Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, January 16, 2015

Gambling on Fitness

Today's Gulfstream Park feature is a tough one, an extremely competitive NW3/optional for older horses going 1-1/16 miles on turf. Whoever you choose, no short price is in order.

On our Energy Ratings, course-love Mr. Online and Excaper, recently second to very talented Mshawish hold a wide edge in this limit field. However, both do their best running on or near the lead and have drawn wide posts.

Instead, we're reaching out for the back-classy Java's War (12-1) which hasn't started since the Pennsylvania Derby, the 2013 Pa Derby. The 5YO has won fresh in his career--although not a specialty--hails from a new barn that does, Roger Attfield's (17% off long layups).

This runner has a big late engine, one he used successfully to win the G1 Poly Blue Grass, but is 2-for-3 on turf--1-for-7 on anything else. He'll need some luck given the big field but Javier Castellano is an ace on this turf course and is likely to give this rallier his best chance to upset.

Taking Java's War to win at 8-1 or greater, key boxing exactas with his speedy rivals, and will go for the gusto by adding price shots Joelito, Sky Blazer and Riding the River to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1675

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,350 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $118.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


Thursday, January 15, 2015

Georgia On My Mind

Last week, trainer Marty Wolfson had five fillies entered in Gulfstream's featured event. Today, he has only two of the seven fillies entered in this secondary allowances/optional, but one of them likely is the right one for the bettors to land on.

In a close call, we prefer Georgia (6-1) in a handicapping photo over Quiet Hour (3-1). Although she hasn't won since the summer meeting here, she has been earning competitive figures on our Energy Ratings scale while competing with tougher, owns a win over the track and both lifetime scores have come at today's trip, going 0-for-4 doing anything else. Further, she enters this off a New Pace Top.

Taking Georgia to win, no price restrictions, an exacta box with Quiet Hour, and adding classy returnee Got Lucky (8-5) and turf-to-dirt Elusive Fate (8-1) to the super-exotic mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1674

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,348 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $120.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


Wednesday, January 14, 2015

No Demotions for the General

Today's GP feature, a secondary allowances/optional, features the return of General a Rod (2-1), making his first start since last year's Belmont--actually running in all three legs of the TC series.

Newly turned 4YO is training right along and Mike Maker said he'd like to consider running back in the Donn next month, so he's probably plenty fit. And he's the controlling speed from a good post and the most likely winner.

But he's no cinch on our Energy Ratings. Cozzetti (5-1) is right there, earning an identical Performance Projection of 92, and Three Alarm Fire (5-2) is right behind them at 90.

We're taking General A Rod to win at 7-5 or greater, key-boxing exactas with his rivals here, and adding Best Man (10-1) to the trifecta mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1673

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 502-325

Amount Wagered:$3,346 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,468.80

Profit to Date: $122.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (3)


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