Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Tip Your Cap to this Sailor

Today’s feature at Belmont Park, the restricted Johns Call Stakes for three-year-old turf horses going a mile and a sixteenth on the inner course is probably meant as a confidence booster for probable favorite Sailor’s Cap. And even if that’s not what trainer Jimmy Toner had in mind, it will probably work out that way.

Time was when Sailor’s Cap was thought to be the best sophomore turf horse in the country and many still feel that way, even if he was defeated subsequently by Gio Ponte and Court Vision in the Virginia Derby, after Toner’s colt took the Colonial Turf Cup very impressively in a previous start.

Was it the soft course that moved him up? Maybe, but maybe not, too. This colt just lengthens his stride through the stretch until he reaches the line first. He should enjoy a class edge over the group on his preferred surface.

The main danger should come from either Big Truck or Slambino, or both. Big Truck was toughened on the Triple Crown trail this spring and finished strongly to just miss in a state-bred stakes, his turf debut, earning a competitive figure. Slambino, meanwhile, has tactical speed, kick, and gets class relief, dropping out of the Grade 2 Jamaica for this. The bad news is that, either way, you’re not likely to get rich.

Taking Sailor’s Cap to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in exactas and trifectas with his main rivals here.

Running Totals: (299) 90-62-36 Total Dollar Return: $602.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Mesa Girl Is One In a Million

A million-dollar carryover? Never saw one of this on this circuit before. Have fun kids!

Anyway, today’s feature is for state-bred turf fillies, 3-year-olds & up, is at seven furlongs. The secondary condition could be for horses that have tended to disappoint.

That’s why recent graduate Doree Daze, an impressive maiden breaker last time out, is likely to be the favorite and most probable winner. But at 3-1 on the early line, and probably lower at post time while moving up in class and distance, we’ll take a pass.

Indeed, we believe that the oft disappointing Mesa Girl (7-2) has found a field she can handle. She been racing competitively with open claimers and now tries New York limited allowance types. Her figures are improving and this three-year-old only figures to develop further.

There appears to be sufficient speed signed on to insure at least an honest pace and she has plenty of conditioning turning back from recent routes. Samyn on the Green is still a buy-word in turf events and Jean-Luc remains adept at timing those late rallies purposefully. We think the price will be fair.

Taking Mesa Girl to win at early odds of 7-2 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas, trifectas and Dime Supers with Doree Daze, Who Is Lady (7-2), Cats A Glitter (8-1) and mega-price shot Mercy’s Delight (50-1).

Running Totals: (298) 89-62-36 Total Dollar Return: $590.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, October 18, 2008

Throwing Deep in the Empire Classic

Today’s feature of features on New York Showcase day is the Empire Classic at nine furlongs for 3-year-olds & up and per usual has drawn a big field. And also per usual, it’s a wide open event.

It would be little surprise if the winner came from among, in post position order: R Clear Victory (4-1), Lorrcan (10-1), Tommasi (7-2), Dr. D.F.C. (8-1) and That’srightofficer (6-1). And I’ve probably left out a few others as well.

R Clear Victory has proven fastest on performance figures but will be under pressure from the rail and a mile and an eighth appears to be his absolute outer limits. But he still has an excellent chance, as does Lorrcan, a 4-year-old who keeps improving and likes the surface, the streaking Tommasi for the rejuvenated James Bond shed, and That’srightofficer, who placed very gamely in open company after suffering a wide-throughout trip in last.

But we’re going for the gusto with Dr. D.F.C., who caught our eye with an explosive mid-race move to win at Saratoga despite being virtually eliminated by a very poor start. He has continued to hold his form for these low profile yet able connections. He’s a late-rally type who prefers racing on the outside and would therefore be suited by his wide draw. There appears to be a contested pace in the offing and his figures indicate there could be a forward move forthcoming. Actually, he need only repeat either of his last two efforts to upset this hard-hitting group.

Taking Dr. D.F.C. to win at early line odds of 8-1 or greater, and keying him in all money positions with his rivals listed here in exactas and trifectas.

Running Totals: (296) 88-62-36 Total Dollar Return: $585.00 (win selections only)

Written by John Pricci


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