Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Sunday, January 25, 2015


Easy As 123BET


HRI has entered into a promotional relationship with 123.gaming.com in which each Sunday we analyze the six races that comprise their unique Pick 6 contest wager.

The current featured track is Parx Racing. The following is a profile of races 5 through 10.


The bet is different from the traditional Pick 6 in that a player gets points for first, second, and third-place finishes (based on pari-mutuel payoffs) by his or her selections in each of the six races.

For example, if a player’s horse finished second, paying $4.00 to place and $3.00 to show, the player would receive 7 points toward his or her total. The player with the highest number of points accumulated during the sequence is declared the winner, collecting 60% of the net pool. The second and third highest-scoring players also get a share — 30% for second and 10% for third.

Sign up to play the wager at 123bet.com, make your selections, and follow the live national leaderboards after each race! And if you complete the Top 10, you get your $2 back.

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123BET Pick 6 PARX RACING JANUARY 25, 2015

FIFTH: 4-NILE SEEKER (5-1) drops to career low level in first start for Nations, 33% efficient with his newcomers and 35% with maiden claimers and should benefit from recent freshening. 1-DANNY OCEAN (5-2) was entered vs. tougher in last Sunday’s cancelled program and still returns properly spotted for Reid in first run since haltered. 7-Paddington Express (15-1) ships north from Florida going turf to dirt and meets weaker; was willing third in lone dirt try.

SIXTH: 9-ROXBURY AND OVERTON (7-2) has done little wrong and enters this off New Pace Top; set for best go now. 7-MAXWELL’S SILVERHAMMER (6-1) never has taken a backward step on the Energy Ratings scale; could prove key to this. 11-We Miss Anthony (20-1) entered this off New Pace Top going longer and hybrid distance might suit perfectly; wakeup prospects.

SEVENTH: 3-DISCREETLY PLACED (5-1) placed gamely behind buzz-saw winner last out, earning improved Energy Rating, now stretches around two turns with suitable pedigree; very good value at early line odds. 1-EL POSOLE (5-2) earned excellent Performance ratings in both lifetime starts and draws the pole for two-turn debut; Preciado profitable first time going long and attracts live apprentice Ritvo.

EIGHTH: 1-KISS ME FOREVER (5-2) made mid-race move and held very well now turns back to more suitable sprint distance. 11-My Blue Ribbon (7-2) earned competitive Energy Ratings in both recent starts; serious rival. 2-Amblin Easy (12-1) enters this off New Pace Top. 5-Miticketcecilia (20-1) worked fast for this and 3-for-5 on this surface.

NINTH: 7-FAT KAT (9-2) enters this off delayed Pace Top going turf to dirt for barn effective in that scenario; lifetime best Energy Rating at this trip three back. 4-Shoplift (4-1) seldom fails to fire and is suited by speed race shape. 3-Pixie Dust (3-1) earned excellent figure score this trip and attracts Ritvo. 2-Burn Control (5-2) drops into allowances off Laurel Stakes and reunites with Carmouche.

TENTH: 2-TYJAR (9-2) woke up with explosive performance in last, showing improvement after changing connections in late 2014; barn has excellent record with repeaters and is placed properly with N3L rivals. 7-Delayed Engagement (10-1) never has run this cheaply and earned life-best Energy Rating at this trip four back. 12-City’s Fast Lane (5-2) drops two classes and shift to outside slip could help. 5-D J Manlove (7-2) earned competitive figure last out but turns back with slightly quicker set.

SUGGESTED 123 P6 PLAY: 1.4 with 7.9 with 1.3 with 1 with 7 with 2---$16

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BEST UPSET POTENTIAL:

Race 5: Paddington Express (15-1)
Race 6: We Miss Anthony (20-1)
Race 8: Miticketcecilia (20-1)
Race 10: Delayed Engagement (10-1)


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Running Totals Upset Plays Dec. 28, 2014-Jan. 11, 2015: (9) 2-1-0

Win Bets: $18 Return on Investment: $44.80

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For purposes of the FRA for today, taking Fat Kat (9-2) is the eighth race to win at 3-1 or greater.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1680

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 503-326

Amount Wagered: $3,360 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,473.20

Profit to Date: $113.20


Written by John Pricci

Comments (6)


 
 

Saturday, January 24, 2015


Bluegrass Singer to Rock n Roll in Holy Bull


As stated in Thursday's advance, today's G2 Holy Bull is a battle of current form vs. proven classy juvenile promise, in that instance early line favorite Upstart (9-5) and second favorite Frosted (5-2).

Upstart had a brilliant workout Sunday at Palm Meadows and will be fit enough for his season's debut but trainer Rick Violette intimated he's been on a bit of a catch-up schedule with the very talented New York bred. Down the road, we believe he will prove the best 3YO in today's group.

Frosted is very well bred and highly regarded and his Remsen placing was first rate considering his lack of experience and the difficult dynamics he faced on the day.

When Kiaran McLaughlin has Derby aspirations, his sophomores come out firing, then they sit out the Fountain of Youth and await the Florida Derby; he's a two prep kind of guy and his horses are running well this meet.

However, for these talented colts to spot the faster Bluegrass Singer (4-1) recent conditioning, three wins over the surface, a good draw, and Javier Castellano, seems a bit much, especially on the early line. The Marcus Vitali colt is coming back on relatively short rest but at what promises to be at least third choice on the tote, he appears to be the best way to go.

Taking Bluegrass Singer to win at 3-1 or greater, key boxing exactas with the two favorites, and using price shots Frammarco (12-1) and Decision Day (30-1) in the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1679

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 503-326

Amount Wagered: $3,358 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,473.20

Profit to Date: $115.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (3)


 
 

Friday, January 23, 2015


Quiet Kittens Hit Hard…


...Or at least this one does. Even before she was claimed into the very productive Delgado barn, Quiet Kitten was earning consistently high Energy Ratings and, projecting a similar effort here, she should repeat at the level in which she won her last race.

Considering that Delgado is a worthy and profitable 36% efficient with attempting repeaters and does very well with all his turf runners, too, it's difficult to foresee her getting beaten with Paco taking a return call. Making the mini-turn-back to 7-1/2 furlongs should only enhance her strong late kick.

Taking Quiet Kitten to win, no price restrictions, an exacta box with recent 'Kitten' runnerup, La Inesparda, and we'll use class dropping Born to Fly and Summer Valentine, sitting on a bounce-rebound pattern and picking up Gabriel Saez, quietly having a productive meet.


Number of Selections since 2007: 1678

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-326

Amount Wagered: $3,356 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $112.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

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