Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Wednesday, February 11, 2015


Competitive Turf Feature Begins Gulfstream Race Week


At first blush, a handicapper could have gone many ways, from the classy early line favorite to 20-1 shots with a puncher's chance. We compromised and will reach out to Rubindy (4-1).

When last seen, the Chad Brown trained 4YO filly chased the leader from close range, moved to a short lead in midstretch but was unable to hold off strong finishing Principessa Ava. That filly came back to narrowly missed the show in highly competitive Tampa Grade 3 after being forced to alter course in deep stretch.

Rubindy now returns six weeks later off a steady workline and is taken to make amends with switch to Rosario.

Taking Rubindy to win at 5-2 or greater, an exacta box with Magic Reality (2-1), dropping out of a G3, and adding the fresh Cloture (6-1) and improving price shot Union Prayer (20-1) to the exotics mix.


Number of Selections since 2007: 1690

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 507-328

Amount Wagered: $3,380 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,491.80

Profit to Date: $111.80

Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, February 08, 2015


EASY AS 123Bet


HRI has entered into a promotional relationship with 123.gaming.com in which each Sunday we analyze the six races that comprise their unique Pick 6 contest wager. The current featured track is Parx Racing. The following is a profile of races 4 through 9 The bet is different from the traditional Pick 6 in that a player gets points for first, second, and third-place finishes (based on pari-mutuel payoffs) by his or her selections in each of the six races. For example, if a player’s horse finished second, paying $4.00 to place and $3.00 to show, the player would receive 7 points toward his or her total. The player with the highest number of points accumulated during the sequence is declared the winner, collecting 60% of the net pool. The second and third highest-scoring players also get a share — 30% for second and 10% for third.

Sign up to play the wager at 123bet.com, make your selections, and follow the live national leaderboards after each race! And if you complete the Top 10, you get your $2 back.

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PARX RACING Sunday, Feb. 8, 2015

FIFTH: 4-WHERETHERE’SFIRE (7-2) has been much improved since adding blinkers, turns back to winning distance (2-for-2), owns field’s best recent Energy Ratings, switches to Carmouche and trainer Trombetta is profitable 28% efficient with his beaten favorites. 3-Total Talent (5-2) has improved since the Preciado claim, loves the course (4) 3-0-0 and distance (6) 4-1-0 and attracts Ritvo.

SIXTH: 10-GOOD CHEMISTRY (10-1) is a Horse for Course (21) 6-3-3 (2 for 13 all others) and Distance (4) 2-0-1 and takes appropriate class rise for live outfit following open lengths score and very sharp work. 3-KEEPMEINSTITCHES (9-2) showed improvement while dropping in with limited winners last out and was claimed into LeBarron barn, profitable with his routers. 7-RING IT UP (8-1) comes off top figure win and was claimed into winning barn, profitable with new acquisitions.

SEVENTH: 1-OLTRE ORO (5-2) is a late developing 4YO gelding with ascending Energy Ratings which never has taken a backward step sprinting and ships in from NY for Linda Rice. 5-RAPID ROUGE (7-2) comes off brief freshening following two top figure efforts and Carmouche, who’s won two straight aboard speedy 4YO, takes the return call. 7-Late Nite Lu (12-1) drops significantly, returns with excellent spacing switching to Rosado.

EIGHTH: 5-MAKER’S MIKA (4-1) earned excellent Energy Rating on dry footing at 3 now makes 4YO with added maturity for Lynch, very effective with absentees; surface condition is the key here. 8-KISS ME FOREVER (2-1) earned field’s top figure breaking maiden three back and gained conditioning chasing the pace while going long last out; first time in 2L condition. 6-Privately Speaking (6-1) was willing third vs. N1X types at Laurel last out now ships in for Rice (21% shippers) and adept with quick turnarounds.

NINTH: 4-ZUMA MOON (5-2) is 3-for-4 with one second in four starts vs. Pa.-breds since claimed by Violette with ascending figures; barn profitable with allowance types, 23% efficient with repeaters.

TENTH: 2-SLOW HEART BREAK (10-1) stretches out to most effective distance with rider change and adds blinkers, a worthy 4-for-8 in that scenario; excellent value at early line odds. 10-Ay Up Papi (7-2) repeats successful LAY-2 pattern while also stretching out to optimal distance. 3-Quiet Miracle (9-2) stalked the pace returning from freshening last out and finished evenly as if needing the run; improvement expected.

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Suggested 123 Pick 6 Play: 4 with 3.7.10 with 1.5 with 5.8 with 4 with 2---$24

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Projected Upset Plays

Race 6: 10-Good Chemistry (12-1)
Race 7: 7-Late Night Lu (12-1)
Race 10: 2-Slow Heart Break (10-1)
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Running Totals for Upset Plays:

Dec. 28, 2014-Jan. 25, 2015: (9) 2-1-0

Win Bets Only: $18 --- Return on Investment: $44.80

For the daily HRI Feature Race Analysis, we're going on record with Zuma Moon to win, no price restrictions

Number of Selections since 2007: 1687

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 506-327

Amount Wagered: $3,374 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,487.80

Profit to Date: $113.80 {Saturday results not included}

Written by John Pricci

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Saturday, February 07, 2015


Projecting Lea and Shared Belief to Lead the Way


For a brief analysis of today's two big events, the Donn Handicap from Gulfstream Park and the San Antonio Invitational from Santa Anita, see Pricci's Morning Line on the lead page.

Today's running totals will be based on the results from both races in which we're taking Lea and Shard Belief to win with no price restrictions.

In the Donn, we will box an exacta with Commissioner and add Protonico to the super-exotics mix.

In the San Antonio, taking Shard Belief and California Chrome to top the super-exotics, adding price shot Alfa Bird and Hoppertunity to fill out the remaining positions.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1687

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 506-327

Amount Wagered: $3,374 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,487.80

Profit to Date: $113.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

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