Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, September 03, 2010

Anticipating Powhatan County

Today’s Spa feature is the G3 With Anticipation for juvenile colts going 1-1/16 miles on the Mellon course and a vexing puzzle it is.

Typhoon Slew broke his maiden laughing but set a soft pace at Ellis Park to do so. Lou Brissie has graded stakes experience, wants to go long, worked well on turf but has never competed on it. Grigio came from the clouds with blinkers added and was beaten a nose. Sensational Slam went 2-for-2 on Woodbine Poly now tries turf.

But we’re going to keep this simple and take Powhatan County. After breaking maiden under these conditions earlier at the meet, he shipped to Monmouth and finished fourth following a wide and rough trip, placed third following a rival’s disqualification.

While turning back with tougher, his figures improved despite his trip now returns to the Spa and reunites with Castellano from a cozy inside slip.

Taking Powhatan County to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (721) 236-149-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,633.10 [win selections only] {Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, September 02, 2010

If Form Holds the Creek Will Rise

For a detailed look at the second division of today’s Riskaverse Stakes, see Saratoga Diary on the lead page

Taking Queen of the Creek to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in multiples with Lisa’s Booby Trap, Sea Road, Khanchord Kid and Marseria.

Running Totals: (721) 236-149-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,633.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Believe What You See

Today’s Spa feature is the P G Johnson overnight stakes for two-year-old fillies going a mile and a sixteenth on the inner turf course and an interesting heat it is.

No less than five of these fillies, in our view, have a good chance to win this and we will opt for the filly with the best demonstrated late kick even if she is a maiden vs. winners, which should help insure fair odds.

In her turf debut on July 30, Believe In A. P. (8-1) demonstrated turf style, an ability to kick late, especially considering a lack of strong early pace which never developed on that occasion.

Factor in that she was forced to alter course off that slow pace, has worked thrice since that effort, retains Julien Leparoux and shifts to the inner course with its longer run to the first turn and there are good reasons to believe she can pull off the upset here.

Taking Believe In A. P. to win at 5-1 or greater, and keying her in multiples with turf meant Pleine Forme (5-1), logical favorite Dos Lunas (3-1), grass bred Fancy Point (12-1) with Castellano, winner of her only [turf] start Lauren Byrd (7-2), and recent conqueror Arch Support (6-1).

Running Totals: (720) 236-149-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,633.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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