Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Sea Current Taking Bettors Upstream

Today’s Tampa feature looks like it will go as the sixth race, a preliminary allowances on turf at a mile and a sixteenth for three-year-olds and up.

Schopenhauer (5-2) is a solid and logical early favorite. He’s fast, owns a win on this course, is reunited with trainer Dennis Manning, 36 percent efficient in that category and who saddled this horse to victory during the spring meet here.

But there are two contenders that can offer good value depending which way the crowd goes. Steps Silver Halo (6-1) is on a good performance figure line, going well on the Keeneland Poly in a key-race effort, has worked well for this spot and trainer Dale Bennett is a profitable 24 percent coming back on this kind of seven-week timetable.

Sea Current (9-2), meanwhile, is developing beautifully, goes well fresh for turf and layup ace, Michael Zweisler, owns a sharp work and is drawn inside, attracting Rosemary Homeister. Interesting race and no easy call. We’ll err on the side of potential value.

Taking Sea Current at 4-1 or greater, keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here, an extra ticket with Schopenauer, and a trifecta box of the three.

Running Totals: (562) 176-112-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,214.40 [win selections only] {Wednesday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Longshot Mac N Mayo Something Good to Eat

With New York tracks closed for the holidays, it’s time to ship to warmer climes today for an extremely interesting feature from Tampa Bay Downs, a secondary allowances/optional for fillies and mare 3 & up at a mile and a sixteenth.

The race features a strong favorite in Omega Cat (2-1), a still developing three-year-old who broke her (turf) maiden on this course in the spring. From strong connections--Proctor and Homeister--and some excellent performance figures, she’ll be a tough out.

Having said that, this full field is crying out for a price shot and we think we’ve found just that in Mac N Mayo (12-1).

The five year old mare is winless on turf in five tries but she’s been facing some hard hitters, earns excellent figures on both turf and synthetics, and hails from a low profile barn that’s profitable with its grass runners and in allowance company. There’s an excellent chance this mare will be higher than early line odds at post time.

Taking Mac N Mayo to win at 12-1 or greater, and exacta box with Omega Cat, and as a super exotics key with Jaunty Gale (7-2), Sharp Sunrise (12-1) and Soft Music (5-1).

Running Totals: (561) 176-112-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,214.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, December 13, 2009

Music to My Ears

The New York winter hiatus begins following today’s card, the last day of racing at the Big A until Dec. 26. And not much to write home for the holidays about here either; a preliminary allowances for fillies and mares sprinting six furlongs.

Unfortunately, favorite La Concerto (8-5) seems to have this group over the proverbial barrel. She’s proven consistently fastest on performance figures, goes well fresh, attracts Alan Garcia, who will make excellent use of her tactical speed, and the Asmussen NY division is rolling along at a tidy 37 percent. I concede.

Taking La Concerto to win, no price restrictions, and keying her first and second in trifectas with the super consistent Kissa Melissa (5-2), new Levine acquisition Lion’s Terms (6-1), and the fast working Indian Delight, beneath budding star David Cohen.

Running Totals: (560) 175-112-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,210.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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