Considering, too, it’s been toughened in stakes, broke his maiden on turf in Europe, was last seen in a race that produced four next-out winners, and is being handled by underrated stable rider Jeffrey Sanchez, he’s going to be a tough out.
As is Faretti (4-1), a good-figure first-out maiden winner under identical conditions here five weeks ago. The turf speedster goes for Team Clement/Castellano.
But it’s Blings Express (8-1) that’s intriguing. We generally don’t take first-time turfers against proven surface winners with good Equiform figures. The gray colt earned both those lifetime wins at today’s trip, the wins coming over Tapeta at Presque Isle Downs.
We look for that form to translate to turf for a barn that’s profitable with first-time grass runners and is a worthy 19% efficient in third start off-the-layoff scenarios.
Castellano switches to Clement’s horse which should add to the price potential, but it does get Paco and an inside post. He ran as fast on the Equiform scale at 2 than his competition has at 3.
Taking Blings Express to win at 6-1 or greater and key boxing him first and second with his two rivals here.
Running Totals: (1037) 321-203-149 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]
07 Mar 2012 at 05:43 am | #
I like this gamble, John. Hope to build up some dough - my advance pick this week is Big Fisherman in the 9th at GP Friday. (Previous selection Fastest Magician raced well, but Soldat was too much.)
07 Mar 2012 at 07:54 am | #
2-Blings Express and 1-Dangerous Trick ran against each other in their last race in the slop, and 1-Dangerous Trick was 4 wide, and was not beaten badly by 2-Blings Express. Obviously, there are other things to consider. Believe that the outcome may be reversed today, at least that is what my calculations say. The other one that intrigues me is 4-Play Eighteen, which has me reaching for my putter, late gain in last could be a portent of good things to come today, or real soon, or, could be nothing. What a game, heh? Weather report says windy with 40% chance of rain, so may come off the grass. So look for a “winder” if you can find one. I have to strongly favor 1-Dangerous Trick in here, on or off the turf, turning the tables on 2-Blings Express. Trick may be a real treat today.
1-Dangerous Trick (5.90)
2-Blings Express (8.12)
4-Play Eighteen (10.43)
TTT
07 Mar 2012 at 10:46 am | #
HH, advance selections? Trying to put me out of business?
TTT, I hear you, but it’s the Tapeta wins that move me--and at today’s distance.
07 Mar 2012 at 11:07 am | #
Don’t worry JOhn, you are in a class of your own. A stakes horse while TTT and I are hih priced claimers!
07 Mar 2012 at 11:44 am | #
HH, thanks for the compliment (I think)!
07 Mar 2012 at 02:33 pm | #
If you haven’t noticed, gents, this game keeps you humble.
07 Mar 2012 at 06:07 pm | #
JP, baby, or babe, as Dickie D. would say, it takes a bold, not a humble man to post his selections for the feature race day after day, and register a profit, especially when, as we all know, those races you post might not be the most advantageous betting races on the days menu. There are no “wrong” selections for guys like you, only factors that reared their ugly heads that were impossible to calculate. Thoroughly enjoy your picks, and your reasoning, in a sea of pretenders out there. Hot Horse ain’t bad either.
TTT
08 Mar 2012 at 08:07 am | #
Hey JP, ya sleepin in? Big Herman jogs in the third, but short price.