Although you’ve got to time her move correctly, like most one-run horses, I’m partial to Pumpkin Shell (2-1). It’s not that she’s two for two on this surface, but it’s clear she’s developing rapidly and has gotten much better since the distance have lengthened. She’s worked four times since winning the Busanda last out and stretches back out to the distance of her maiden score--both wins beneath C. C. Lopez.
Subprime (7-2) rates an edge over the undefeated What A Pear, who defeated her in the Wistful when she had a conditioning edge. Now Subprime comes back second off the layup for Jimmy Jerkens, 26 percent with the angle and staying ahead of the takeout as well. She’s improved since adding Lasix and Richard Migliore takes the re-ride from a cozy inside post.
But we’ll take the much improved Pumpkin Shell, who we believe will fall between the wagering cracks, at 5-2 or greater, an exacta box with Subprime, adding What A Pear to the trifecta mix.
Running Totals: (368) 113-73-49 Total Dollar Return: $793.80 [win selections only]