Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Wednesday, March 18, 2015


Outside Fillies Top Wednesday Turf Sprint Gulf Feature


Race dynamics and make this a tough call. The top fillies, early line favorites, #s 11 and 12, are tied at 91 Pricci Ratings points. Since these dead-even faves break from outside posts, exacta boxes that include value horses, #s 5 and 8, makes sense.

Of the top two fillies we’re siding with better early odds and recency and making a win play on Fascinante. We'll also use Free as a Bird as a super-exotics key with the 5 and 8, adding #s 2 and 10 to the mix given their competitive ratings and early odds of 10-1 and 8-1, respectively.

Some races are cut and dry, making wagering decisions easy. Others, like this one, require final-minutes adjustments. Taking Fascinante to win at 7-2 or greater.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1709

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 515-330

Amount Wagered: $3,418 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,526.80

Profit to Date: $108.80

For a complete Pricci Ratings breakdown of today's feature race, click on the blog section at http://www.123bet.com

We will be on assignment for the balance of the week. The FRA will resume with Saturday's racing

Written by John Pricci

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Tuesday, March 17, 2015


Twist ‘n Shout Gimme the 2!


Today’s GP feature is pretty cut and dry from a betting perspective: Twist ‘n Bake (77) owns a clear 3-point spread over the group, with 15-1 Tumminia at 74. The better news is that two others, Anita Partner (10-1) and Jewelisa (9-2), at 73 on the TER scale, are clustered immediately below. These four fillies have a clear edge on the remainder of these turf routers and so the bet path seems clear.

Making a 4-horse exacta box of 2, 3, 4 and 9. Obviously, a win play on Twist ‘n Bake is in order since she figures to be close to her early line odds in this open grass event for 3YO fillies. Optimizing, we’re keying Twist n’ Bake first and second in super-exotics with the three fillies clustered below, and will make moderate win bets on Tumminia (15-1) and Anita Partner (10-1), especially the former, at any price near their early line odds.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1708

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 515-330

Amount Wagered: $3,416 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,526.80

Profit to Date: $110.80

For a complete Pricci Ratings breakdown of today's feature race, click on the blog section at http://www.123bet.com

Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, March 15, 2015


Like a Rock


Rock Fall is a layover given his 5-point TER call in today's GP feature over City of Weston, scratched from a tougher Saturday MTO spot. But at 9-5 early line from the Pletcher barn, this sprinter is not likely to produce an inviting win play. Plus, we’re talking about a 4YO with three lifetime starts coming off la layup.

Behind ‘Weston’ is Pomeroy’s Package at 7-2. However, Hot Heir Skier, clustered with 'Weston' and 'Pomeroy's', is another fast returnee at an early line 15-1 and hails from a top layup barn.

We're playing for an upset; exacta boxing all four contenders here, keying the fave 1-2 in all exotics pools, a small win saver on ‘Skier’ and taking him below the top three in all money positions.

For FRA running totals purposes, taking Rock Fall to win with no price restrictions.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1707

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 514-330

Amount Wagered: $3,414 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,522.60

Profit to Date: $108.60

For a complete Pricci Ratings breakdown of today's feature race, click on the blog section at http://www.123bet.com

Written by John Pricci

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