We left five horses open possibilities, including the three likely favorites: Treasure Beach (9-5) is multiple Group 1 winner for O’Brien, including 2011 Secretariat, is co-fastest on energy figures and stalking style suits race shape. Point Of Entry (5-2), co-fastest, benefits from good spacing, owns sharp blowout around dogs; Shug is profitable 21% efficient in graded stakes and still developing 4-year-old hails from key G2 Elkhorn (3/5).
Hudson Steele (5-1) keeps improving for Pletcher, he held very well pacesetting in G1 Manhattan. switches to Bravo and may get preferable target in this matchup.
But for the record, we're taking Treasure Beach, no price restrictions, key boxing first and second with his main rivals here, and adding price shot Center Divider (10-1), training on schedule for Chad Brown, owns tactical speed and inside position and Newsdad (4-1), also out of Keeneland’s key Elkhorn, to the exotics mix.
Running Totals: (1115) 342-218-167 Total Dollar Return: $2,353.20 [win selections only]
14 Jul 2012 at 09:39 am | #
#7 HUDSON STEELE 22.3 Best bet
#4 Newsdad 23.0 hot alvarado jr
#5 Treasure Beach high % trainer
#8 PHILLY ACE 23.0
14 Jul 2012 at 02:06 pm | #
A blind man and his horse, from 42nd Street, could see that 5-Treasure Beach is the one. Gets one of the lowest numbers this driveler has calculated in quite a while. Nine to Five would be manna from heaven. Go get the money and tell ‘em Ted and John sent you. Be back in September.
5-Treasure Beach (1.74)
7-Hudson Steele (9.98)
4-Newsdad (10.88)
TTT
14 Jul 2012 at 02:18 pm | #
Just for the record, and for fun, Equiform has Treasure Beach with a 76 1/4 as a 3YO--best recent distance figure in the race. The interesting thing about Hudson Steele’s 76- last time is that his numbers keep marching forward. If he gets off at early line odds of 5-1, that would be a fair price.
Don’t you just love this game?
14 Jul 2012 at 05:57 pm | #
Hope JRP’s seconditits continues as I think Point of Entry is “entering” his prime, which stems from supeb breeding.
I guess you are all betting Morrow Cove in the Del Oaks, but Grace Hall looks tough. At Arlington my pick of the day is Sky Blazer for Barclay.
14 Jul 2012 at 06:20 pm | #
There’s not a man alive who paid the mortgage at 2-5. Which I think Treasure Beach will go off at. Sorry Ted and John, can’t back him.
Also can’t back Hudson Steele who should ensure a lively pace with Newsdad. Sorry Mister Speed.
I’m with hot horse. Beware of the black and cherry!
POINT OF ENTRY- Rapidly developing Dynaformer colt is 3 for 3 at 1 3/8 and longer. Improving enough with age and experience for Shug to send him into GRI territory. Worked a bullet at his hometown track for this. Mows them down in the stretch!
Good luck all, see you at Saratoga!
14 Jul 2012 at 06:23 pm | #
Hey teddy, when ya gonna be at Saratoga? We can spend our winnings from Point of Entry at Siro’s after the races and buy Johnny an italian sausage/pepper sandwich from the little cart.
15 Jul 2012 at 06:13 am | #
Sausage and peppers? I’m in.