Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Don’t Get in a Snit Over Today’s Feature

Today’s overnight Snit Stakes for fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth has attracted a full, competitive field and should prove a good betting race for horses that have not won an open stakes this year.

While we hate to back at three-year-old giving weight to older runners, we love backing three-year-olds against elders who get good late in the season and, more often than not, continue to develop.

All this seems the case with Love’s Blush (7-2), a streaking Maryland bred shipping up for the erstwhile Rodney Jenkins, who brings along Travis Dunkelberger for the ride. Don’t want to suggests he rides for this outfit, as he’s “only” riding at a 45% pace over the last two months while an overall remarkable 30 percent for the year.

Coming off a New Pace Top, he has tactical speed, kick, draws the pole for the short run into the first turn and appears to suit the race shape nicely in here.

Taking Love’s Blush to win at 3-1 or greater, and keying her first and second in exactas with the sharp Tidal Dance (9-2) and the quick-returning distance specialist Successful Sarah (12-1).

Running Totals: (558) 174-111-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,207.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, December 06, 2009

Longshot Worth Risk in Damon Runyon

The male half of the state-bred stakes for three-year-olds, the Damon Runyon goes as the seventh and it boasts an interesting price shot in Reading Group (15-1).

What makes him intriguing is that he comes out of the same race as the favorite, a key race, is on a healthy pattern, is bred for added distance, picks up Edgar Prado for a barn that’s profitable with their second-time-going long starters.

Add the fact that this race is loaded with speed, he can kick late and would appreciate any remaining moisture in the track.

Taking Reading Group to win and place at 12-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (557) 174-111-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,207.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, December 05, 2009

An Upset Here Would Be Awesome

Today’s Garland of Roses for sprinting fillies and mares at six furlongs looks like an ideal spot to throw deep.

Saarland (5-2), the early line favorite, is returning from a lengthy layup, has run well on this surface, is training up a storm and is, by definition, the fastest filly.

But Awesome Ashley (10-1) is really intriguing. While she doesn’t have the performance figures of the favorite, she has speed figure moments, especially on this track.

After getting legged up when ambitiously placed in the G2 Raven Run on Polytrack, she returned to New York with a game, tough trip placing.

Subsequently, she has a bullet work in her holster, is nicely drawn outside with Anna Napravnik on the re-ride, and it might be useful to remember that Todd Pletcher is a profitable 28 percent with third-off-the-layup starters. Just can’t resist.

Taking Awesome Ashley to win at 8-1 or greater and an exacta box with Saarland.

Running Totals: (556) 173-111-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,194.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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