the record with Square Eddie as the most probable winner of today’s Grade 2 Coolmore Lexington Stakes at Keeneland. Odds of 8-5, or greater, are fair.

We’re making two win bets on price shots in today’s race. Taking both Pitched Perfectly (15-1) and Parade Clown (15-1) to win at 10-1 or greater, boxing them in all exotics with Brave Victory (8-1) and Square Eddie (9-5).

Running Totals: (406) 124-86-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only] (Friday's results not included)

For complete analysis of today’s Coolmore Lexington Stakes from Keeneland Race Course, see John Pricci’s Morning Line blog on the lead page

Written by John Pricci


Friday, April 17, 2009

Indescribably Bettable

Keeneland Spring keeps popping out the graded stakes, today the G3 Doubledogdare for fillies and mares four & up at a mile and a sixteenth. And this is an interesting one, too.

Remember what Bill Mott pulled off in the Lanes End, winning a graded stakes in a seasonal-debut scenario? Well, he’s at it again here with early line favorite Indescribable and he is likely to get a similar result. Let’s count the ways.

Class-wise, she’s a multiple graded stakes winner and is G1 placed behind Ginger Punch. Obviously pointing since she was third in this race last year, she clearly has the best performance figures among those who have run on Keeneland’s Poly surface. Then, of course, there’s Mott’s profitable 23 percent strike rate in this scenario.

The other interesting fillies in here are Awesome Ashley (6-1), fast enough and picking up Gomez for Todd Pletcher from the inside, Miss Isella (4-1), training strongly for the hot Ian Wilkes in G2 company last year--third in her lone start on this surface, and Drop A Line (8-1), a price shot with competitive figures and Jeremy Rose down for the ride on the uncoupled Motion entrant.

Taking Indescribable to win at 2-1 or greater, keying her first and second in exactas, and in all trifecta money positions, extra tickets with price shot Drop A Line.

Running Totals: (406) 124-86-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, April 16, 2009

Better Than All the Rest

A wide open interesting feature at Keeneland this afternoon, the G3 Appalachian Stakes for three-year-old fillies going one mile on the turf. A chance to get bettable odds on jockey Garrett Gomez?

Well, More Of The Best is 8-1 on the early line from an advantageous from an inside slip, has never taken a backward step on the Equiform scale in three lifetime starts on turf, is coming off a pace low, attracts the aforementioned Gomez, is 2-for-3 at the distance with a placing and has worked well for her Keeneland course debut.

Of note is the fact that trainer Bernie Flint is profitable for a career on grass and is saving an excellent season, batting a profitable 21 percent. Worth a mention here is that this is one horse Gomez need not take back to last. She has good early foot at her best distance with a inside post a and it would be wise for Gomez to take advantage of those conditions.

Her toughest rival is logical favorite Habaya (3-1). Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin is relevant in all statistical categories, she a G3 winner at the distance and switches to stable rider and turf ace Alan Garcia.

Taking More Of the Best at 5-1 or greater and an exacta box with Habaya.

Running Totals: (405) 124-86-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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