It offers an interesting blend of returnees making seasonal debuts and horses making their second and third starts off layoffs from top outfits. It figures to be a good and open betting race.
We’re keeping it simple, taking one of the returnees that figure to be primed for this. Otherwise, why would David Donk bring back Pays To Dream (5-1) on a course over which he’s 2-for-2 on the last day of the meet? Another rival is 0-for-2 on the Aqueduct green; none of the others have experience on it.
Pays To Dream has a strong late kick and returns in a spot with sufficient pace for his needs. Trainer Donk is winning at a near 24 percent rate over the past three months and a profitable 22 percent with horses returning from layups of 90 days or more. The newly turned 4-year-old gelding has maturity upside and developed with seasoning throughout his 3-year-old campaign.
Taking Pays To Dream to win and place at early line odds of 5-1 or better.
Running Totals: (200) 65-43-22. Total Dollar Return: $405.60 [win selections only]