Thursday, January 05, 2017
Don’t Go to Sleep on This One
Today's Tampa feature is contentious on paper with lots of live horses in the one mile N2X turf event.
The one that figures to improve most is Armoire (2-1), coming back in three weeks for his start off a lengthy break. The mini-turnback to one mile should be the difference making for the Delacour-trained 4YO.
Taking Armoire to win, no price restrictions, key-boxing exactas with Reserved (12-1) and Conscription (4-1).
Number of Selections since 2007: 2210
Number of Win and Place Finishes: 669-435
Amount Wagered: $4,420.00 [$2 to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,505.30
Exacta Finishes All Win Selections since 2007: .499%
Profit to Date: $85.30
Below is an analytical look of the top four post-position runners in Saturday's eighth race Late Pick 4 from Gulfstream Park Late Pick 4.
More information and a complete report is available at http://www.johnpricci.com
1 – STAR MAVEN (15-1) Pricci Energy Rating: First-time Starter
Newcomer is bred for turf both sides but barn not known for wining-debut types on turf. Dam’s four winners from seven starters all won on grass.
2 – ***TAPERGE (8-1) PER: 54
Trailed throughout debut buried deep inside after breaking from pole position. Of dam’s five winners, two won on grass, also foaled one stakes winner. Chad Brown 27% efficient with this spacing and profitable 25% adding blinkers. Javier re-rides.
3 – ****BOGULATOR (2-1) PER: 73
Has run very well finishing second in all four lifetime starts under disparate conditions—impressive for a young horse. Of dam’s seven winners, five won on turf. Looks versatile so switch to Paco from inside helps cause significantly.
4 – **ELUDE (20-1) PER: FTS
Should benefit from one-paced sprint debut after showing greenness at gate and breaking from the pole. Albertrani, live this meet, is profitable with this spacing and turf-debut types. First Lasix and switches to low profile rider who finished on the board in lone try for barn. Dam’s had two winners from four starters, both won on turf.