So, how are we going to get value in today’s feature from Tampa Bay Downs even though we’re taking the fastest horse for the distance and on this surface?

Because it’s not trained by Jamie Ness, which probably means it has no chance, either.

But Brinca (3-1) is the one, with four exacta finishes (2 wins) at the distance and a winner of half her six lifetime starts on this ground.

Unfortunately, High Cry (7-2) is 4-for-6 in NoFla, and Ness is batting an ungodly 46% at the meet—with 98 starters!

The other danger, of course, is Tweedy (5-2), making her U.S. and season’s debut for Christophe Clement. And she’s only been in training for this from early December!

Taking Brinca to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing her in multiples with her two rivals here.

Running Totals: (1029) 318-203-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,193.00 [win selections only]