Well, it’s another graded mile and a half turf race for older horses at Keeneland, this one for males.
Yesterday, we might have been on to something with 6-1 chance Senada but believe Javier Castellano might have made a premature love to the lead.
Well, there may be some value available with Simmard (3-1) in today’s G2 Elkhorn at 12 furlongs.
You want need a road map to find the correct favorite in Newsdad (9-5) who beat Simmard under similar conditions at Gulfstream Park. He’s improving with every start and at 4 is just now developing.
But this is Keeneland, where Simmard has done some of his best racing and figure earning; Castellano gets a chance to make amends and of greatest significance, a 6-pound weight switch with the favorite making his course debut.
Taking Simmard to win at 3-1 or greater, an exacta box with Newsday, and adding uncoupled mate Musketier (4-1) to the mix.
Running Totals: (1068) 328-210-159 Total Dollar Return: $2,259.20 [win selections only]
27 Apr 2012 at 07:00 am | #
Strange things happen at a mile and a half; it’s called the “12-furlong triangle.” Once witnessed an entire field swallowed up by this time vortex, and showed up 7 days later at Dutrow’s barn.
Having put in that disclaimer, must say that the numbers are so close here, I’ll be flipping a coin.
5-Simmard (6.08)
4-Newsdad (6.27)
1-Musketier (6.37)
By the by, was that a Freudian slip, “Newsday”? If not, I’m available for minimum wage as a proofreader. I’ve always been a “form over substance” kind of guy in this shallow little world.
TTT
27 Apr 2012 at 07:09 am | #
I always read the stuff over before hitting send and I still didn’t see it. Fraudian, indeed.
And, yes, it’s a tough race, but loved your “vision” at the top.
27 Apr 2012 at 02:49 pm | #
Lost on Barclay yesterday and what happens today? Bombs away in the 4th :(