Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Sunday, October 08, 2017


Thank Goodness for Separationofpowers


Two fillies out of the Grade 1 Spinaway return to face each other again in the G1 Frizette. This pair were the second and third finishers on that afternoon and we think we'll see a reverse of that result.

Breaking from the Spa rail, Separationofpowers (9-5) was forced to quarter-horse away from there, handled the pressure well, but understandably tired late, drifting from those exertions.

Moving outside toward the middle of the pack today should make all the difference and get the better of Maya Malibu (4-1) at today's added distance

Taking Separationofpowers to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with 'Maya'.

*****

Number of Selections since 2007: 2378

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 706-476

Amount Wagered: $4,756 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,809.60

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $53.60

Written by John Pricci

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Saturday, October 07, 2017


Strolling Down the Aveenu


Lots of features on the JCGC card, but we're going for a little gusto in the highly competitive and wide open Grade 1 Champagne Stakes. In fact, here's a look at all the contenders we considered that went to our subscribers, as it appeared in this week's edition of Tote Buster's Late Pick 4 at http://www.JohnPricci.com:


RACE 8: Grade 1 CHAMPAGNE 2YO 1 MILE


1 – ***KOWBOY KARMA (12-1) Pricci Energy Rating: 84
Three races worth of experience, is 2-for-2 at one-turn trips, albeit sprinting, but certainly owns enough bottom side to get a mile. Typical bullet from Jones (best of 15 peers week of 10/2) 28% efficient with his shippers; regular partner Cintron ships along. Second in key race (2/3) at this trip last out, albeit rounding two turns at Monmouth.

6 – ***GOOD MAGIC (7-2) PER: 86
Bet off the board in debut at 3-4 and placed gamely at 6-1/2 furlong trip behind Hazit, a strong contender here. Returned to work bullets for Brown, not his usual M.O., and aggressively spotted with confidence. Million-dollar Curlin colt can improve quickly and prove best but still a tough test despite big forward move in second start.

7 - ***BAHAMIAN (5-1) PER: 85
A maiden but with two-race experience, showing improvement after removing blinkers. Callaghan having career year (profitable at 25%), excels with stretchouts (24% profitable), comes up to added distance nicely with good bottom-side pedigree and has excelled with 2YOs. Work 5th fastest of 121 peers week of 10/1; no Bolt d’Oro here.

8 – ****AVEENU MALCAINU (6-1) PER: 87
NY-bred 2-for-2 lifetime at Spa and comes up to added distance nicely off state-bred Funny Cide score, Jeremiah also having a career year (26%), similar stat with repeaters, Saez re-rides and loan sib also a winner. Good spacing and worked recent bullet over surface. Exits key race (2 next out winners), work fastest of 91 peers week of 09/30.

9 – ***HONORABLE TREASURE (6-1) PER: 91
Won second lifetime start, a 7-furlong off-turfer, in a big way after adding first-Lasix. McPeek handling this one with confidence and careful spacing into this and Davis profitable rider for this outfit. Sharp blowout 4 of 21 peers week of 09/30. Has distance experience, albeit at two turn on turf. Could fall between parimutuel cracks; intriguing.

11 - ***HAZIT (4-1) PER: 86
Beat well regarded Good Magic in 6-1/2F Spa debut, showing class while holding off that rival gamely in deep stretch after breaking from pole. Well connected War Front colt was $430K yearling, benefits from shift outside and may have bright future for Pletcher barn that’s 28% profitable first-time going long. Johnny takes the re-ride.

12 – ***FIRENZE FIRE (10-1) PER: 86
Another benefitting from 3-race experience, rallied wide entering Hopeful straight after taking Sanford I prior. Jason Servis yet another having career season, 29% profitable, and is 7-for-21 according to latest BRIS info stretching out after two sprints. Also shifts outside for first time and excellent value at early line odds. ML value.

There's only one ****star choice as stated above. Taking AVEENU MALCAINU to win and place at 4-1 or greater.

*****

Number of Selections since 2007: 2377

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 706-476

Amount Wagered: $4,754 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,809.60

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $55.60

Written by John Pricci

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Friday, October 06, 2017


Hoping Slow Pace Makes this Race for Shug Trainee


Given the lack of clearly defined pace in today's one mile turf feature at Belmont, an NW3 allowances, we will gamble with Johnny V. to win the rider's race battle with Aazelia (7-2) in an upset.

The ship-in Tricky Escape (8-5) is a worthy favorite off her recent stakes effort at Kentucky Downs after winner her G3 prior. She holds a wide edge on both the Thoro-Graph and Pricci Energy scales. But turning back into a paceless mile doesn't help her chances.

Azaelia showed improved speed in a pace-hungry return and her freshness still serves her well here. She's not as fast as her rivals on figures but figures to have an edge considering pace dynamics, her post and rider. Two recent sharp breezes will have her on her toes.

Taking Azaelia to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with the fave and the LAY-2 returnee Princess Gibraltar (6-1) who should benefit from her troubled U.S. debut.

*****

Number of Selections since 2007: 2376

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 706-475

Amount Wagered: $4,752 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,809.60

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $57.60 Thursday results not included}

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

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