Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, March 06, 2009

Sensational Recent Form

An interesting feature race boasting a handful of developing three-year-olds featuring recent maiden winners, droppers, and shippers, all adding to the mix. Horses of interest are, from the outside in, Tap Man (5-1), Cellar Dweller (4-1), and Haitian Sensation (5-2).

Tony Dutrow appears to be bearing down on Tap Man. Following an introductory spin around the inner track, Dutrow adds blinkers. That’s a profitable 28 proposition and one that seems to be working given two recent bullet works, presumably in those new blinkers. Dutrow reaches out for David Cohen, who rode Tap Man to victory two starts back at Philly Park.

Cellar Dweller is back to his proper level after a good placing to Haynesfield, one of the choices in tomorrow’s Gotham Stakes. Since the Whirlaway, Cellar Dweller has had three purposeful works and today stretches out to his maiden-victory distance three starts back. Anna Napravnik takes the re-ride for trainer John Campo Jr.

Haitian Sensation, coupled with Mr. Again, broke his maiden with style in a strongly run maiden win last out after switching to leading rider Ramon Dominguez, who rides him back for Seth Benzel, the young trainer profitable for his career with his route runners. Tactical speed and an inside post don’t figure to hurt his chances.

Taking Haitian Sensation to win at 5-2 or greater keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (375) 114-75-50 Total Dollar Return: $797.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 05, 2009

Taking a Leap of Faith

Like so many other geldings, Leap Day has comes into his own as a five-year-old. He always earned good performance figures but now has been doing that consistently for a long time. Trainer Mike Hushion has found a likely spot for stretching out the 5-2 early line favorite.

Leap Day clearly is the speed, and the fastest member, of this secondary allowances/optional claimer group going one mile, and Hushion has been profitable in this situation--stretching out to a route off two successive sprints.

Despite the outside post at this distance, Ramon Dominguez should have little problem clearing the field and settle into a stalking position off the other probable pacesetter, longshot Sigh You, and open an insurmountable lead when ready.

Taking Leap Day to win at 8-5 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas and trifectas with Typhoon Tycoon (10-1), Freddy The Cap (4-1) and Stopbluffing (6-1).

Running Totals: (374) 113-75-50 Total Dollar Return: $793.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Speed Kills

The feature that begins the NYRA week is really a stakes event masquerading as a “non-winners of 2 other than/optional claimer” such is the talented level of these older horses sprinting six furlongs. Finding Out how good Noble Sound (2-1) is figures to be the key to cashing.

If Equiform performance figures are the measure, then he’s pretty damn good. Both races earned excellent final figures, virtually pairing up, and he’s coming off a New Pace Top in his last in which he suffered a tough trip and injured his foot, missing some training time as a result. His rider even lost the whip.

The Albertrani barn is hot, he’s worked thrice in February after missing January, he has tactical speed, kick, and an outside draw in a small field. He’ll be a very tough out, and very well could be good enough to overcome recent issues. But I prefer to see it.

The David Jacobson entry of Southern Missile and Trophy Road is power packed (5-2). Trophy Road is clearly speed of the entry and likely this field, too, and is coming off a “soft” win, a positive pattern. He runs top figures and does so consistently. He’s had sufficient recovery time since his last and attracts the aggressive Eddie Castro.

Southern Missile is slower on figures, but just as steady, and would fit the conditions if any of his rivals seriously tests his stablemate early on. He’s a mid-race mover, saves ground from the rail and gets a huge rider switch to Ramon Dominguez. Good insurance policy for the preferred stablemate.

Taking surface loving Trophy Road to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Noble Sound.

Running Totals: (374) 113-75-50 Total Dollar Return: $793.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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