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Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Wednesday, March 19, 2014


Good Golly Miss Molly


Interesting Gulfstream feature, a flat mile for older fillies and mares, a N3X optional claimer with many potential ways to go. With all the speed signed on having the best recent form, looks like a good spot to throw deep, and so we are.

Clearly, Sonja's Angel (3-1), in raging from and working well seeking her third straight, the classy company lines of Lady Cohiba (5-2), and the quick, sharp Pixie Devil (6-1) appear obvious contenders.

However, we're looking for Molly Morgan (12-1), who has raced well over the track, is at home at the trip, is working well and repeating a successful turf to dirt pattern for Romans, a profitable 19% with such types and with regular rider Corey Lanerie in the boot, gives this 5YO mare more than just a puncher's chance.

Taking Molly Morgan to win at 7-1 or greater, and key boxing her in exotic money positions with her three rivals here.


Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1494

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 457-284-228

Amount Wagered: $2,990 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,127.60

Profit to Date: $137.60

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

Sunday, March 16, 2014


Betting Figures Won’t Lie


Cary Fotias always said "live by the numbers, die by the numbers." Think TTT has said it, too. As we wrote yesterday, there's more than that to consider.

Well, today's 7th at GP is a good illustration of living by the numbers and that's the tack we're taking.

Now Morgan's Guerrrilla (3-1) is a good example of classifying what with his back-class and recent third to the uber classy Normandy Invasion while coming off the layup. He will be heavily backed and obviously has an excellent chance on the turn-back.

Figures-wise, however, we prefer Accelerare (5-2), the early line favorite that might not be overbet as most Pletcher trainees are at this meet because of the presence of 'Morgan's' and others.

The newly turned 4YO did what you want to see, come back a year older and run a few notches faster, sheets-speak indicating development. And he's no slouch in the class department either, having finished a good second to Moreno on the Belmont undercard last year.

Training on schedule since, record-setting Castellano sticks around for the stretch-out.

Taking Accelerare to win at 2-1 or greater, and exacta box with his main rival here, and adding turf-to-dirt Best Man (10-1) to the super-exotics mix.


Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1493

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 457-284-228

Amount Wagered: $2,988 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,127.60

Profit to Date: $139.60

Written by John Pricci

Comments (3)


 
 

Saturday, March 15, 2014


By Order of the Coach


The big race of the day of course takes place in Hot Springs. It's the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes that has drawn a very salty field of eight three year olds. We think perhaps any of five horses can win this, a sixth with a puncher's chance.

The deserving favorite is, of course, Tapiture (9-5), who dominated in the Southwest Stakes. It was a lifetime best and beneath 122 pounds he spots weight to all. We're looking for a minor upset.

Strong Mandate (2-1) had a very tough, wide trip behind in the favorite in that race and was up against it with a very wide draw on a speedy, inside-favoring Santa Anita strip.

What peaks our interest off that first rate placing behind Tapiture is the fact he came back to work a bullet half mile only eight days after the race. Guess he came out of his season's debut in top form.

Taking Strong Mandate to win at 2-1 or greater, exacta key boxes with the favorite and impressive San Vicente winner Kobe's Back (7-2), and adding Ride On Curlin (12-1), Street Strategy (8-1) and Hoppertunity (10-1) to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1492

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 457-284-228

Amount Wagered: $2,986 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,127.60

Profit to Date: $141.60

Written by John Pricci

Comments (5)


 
 

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