Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Thursday, May 11, 2017


20-20 Vision


The way we see it, Vision Perfect (4-1) may be as happy to leave SoFla as we were to get back. Better, she returns to Belmont, the scene of three of her four lifetime wins.

Better still, she's back in her favorite shedrow and gets a switch to Johnny, who should know where to place this turn-back. There appears to be enough pace on paper to play to her late-run style when sprinting.

Taking Vision Perfect to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing exactas with Big Rock (2-1) and Loose On The Town (8-5).

Number of Selections since 2007: 2291

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 692-451

Amount Wagered: $4,582 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,713.30

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .498%

Profit to Date:
$131.30

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Saturday, May 06, 2017


Derby Day: All Hail South Florida!


By now, this field needs no introduction...

Selections for Kentucky Derby 143:

1-Gunnevera
2-McCraken
3-Irish War Cry
4-Practical Joke


Taking Gunnevera to win at 9-1 or greater and key-boxing multiples with McCraken, Irish War Cry and Practical Joke.

******

Number of Selections since 2007: 2290

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 692-451

Amount Wagered: $4,580 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,713.30

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .498%

Profit to Date:
$133.30

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Friday, May 05, 2017


Tasman Willing and Abel


There certainly is no shortage of talent or speed in today’s renewal of the storied Oaks. With the weather forecasts being dubious, we will heed the strong leans that a wet track is possible. And the top contenders are either proven over it or bred for it.

If this were an ordinary filly race on Thursday, screams of “bounce” would be heard from Maine to Spain, and not without justification.

Yes, we are talking three-year-olds in the spring, when anything could and often does happen. However, we’re also talking young fillies who, with me, are more reliable than males on form, but not necessarily when the shipping factor is considered.

Resultantly, we’re against the favorite, the extremely gifted Paradise Woods (5-2) and also the remarkably fast win machine, Miss Sky Warrior (9-2). Given those two, we prefer the latter.

But given the speedy dynamics, her style, suitable pedigree for both nine furlongs and wet, and class, Abel Tasman (5-1), making her second start for Bob Baffert, Mike Smith and fully cranked for this, she appeals as the most likely winner.

We believe her main rival will be Farrell (5-1), a win-machine dominatrix who is nicely posted outside the favorite for her preferred stalking style; she loves Churchill Downs, handles the wet, and still owns a forward upside.

And she just might be close to her fair morning line quote.

We’re taking Abel Tasman to win at 3-1 or greater, exacta key-boxes with Farrell and a clearly-pointed Lockdown (20-1) [double up with Farrell], and adding the aforementioned Miss Sky Warrior and underappreciated, forward-looking Vexatious (20-1) to the exotics mix.

******

Number of Selections since 2007: 2289

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 691-451

Amount Wagered: $4,578 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,692.70

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .498%

Profit to Date:
$114.70

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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