Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Thursday, February 19, 2015


Winning’s in His DNA


It appears Shug McGaughey's 4YO has this group at his mercy in today's 8th from Gulfstream (yes, a maiden race as the feature as the $48,000 purse is the largest of the day); considering he's a non-maiden vs. non-winners, courtesy of the Laurel stewards.

There is no denying how much better the Medaglia d'Oro colt performed with first-time Lasix and new blinkers. Distance is no problem, his Payson Park work-line is solid, and the outside post going a flat mile beneath Javier Castellano is just more icing on the cake.

No choice but to take Hereditary (8-5) to win, no price restrictions, key-boxing exactas with well meant stretch-out Thatcher Street (5-2) and highly-likely-to-improve second-timer Sudden Urges (20-1), and adding Crowned Heart (9-2), Have A Good Laugh (15-1) and Chivalrous (4-1) below in the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1693

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 509-328

Amount Wagered: $3,386 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,500.80

Profit to Date: $114.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

Sunday, February 15, 2015


Easy As 123BET


HRI has entered into a promotional relationship with 123.gaming.com in which each Sunday we analyze the six races that comprise their unique Pick 6 contest wager. The current featured track is Parx Racing. The following is a profile of races 4 through 9 The bet is different from the traditional Pick 6 in that a player gets points for first, second, and third-place finishes (based on pari-mutuel payoffs) by his or her selections in each of the six races.

For example, if a player’s horse finished second, paying $4.00 to place and $3.00 to show, the player would receive 7 points toward his or her total. The player with the highest number of points accumulated during the sequence is declared the winner, collecting 60% of the net pool. The second and third highest-scoring players also get a share — 30% for second and 10% for third.


And if you complete the Top 10, you get your $2 back. Sign up to play the wager at 123bet.com, make your selections, and follow the live action

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FOURTH: 2-ALEANDRIA (8-1) has competitive back figures and went well stretching to seven-eighths recently; comes up to added distance the right way. 2-SIMONE TEMPLAR (5-2) showed much improved speed when dropped to this level going 7 furlongs last out and encountered wet tracks in her only two starts going long; well posted and looms likely trip-sitter. 7-RISQUE’S VENOM (5-1) makes his first start off the Mosco claim who’s reaching out for Carmouche and is 26% efficient with his maiden claimers.
leaderboards after each race! .

FIFTH: 4-LUCKYNEVA (7-2) went very well vs. tougher off the LeBarron claim now drops back to level of claim for barn that’s 25% effective in second start with new acquisitions and gets Acosta on the re-ride. 3-DIRECTED VERDICT (5-2) needed her most recent start, her first since July, now returns to most effective level with Fragoso on a return call.

SIXTH: 1-STITCHER (9-5) is a layover on our performance figure scale and stretches out going two turns for the first time for barn that’s a profitable 34% going from sprint to route.

SEVENTH: 5-NEO’S GRAND FINALE (5-2) has shown marked improvement since being freshened after entering the McMahon barn, with ascending figures and looks poised for possible breakthrough effort; drops to winning level of claim five barn and picks up live apprentice Ritvo. 6-Image (3-1) earned lifetime best score last out in first start off the Auwarter claim; seeks fourth straight beneath Salgado for barn that’s profitable with its claimers attempting to repeat. 2-My Special Eyes (6-1) is 4-for-5 lifetime in Bensalem.

EIGHTH: 2-GRASSHOPPIN (8-1) came to hand rapidly as late-season 3YO for Serey earning excellent performance figures vs. similar last out; benefits from switch to Alvarado. 1-BOND VIGILANTE (5-2) has now had his race over this quirky surface and has had three excellent works subsequently for Chad’s northern-based division; pole sitting with Carmouche and a very worthy favorite. 7-Old Fashioned Song (5-1) was very sharp beating weaker last out for Preciado, 26% with attempting repeaters.

NINTH: 9-AH HONEY HONEY (2-1) earned layover performance figures in both recent starts, handling disparate distances and footing; taken to shake loose on the min-stretching shifting outside and switching to Fragoso; Preciado 29% effective with his beaten favorites. 2-Miss Woodburn (7-2) makes first start since being acquired privately by Zulueta, a profitable 26% effective with new acquisitions. 1-Merger (15-1), on a bounce-rebound pattern, looks live switching to Ritvo
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Suggested 123 Pick 6 Play: 2.3.7 with 3.4 with 1 with 5 with 2.7 with 9---$24

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Projected Upset Plays

Race 4: Aleandria (8-1)
Race 7: My Special Eyes (6-1)
Race 8: Grasshoppin (8-1)
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Running Totals for Upset Plays:

Dec. 28, 2014-Feb. 8, 2015: (12) 3-2-0
$2 Win Bets Only: $24
Return on Investment: $53.60

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The featured race at Parx is today's eighth. For FRA bankroll purposes, taking Grasshoppin (8-1) to win at 5-1 or greater and key-boxing exactas with Bond Vigilante (5-2) and Old Fashioned Song (5-1)

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Number of Selections since 2008: 1693

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 509-328

Amount Wagered: $3,386 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,500.80

Profit to Date: $114.80

Written by John Pricci

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Saturday, February 14, 2015


Making Merry in Hurricane Bertie


The Grade 3 Hurricane Bertie, frankly, is not a very interesting betting proposition, and that altogether has to do with only seven entrants signed on, including Merry Meadow (7-5) who appears to be too much filly for her rivals.

She owns excellent Energy Figures, won her only start at the hybrid 6-1/2 furlong distance, earning a career best figure, and has two wins and placings from seven GP starts.

Additionally, she fits the speedy race shape perfectly as a tactical filly with good late kick and gets the meet's leader, Javier Castellano, on a return call.

Taking Merry Meadow to win, no price restrictions, an exacta box with the very speedy More Than a Party (5-2) and adding turn-back Centrique (6-1) and turf-to-dirt speedster Galiana (15-1) to the super-exotics mix.


Number of Selections since 2008: 1692

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 508-328

Amount Wagered: $3,386 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,498.80

Profit to Date: $112.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


 
 

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