Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, January 30, 2009

Primed for Victory

Today’s NYRA feature is for three-year-old state-bred fillies going a mile. Although it has drawn a limit field, it nevertheless appears to be a two-horse affair, a battle of favorites La Concerto (5-2) and She’s Prime (3-1).

What separates these fillies from the rest are their proven ability at the distance or pedigree to handle a route of ground.

La Concerto comes from the barn of Steve Asmussen, who’s won with three of his last nine local starters, and who’s been 42 percent efficient when tapping leading rider Ramon Dominguez. Her performance figures put her at or near the top of this group and as a daughter of distance loving Aptitude, the added ground not only within her abilities but actually should move her forward.

But should or could are no substitutes for did. She’s Prime broke her maiden around two turns on this track after finishing a willing third in her sprint stakes prior. Her figures are marching forward incrementally, a good sign of further development, and she’s nicely drawn inside. Position conscious Rajiv Maragh will have her in this throughout, either from in front or just off the early pace.

Taking She’s Prime to win at 2-1 or better and an exacta box with La Concerto.

Running Totals: (352) 107-71-47 Total Dollar Return: $753.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, January 29, 2009

Here Come Da Judge

The unusual aspect about today’s NYRA feature, a $50,000 starter allowances going a mile and a sixteenth, is that there’s an awful lot of early speed in a two turn New York route. And if that dynamic doesn’t set the table nicely for early line favorite Judge William (3-1), then I don’t know what would.

Dropping from the $75,000 level and a two-time winner over this surface, on wet tracks and winner of his only two starts at today’s distance, four-year-old Judge T C colt reunites with Mike Luzzi, who can take advantage of the Scott Schwartz trainee’s versatility and favorable draw.

And given that his performance figures are only competitive on best, securing value is a possibility despite overnight favoritism.

Among his rivals, most of the speedsters are a tricky read but we'll include three rivals coming off New Pace Top Equiform patterns.

Taking Judge William to win at 5-2 or greater, keying him first and second in trifectas with Lion By My Side (4-1), San Naa (6-1) and Green Spirit (7-2).

Running Totals: (351) 107-71-47 Total Dollar Return: $753.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Mr. Fantasy the Real Thing?

The feature that starts the NYRA racing week is not particularly challenging, nor will it be rewarding if from holds. But we might get a good look at a promising three-year-old, at least.

On paper, trying to beat Mr. Fantasy in this preliminary allowances sprint would be disingenuous. We’re not going to try. Simply stated, he ran a whole in the wind in his only start, earning a figure that would win many sprint stakes, much less a maiden race.

Early line odds of 1-5 almost seem justified.

The McLaughlin barn has been on a tear locally and Alan Garcia leaves balmy South Florida to come up for the ride--obviously he doesn’t this colt to get too far away from him. The E Dubai colt has been away 31 days which should be sufficient.

Legal Consent (4-1), already a stakes winner vs. state-bred company and a colt who has earned excellent sprint figures, is the one to beat coming off a recent game placing with Ramon Dominguez on the re-ride for Carlos Martin.

Mr. Fantasy is the win selection, without price restrictions, and the only real life play would be a cold exacta with Legal Consent which, should it succeed, might set a record for the lowest exacta payoff in New York history. As they say, it is what it is.

Running Totals: (351) 107-71-47 Total Dollar Return: $753.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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