Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Nina Springs Eternal

Today’s feature on the Gulfstream turf course features a favorite that’s worth trying to beat. While America’s Dreaming does reunite with winning partner Alan Garcia and is making his second start off a layup, his performances figures do not really justify 5-2 favoritism.

The two interesting fillies in here are Loxy Lady (4-1), returning to her best distance, and Nina Springs (6-1), who ships south for Jane Cibelli.

Loxy Lady not only returns to a distance that has produced two of her three lifetime victories but is reunited with Jose Lezcano, aboard for her mile victory at Saratoga and hails from a barn (Mark Henning’s) that 21 percent efficient with third-off-layup runners.

But Nina Springs is a bit more compelling. As a newly turned 4-year-old, she still has some upside development, comes from a key race Tampa route producing two next out winners, and likely will find this course more suited to her speed-stalking style.

Elvis Trujillo is 1-for-1 on this miss and Ms. Cibelli shows a profit with her ship-in starters. The turnback to one mile (2) 1-1-0 suits well, as does her 6-1 early odds line.

Taking Nina Springs to win at 4-1 or greater, an exacta box with Loxy Lady, and adding America’s Dreaming to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (620) 191-125-88 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, March 27, 2010

Drosselmeyer Gets Even

Drosselmeyer's chances explained in more detail on HRI lead page

Taking Drosselmeyer (5-1) to win at 7-2 or greater and key boxing him first and second in the multiple pools with late developing Mission Impazible (8-1), A Little Warm (4-1), the fastest horse by defintion, and late running Ron the Greek (6-1). Superfecta players can add longshot Stay Put (10-1) to their mix.

Running Totals: (618) 191-125-87 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Friday, March 26, 2010

Mambo, Cajun Style

Metarie, La.--Today’s feature in the Crescent City is the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks that has drawn a full field and should provide bettable odds no matter the choice. This one’s wide open.

At first blush, we give four fillies the best chance, the four top choices on the early line; Quiet Temper (7-2), Mambo Fever (6-1), Jody Slew (5-1) and Ailalea (3-1).

Quiet Temper and Jody Slew finished noses apart in the recent G3 Silverbulletday over the track, with the latter nailing the former in the last jump. This makes Jody 2-for-2 at the Fair Grounds and a winner at today’s distance.

Quiet Temper, meanwhile, found herself on the lead--probably not her best game. Today she’s likely to sit a good trip from the pole position beneath Albarado and she’s worked well subsequently.

The favorite, meanwhile, showed the most promise at 2 given her excellent Equiform performance figures as a juvenile and her trainer, Todd Pletcher, is 2-for-2 with his Florida-based shippers into New Orleans this meet. The spacing seems perfect, the extreme outside post not so much.

When you look at Mambo Fever’s figures and past performances you notice that she finished close behind the early line favorite in last year’s Tempted Stakes. But her pace and final figure-relationship indicates that she’s getting stronger.

Mambo’s pedigree is screaming out for today’s second turn, she reunites with David Cohen, her Tempted Stakes partner and note, too, that Tony Dutrow is a profitable 29 percent efficient when adding blinkers. She worked well with the hood at her Palm Meadows base for this.

Taking Mambo Fever to win at 9-2 or greater, an exacta box with Quiet Temper, and adding Jody Slew and Ailalea to the trifecta mix. Superfecta players could do worse than to add a pair of longshots to their underneath mix, The Rumor’s True (30-1) and Shezacrazygirl (15-1).

Running Totals: (618) 191-125-87 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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