Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, October 30, 2015

Speak Softly But Carry a Big Bankroll

As stated in today's PML, this race is impossible, believing only five of the 15 entrants don't have some chance to either win or fill out the first four positions. So we'll keep this as simple as we can:

We're taking I'm a Chatterbox to win at 5-1 or greater as we think that's fair odds relative to her win chances, in my view. We will also key-box her in exactas and super-exotics, pressing the exactas, of course.

Using rapidly developing, nicely managed 3-year-old Calamity Kate (30-1) who, like the choice, also is getting three pounds from elders; Yahilwa (20-1), fully come-to-hand at 5 and was narrowly beaten in a Keeneland G1 with two subsequent bullet works, and the accomplished Sheer Drama (9-2) and Got Lucky (6-1), both saddled with wide posts but may provide value given that reality.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1,857

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 559-357

Amount Wagered: $3,714 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,846.60

Profit to Date: $132.60

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, October 25, 2015

Conditions Suit Mott Colt A Lot

Interesting feature at Belmont today, the one mile English Channel for 3YO going a flat mile on turf with several promising grass runners and graded stakes sprinter March making his grass debut.

But it's A Lot (3-1) who has tactical speed when needed, a good match with his good late run, who might have an edge given the conditions. Run on the Widener Course, the mile dynamic gives Junior Alvarado options: stalking the speed comfortably outside or pressing a slow pace if need be before making his late finish.

Taking A Lot to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with Vision Perfect (7-2) and potential loose leader Nonna's Boy (4-1), adding turf debuting Chad trainee, March (5-1) and the carefully pointed Team Colors (6-1) to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1856

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 559-357

Amount Wagered: $3,712 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,846.60

Profit to Date: $134.60

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, October 24, 2015

One from Belmont, One from Keeneland

Today's Feature Race Analysis Brought to You by Special Promotional Arrangement with

KEENELAND: Grade 3 Valley View Stakes

Extremely wide open as many top trainers going after graded stature for the last time against straight 3YO turf fillies.

Giving lean to Sunset Glow (4-1) and an already G1 winner and G2 placed on grass. Her TG figures and our Energy Figures put her squarely in this and getting 4-1 ante post is possible given the competitive nature of the group.

Taking Sunset Glow to win at 7-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with sharp, well-spaced Gap Year (8-1), and first-time Pletcher + Lasix entrant, Osaila (9-2).

BELMONT PARK: The Empire Classic

Today’s celebrated New York Showcase Day, featuring the best of the state-bred breed, the Empire Classic is always an interesting renewal featuring either strong open class favorites or a wide open scramble. Today’s edition features a little of both.

Given running styles of the major contenders and the race dynamics anticipated, this figures to be very much a rider’s race and, at some point, a chess match between Javier and Johnny, a very familiar scenario in recent years on this circuit.

We prefer the rapidly developing 4YO gelding Royal Posse, whose game has been raised since entering the Rudy Rodrigues barn. The return of Royal Posse and Saratoga Snacks, who finished noses apart in Saratoga’s Evan Shipman at today’s 9F trip.

‘Snacks’ is a Belmont Park horse for course; ‘Posse’ might be a bit more versatile and is favored by dynamics, the tie-breaker for us.

Taking Royal Posse to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing exactas with ‘Snacks’ (3-1) and live value play, dynamics-suited Empire Dreams (6-1).

For FRA daily running totals purposes, going on record with Royal Posse to win the Empire Classic

Number of Selections since 2007: 1855

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 559-356

Amount Wagered: $3,710 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,846.60

Profit to Date: $136.60

Written by John Pricci


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