But with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms Friday night and 80 percent Saturday, the turf will likely be yielding at best if, indeed, the race is not rescheduled if the course takes a lot of water. We’ll analyze this for off ground.
Life Is Sweet is a tough read. While she acts on off going, she appears better on firm turf. Her big edge is that her career best figure was earned while breaking her maiden in her only start on this course. Her strong late kick might not serve her well on off footing.
Alwajeeha is the co-fastest filly in here given her G3 Keeneland victory and she has sufficient recovery time since that effort. But she, too, would seem to prefer it firm. Johnny Velazquez takes the re-ride for Kiaran McLaughlin, currently on a big-race roll.
I Lost My Choo had a tougher trip when narrowly beaten by Alwajeeha, is the other co-fastest filly and she’s done it on more than one occasion. She handles any ground and might be suited by the presence of likely pacesetter Raw Silk, whereby Edgar Prado could fall into a good trip despite her outside draw. Further, she might fall between the parimutuel cracks given the higher profile competition.
Ambidaxtrous, meanwhile, is an interesting price shot at 12-1. She won both recent turf starts with authority, albeit over weaker rivals and in slower time. But both wins came over soft ground and her latest indicated she’s developing quickly with a strong late run off a slower early pace. Tom Bush is batting 29 percent at the meet and Rajiv Maragh was aboard for both recent wins.
Depending on post time odds, I’d seriously consider betting two horses to win: at early line odds: I Lost My Choo at early odds of 3-1 or more and Ambidaxtrous at 12-1 or greater, and a small exacta box. (If race is re-scheduled to dirt, prefer main-track-only entrant Forest Trail).
Running Totals: (214) 69-46-24 Total Dollar Return: $427.30 [win selections only]