Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, November 06, 2009

Hitting the High Notes

For complete analysis of today's Breeders' Cup Ladies Classic, please see Pricci Morning Line on lead page

Taking Music Note to win at 8-5 or greater, keying her one-two in exactas and trifectas with Cocoa Beach and Proviso.

Running Totals: (537) 164-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,139.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, November 05, 2009

Pegasian to win

Today's Aqueduct feature is a preliminary allowances for New York breds, 3-year-olds and up, going a flat mile. The interesting entrant here is Pegasian, making his second start since the barn change.

Of significance is the fact that Carlos Martin is using a pattern with this new runner that has worked in the past, a turf-to-dirt move that resulted in a near lifetime best performance.

In fact, Pegasian's best performance figures recently have come in one-turn miles, and he has an excellent back figure indicating that he has the ability to beat these, even the recent impressive maiden breaker and probable post time favorite, Fiddler's Patriot.

Taking Pegasian to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Fiddler's Patriot.

Running Totals: (536) 163-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,132.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Potential Trip and Value Key to Half High

Today’s Aqueduct feature is the overnight Half High Stakes for three-year-olds and up going a flat mile at the Big A. The fastest horse, Solar Flare, makes his first start for the Anthony Dutrow barn, a profitable 32 percent in that scenario and an outfit that’s 28 percent efficient with layups of 90 days or more. With New York’s leading rider Ramon Dominguez, he’s a worthy favorite (7-5).

However, this looks like an interesting spot for both Timber Reserve and Gold Trippi. Timber Reserve is nicely positioned outside the favorite for the backstretch run and with enough tactical speed to stalk whichever rival elects to set the pace, then out-quick the field home. His steady works since his latest look purposeful and he reunites with Javier Castellano, who rode him to two previous victories.

But this race is about course lover Gold Trippi, who's 2-for-3 over this ground, perfectly suited to a one-turn mile, and benefits from the switch to Alan Garcia. Taking any value offered on the early line second choice, to win at 3-1 or greater, and boxing him in exactas with Solar Flare and Timber Reserve.

Running Totals: (535) 163-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,132.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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