Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, February 14, 2009

Liz Gets Lasix

The Saturday feature, tackily run as the third race because the bean counters want short fields out of the Pick Six sequence--the eighth race drew a whopping field of seven--is the Dearly Precious Stakes for three-year-old fillies.

Despite the short field it’s a competitive group with any of three fillies; Liz Too (2-1), Dream Play (5-2) and Chattertown (7-2) more than capable of this.

Chattertown ships in super ship for Steve Klesaris following a dead heat win at Philly Park last out. Showing much improved speed to break her maiden in spot where the first and third finishers came back to win next out, the barn is showing a good deal of confidence spotting her here. She continues to train very well at her Fair Hill base and attracts talented speed rider David Cohen.

Dream Play might be 2-for-2 in her career if not for a very poor getaway in her return from a lengthy layup then continued to race in traffic much of the way. She impressed favorably in her maiden score at 2 and certainly could improve rapidly here. Eddie Castro picks up the mount from Kiaran McLaughlin, profitable with second-off-the-layup returnees.

But leave it to Rick Dutrow to find a spot and position that suits his filly nicely. Blessed with high cruising speed, she sports a bounce rebound pattern into this, her two-back being significantly faster than her first. But she might have had an additional excuse as well, adding Lasix for the first time this afternoon. Richard Migliore rides her back for an outfit that’s a sensational 39 percent efficient with first-Lasix runners. Migliore should sit the pocket until ready.

Taking Liz Too to win at 2-1 or greater, no multiple pool wagers.

Running Totals: (362) 112-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, February 13, 2009

Late Developing Gelding to the Rescue

There’s plenty of gas on display--most of it in the form of Accredit--in today’s sprint feature at Aqueduct, a money allowances/optional claimer at six furlongs.

But no one is coming up to this any better than the strong finishing Mr. Madison (7-2). As so often happens with gelding, this guy has come into his own at age five. Further, the six weeks of spacing is ideal and he appears to by cycling back to a top effort.

The pacesetting Accredit (5-2) should insure lively fractions for the Gary Contessa trainee, who’s reaching out for one of his go-to winter riders, Pablo Morales. Sir Winston (4-1) shows up as the fastest on figures but generally needs a few races to recover off big efforts.

Taking Mr. Madison to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with sharp ship-in Suave Jazz (3-1), a three-time surface winner.

Running Totals: (361) 112-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, February 12, 2009

A Golden Opportunity for the Levine Barn

Today’s feature is a secondary allowances/optional claimer for older state-bred fillies going a mile and 70 yards. A wide open two-turner, the fillies of main interest here are Vladimira (4-1) and early line favorite Golden Win (3-1). But any of four fillies could wind up the public’s choice.

Vladimira is nothing if not consistent. She runs performance figures that are consistently competitive with this group and she earns them under virtually any scenario. Her last effort was especially good visually, drawing away late to win her winter track debut and showing the kind of development you like to see in a newly turned four-year-old.

She gets a break in the weights under 7-pound apprentice Maylan Studart and has held fair if a recent short bullet blowout is any measure.

But Golden Win has a lot going for her, with the possible exception of her outside draw at this distance. The good news is that she’s run almost as fast as these early in her three-year-old season and now returns with added maturity for the Levine barn, a very worthy and profitable 32 percent efficient with returnees off greater than 90-day layups.

Levine also is a profitable 31 percent when adding Lasix for the first time. Further, his filly has a fairly significant pace advantage here which should enable her to gain the lead before reaching a first turn that comes up quickly at this distance. Noted speed rider C. C. Lopez is a huge plus.

Taking Golden Win to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with Vladimira and Baroness (7-2), who showed improved early speed in last.

Running Totals: (361) 112-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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