If you didn’t look at the conditions for today’s race and just checked the performance figures, you would think it was an overnight stakes. However, it’s “only” a preliminary allowances, but one full of fast horses. We’ll concentrate on two: Southern Prince (2-1), the speed of the speed types, and Good Card (6-1), who tops the Pat Kelly stable entry.

Our first inclination was to throw up our hands and say, enough already, I’m taking the early line favorite. But not because he’s, by definition, the fast horse, but because he recently was claimed by Gary Contessa. This outfit is making a joke out of this meet, just winning everything in sight, and has been particularly effective first time off the claim. But he just might be a bit better at 5-˝ furlongs, is coming back fairly quickly, and figures to be pressured on the pace.

But clearly the value is Good Card, a stretch running sprinter that fits today’s race shape and pace scenario very well, and any remaining moisture in the track is a plus. The winter track has been a little holding the past few days, and hopefully that will be the case again here, cutting the legs out from under the speed horses. Good Card has been chasing New-York bred stakes types. Even though this is an open-class group, he’s still getting some class relief here.

Taking Good Card to win at 5-1 or greater and an exacta box with Southern Prince.

Running Totals: (188) 64-41-21. Total Dollar Return: $401.80 [win selections only]