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Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, March 13, 2014

You Need Luck to Be Successful

In today's feature preliminary allowances/optional claimer, Awesome Vow (5-2) has a lot going for her. She exits a key race, likes the trip, worked 2nd best of 30 peers during the week and Jorge Navarro will tighten the girth.

But we're interested in Successful Luck (6-1) who demonstrated excellent energy distribution to win her debut, racing mid-pack off moderate fractions but exploding home for the win after being angled wide by Joe Rocco, who takes the return call.

Obviously, the delayed 4YO raises concerns but she obviously loves the Hallandale surface and has enough bottom-side pedigree for the added distance. The price should be fair, too.

Taking Successful Luck to win at 4-1 or greater and key-boxing in exactas with Awesome Vow and Malibu Mudslide, pole sitting with Rosario and going first time off Marty Wolfson's claim (28%).

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1490

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 456-284-228

Amount Wagered: $2,982 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,121.80

Profit to Date: $139.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (6)


Wednesday, March 12, 2014

On My Honor

Today's Gulfstream Park feature, a restricted allowances, marks the return of Honor Code (3-5), a major Kentucky Derby contender. But before you're ready to concede a free square to the uber talented colt, this colt is no layover on figures. Additionally, it's a jumping off point after some interrupted training because of bruised heels, not serious but very untimely.

This race is to get him to either the Florida Derby or Wood Memorial (highly likely the latter) with something to build on because with only two late preps, he's going to need to be close to his A race if he wants to earn graded Derby points next out.

Everyone knows what he's capable of and, while the Remsen pace was a not-so-funny joke, at least it showed a new dimension. Even fresh, there's no way he'll be on the lead today.

That honor--pardon the expression--will go to Social Inclusion (3-1), who ran to his extraordinary workouts to win his debut race by 7-1/2 lengths in 1:09 1/5. He certainly has enough pedigree to get him 1-1/16 miles and will add Lasix for his two turn debut with pole position. He will take catching and beating.

Class tells (see Palace Malice's GP Handicap) and we believe Honor Code will run him down. But he doesn't necessarily have to win to remain a major Derby player. He only needs to be going in the right direction at the finish.

For the record, taking Honor Code to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Social Inclusion.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1489

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 456-283-228

Amount Wagered: $2,980 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,121.80

Profit to Date: $141.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


Sunday, March 09, 2014

Whomping and Stomping

An excellent feature for three year old fillies, the Any Limit overnight stakes going 7 furlongs with half the field having a more than legitimate shot for the top prize. We're only interested in value in this spot.

Favorite Sweet Whiskey (9-5) won the Grade 3 Old Hat last out. Thank You Marylou was third in the G2 Adirondack last year and Naïve Enough (4-1) was beaten a little more than 3 lengths in her juvenile finale, the G2 Golden Rod at Churchill.

But it's recent maiden breaker Whomping Willow (5-1) that interests us most. From her outside post, Corey Lanerie has plenty of options and a filly was very ratable speed. We believe he can have his filly dictate tempo then step away when the serious running starts entering headstretch. We won't be taking a short price, however.

Taking Whomping Willow to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing her in multiples with her three rivals here.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1488

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 456-282-228

Amount Wagered: $2,978 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,121.80

Profit to Date: $143.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (7)


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