The history of this fixture is that speed from the inside usually rules and that Churchill Downs shippers have a high success rate coming in.
Hel-lo Ocean Colors (5-2)!
Of those that have started, she has the best performance figure by a significant margin. By Orientate out of the Derby heroine Winning Colors, have no idea how good she is or can be. The most likely winner.
But the speed of the speed just might be Collegiate (7-2). She set extremely fast early fractions to win her debut impressively and, like “Ocean” has had sufficient recovery time, especially important for a juvenile filly.
The interesting price play in here is Renda (15-1). After breaking her maiden by a short pole while on the lead, she tried a different tack after breaking a bit tardily in the Grade 3 Debutante. She attempted a middle move into a fast half-mile fraction then raced evenly thereafter. She has more experience, a trip at today’s distance and gets a favorable rider switch to Javier Castellano.
We’re so anxious to get started we’re making two win bets in today’s feature. Taking most probable winner Ocean Colors to win at 8-5 or greater, and price shot Renda to win at 12-1 or more. Price points are very important here. Also, making exacta and trifecta boxes using all three, an extra ticket in the exacta pool.
Running Totals: (237) 74-49-27. Total Dollar Return: $452.90 [win selections only]