Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Wednesday, December 06, 2017


Recent Claim Has Plenty of Swagger


Today's Gulfstream feature at is an optional allowances on the turf at 9 furlongs, and it matters little whether the dynamics play out as they do or paper. Either way, Swagger Jagger (6-1) has the tractability to react to circumstances.

Nicely drawn inside, the recent claim for a capable, low profile turf outfit has the back class to contend and he has run competitively on this course, even if his overall record may suggests otherwise.

It will be up to Emisael Jaramillo to work out the details. The price should be commensurate with the gamble.

Taking Swagger Jagger to win at 5-1 or greater and key-boxing exactas with late finishing Run Time (7-2) and course loving Charlie Mops (3-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 2407

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 714-481

Amount Wagered: $4,814 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,869.30

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $55.30


Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

Saturday, December 02, 2017


A Grade 1 Finale to the 2017 New York Season


The last Grade 1 of the New York season is the Cigar Mile, and today's renewal is one of the most competitive we can remember in its young albeit storied history.

Two of the runners exit the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile; another stretches out from the BC Sprint. Throw in a couple of up-and-comers, another very talented closing sprinter and what remains is one hell of a horse race.

Will the bullet-fast, highly consistent Dirt Mile runner-up get that elusive G1 title with new partner Javier Castellano? Sharp Azteca is the deserving 2-1 early line favorite, but seems up against the dynamics with the fast, lightly-weighted Americanize shipping in from SoCal with Rafael Bejarano.

Can Practical Joke (7-2) remain undefeated around one turn? We've loved him since he was a baby but, despite his impossible Dirt Mile trip and recent training, today's rivals might prove a little too quick for him.

Will Mind Your Biscuits (5-1), a strong-finish, too-late third in the Sprint be as effective at the longer trip? At anything near his early odds, we'll pay to find out.

With one exception this year, the chestnut 4YO never has failed to fire. In fact, we think the Sprint and today's spacing sets up nicely for this task. The pressure is on Irad to time his move perfectly.

We'll take Mind Your Biscuits to win at 7-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with his rivals above.

Number of Selections since 2007: 2406

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 714-480

Amount Wagered: $4,812 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,869.30

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $57.30


Written by John Pricci

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Friday, December 01, 2017


Two speeds = One Closer


Interesting sprint feature at the Big A as two speedsters in top form figure to go at it early; Westwood (5-2) and Mr. Buff (3-1). The former looks quicker of the two but Mr. Buff cleared this condition vs. state-bred and tries the same level in the open ranks.

However, we think they will set the table for Forest Blue (7-2) who chased the speed in last and was going best at the finish. Arroyo should sit the pocket and make the last run count.

Taking Forest Blue to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing multiples with the speed here.

******

Number of Selections since 2007: 2405

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 714-480

Amount Wagered: $4,810 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,869.30

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $59.30 {Thursday results not included}


Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

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